Aqueduct November 29, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Nov. 27, 2024, 1:45 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Cada Dia Mejor (30/1)
Place:2 - Munden (4/1)
Show:3 - Georgia Magic (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Math Tutor (4/1), 5 - Apple Jax (2/1), 6 - Grey Ace (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Big Hazel (8/1)
Place:3 - Accelerina (10/1)
Show:2 - Lady Laoban (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Lem Me Drink (6/1), 4 - Jay'S Love (15/1), 8 - Baroness Bourbon (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - One Vision (5/2)
Place:8 - Burning Munny (12/1)
Show:4 - Papa Paulie P (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Damage (12/1), 2 - I'M Solo N In Love (30/1), 3 - Monomoy Beach (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Messi The Magician (6/1)
Place:3 - Prince Of Truth (6/5)
Show:1 - J D Factor (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Violent Swing (8/1), 6 - Alpha Sonny (15/1), 7 - Union Express (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Gaga'S Hamsome (5/2)
Place:4 - Central Casting (3/1)
Show:1 - Melancia (2/1)
Other contenders:5 - Lady Of Mercia (20/1), 3 - Yayi Nikolle (6/1), 7 - Esther'S Salad (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Good As He Gets (6/1)
Place:8 - First Trumpet (20/1)
Show:6 - Glint (5/1)
Other contenders:1 - Houlton (2/1), 7 - True Connection (6/1), 5 - Creek (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Super Chow (6/1)
Place:8 - Top Gunner (5/1)
Show:9 - Giant Mischief (9/5)
Other contenders:6 - Runninsonofagun (4/1), 5 - Dean Delivers (6/1), 3 - Baby Yoda (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Lady Mine (8/5)
Place:8 - Killy Start (6/1)
Show:3 - Sarir (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Gridlock (4/1), 1 - Patty Brown Eyes (8/1), 7 - My Girl Jal (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Tomacon (20/1)
Place:9 - Victory Dash (15/1)
Show:3 - Confabulation (7/2)
Other contenders:10 - Uncorrelated (9/2), 7 - Register (10/1), 8 - Noble Huntsman (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Cada Dia Mejor (30/1)
Place:2 - Munden (4/1)
Show:3 - Georgia Magic (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Math Tutor (4/1), 5 - Apple Jax (2/1), 6 - Grey Ace (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Big Hazel (8/1)
Place:2 - Lady Laoban (7/2)
Show:3 - Accelerina (10/1)
Other contenders:5 - Lem Me Drink (6/1), 8 - Baroness Bourbon (5/2), 4 - Jay'S Love (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - One Vision (5/2)
Place:8 - Burning Munny (12/1)
Show:4 - Papa Paulie P (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Damage (12/1), 2 - I'M Solo N In Love (30/1), 7 - Whiskey Frens (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Messi The Magician (6/1)
Place:3 - Prince Of Truth (6/5)
Show:8 - Violent Swing (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - J D Factor (3/1), 7 - Union Express (20/1), 5 - Your Mission (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Gaga'S Hamsome (5/2)
Place:4 - Central Casting (3/1)
Show:1 - Melancia (2/1)
Other contenders:5 - Lady Of Mercia (20/1), 3 - Yayi Nikolle (6/1), 6 - R Special (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Good As He Gets (6/1)
Place:8 - First Trumpet (20/1)
Show:6 - Glint (5/1)
Other contenders:1 - Houlton (2/1), 7 - True Connection (6/1), 5 - Creek (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Super Chow (6/1)
Place:8 - Top Gunner (5/1)
Show:9 - Giant Mischief (9/5)
Other contenders:6 - Runninsonofagun (4/1), 5 - Dean Delivers (6/1), 3 - Baby Yoda (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Lady Mine (8/5)
Place:8 - Killy Start (6/1)
Show:3 - Sarir (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Gridlock (4/1), 1 - Patty Brown Eyes (8/1), 7 - My Girl Jal (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Confabulation (7/2)
Place:5 - Tomacon (20/1)
Show:10 - Uncorrelated (9/2)
Other contenders:9 - Victory Dash (15/1), 7 - Register (10/1), 8 - Noble Huntsman (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Cada Dia Mejor (30/1)
Place:2 - Munden (4/1)
Show:3 - Georgia Magic (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Math Tutor (4/1), 5 - Apple Jax (2/1), 6 - Grey Ace (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Big Hazel (8/1)
Place:3 - Accelerina (10/1)
Show:2 - Lady Laoban (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Lem Me Drink (6/1), 8 - Baroness Bourbon (5/2), 6 - Alley'S Song (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - One Vision (5/2)
Place:8 - Burning Munny (12/1)
Show:4 - Papa Paulie P (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Damage (12/1), 2 - I'M Solo N In Love (30/1), 7 - Whiskey Frens (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Messi The Magician (6/1)
Place:3 - Prince Of Truth (6/5)
Show:1 - J D Factor (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Violent Swing (8/1), 7 - Union Express (20/1), 6 - Alpha Sonny (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Gaga'S Hamsome (5/2)
Place:4 - Central Casting (3/1)
Show:1 - Melancia (2/1)
Other contenders:5 - Lady Of Mercia (20/1), 3 - Yayi Nikolle (6/1), 7 - Esther'S Salad (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Good As He Gets (6/1)
Place:8 - First Trumpet (20/1)
Show:6 - Glint (5/1)
Other contenders:1 - Houlton (2/1), 7 - True Connection (6/1), 5 - Creek (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Super Chow (6/1)
Place:8 - Top Gunner (5/1)
Show:6 - Runninsonofagun (4/1)
Other contenders:5 - Dean Delivers (6/1), 9 - Giant Mischief (9/5), 3 - Baby Yoda (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Lady Mine (8/5)
Place:8 - Killy Start (6/1)
Show:3 - Sarir (4/1)
Other contenders:1 - Patty Brown Eyes (8/1), 6 - Gridlock (4/1), 7 - My Girl Jal (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Tomacon (20/1)
Place:3 - Confabulation (7/2)
Show:10 - Uncorrelated (9/2)
Other contenders:7 - Register (10/1), 4 - Barnstorming (6/1), 8 - Noble Huntsman (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ACCELERINAACCIDENTAL BIDACTIVE DUTYAERIALISTALLEY'S SONG
APPLE JAXAZ U CHASE MEBABY YODABARNSTORMINGBARONESS BOURBON
BIG DOSSERBIG HAZELBURNING MUNNYCADA DIA MEJORCENTRAL CASTING
CREEKDAMAGEDEAN DELIVERSDOWNTOWNCHALYBROWNDUCHESS OF DESTIN
FIRST TRUMPETFRIZZANTEGAGA'S HAMSOMEGEORGIA MAGICGIANT MISCHIEF
GOOD AS HE GETSGORGEOUS GIRLGREY ACEGRIDLOCKGRIFFIN'S WHARF
I'M SOLO N IN LOVEJ D FACTORJAY'S LOVEKILLY STARTLADY LAOBAN
LADY OF MERCIALEM ME DRINKMATH TUTORMELANCIAMESSI THE MAGICIAN
MUNDENMY GIRL JALNOBLE HUNTSMANONE VISIONPAPA PAULIE P
PATTY BROWN EYESPRINCE OF TRUTHR SPECIALREGISTERRUNNINSONOFAGUN
SCAT TU TAPSEEKER'S HOPESUPER CHOWTOMACONTOP GUNNER
TWENTY FOUR MAMBAUNCORRELATEDUNION EXPRESSVICTORY DASHVIOLENT SWING
WITTYYAYI NIKOLLEYOUR MISSION