Belmont Aqueduct May 10, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | May 9, 2025, 12:26 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:6 - Heavyweight Champs (5/1)
Place:1 - Daufuskie Island (9/2)
Show:3 - Factually Correct (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Ten Cent Town (8/5), 5 - Acoustic Ave (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Decanted (15/1)
Place:2 - Padiddle (12/1)
Show:4 - Capture The Flag (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Muazarah (9/2)
Place:4 - Silo Ridge (6/5)
Show:7 - Enduring Spirit (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - J J'S Joker (3/1), 6 - Celtic Prince (15/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Quick To Accuse (7/5)
Place:3 - Keewaydin (8/5)
Show:7 - Rock The Weekend (12/1)
Other contenders:5 - Badge Of War (10/1), 6 - Hero'S Medal (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Winter'S Ghost (8/1)
Place:9 - Suerte (2/1)
Show:10 - Empty Tomb (5/2)
Other contenders:3 - Catch The Smoke (6/1), 4 - High Tide (4/1), 6 - Centavo (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Rhyton (2/1)
Place:2 - Dead Aim (30/1)
Show:3 - Wind Dancer (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Man From Malta (30/1), 5 - Unity Dreams (12/1), 6 - Blue Pill (20/1), 7 - Van Vollenhoven (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Full Moon Madness (3/1)
Place:5 - Anarchist (7/2)
Show:4 - Surveillance (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Whatchatalkinabout (6/5), 2 - Silver Slugger (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Sagamore Mischief (5/1)
Place:3 - Magical Ways (5/1)
Show:4 - Enlighten (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Itsallcomintogetha (7/2), 1 - Activist Investing (5/2), 10 - Seeking Unity (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Lovely Emma (9/2)
Place:6 - Annascaul (9/2)
Show:10 - Wisconsin Gal (30/1)
Other contenders:5 - Gata Brazil (15/1), 4 - Love Cervere (5/1), 3 - Disco Star (8/1), 9 - Serving Time (8/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Takethemoneyhoney (10/1)
Place:10 - My Mane Squeeze (7/2)
Show:9 - Gun Song (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Jody'S Pride (5/1), 7 - Claret Beret (20/1), 5 - Here'S The Kicker (20/1), 4 - Sterling Silver (9/2)
 
Race 11
Win:8 - Captain Cook (2/1)
Place:1 - Vassimo (5/1)
Show:6 - Uncaged (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Mcafee (8/1), 3 - Surfside Moon (8/1), 2 - Happily Delusional (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:6 - Heavyweight Champs (5/1)
Place:1 - Daufuskie Island (9/2)
Show:3 - Factually Correct (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Ten Cent Town (8/5), 5 - Acoustic Ave (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Decanted (15/1)
Place:2 - Padiddle (12/1)
Show:4 - Capture The Flag (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Silo Ridge (6/5)
Place:3 - Muazarah (9/2)
Show:7 - Enduring Spirit (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - J J'S Joker (3/1), 6 - Celtic Prince (15/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Quick To Accuse (7/5)
Place:3 - Keewaydin (8/5)
Show:7 - Rock The Weekend (12/1)
Other contenders:5 - Badge Of War (10/1), 6 - Hero'S Medal (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Winter'S Ghost (8/1)
Place:10 - Empty Tomb (5/2)
Show:9 - Suerte (2/1)
Other contenders:3 - Catch The Smoke (6/1), 4 - High Tide (4/1), 6 - Centavo (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Rhyton (2/1)
Place:2 - Dead Aim (30/1)
Show:3 - Wind Dancer (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Man From Malta (30/1), 5 - Unity Dreams (12/1), 6 - Blue Pill (20/1), 7 - Van Vollenhoven (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Whatchatalkinabout (6/5)
Place:1 - Full Moon Madness (3/1)
Show:4 - Surveillance (4/1)
Other contenders:5 - Anarchist (7/2), 2 - Silver Slugger (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Sagamore Mischief (5/1)
Place:3 - Magical Ways (5/1)
Show:4 - Enlighten (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Itsallcomintogetha (7/2), 1 - Activist Investing (5/2), 10 - Seeking Unity (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Annascaul (9/2)
Place:7 - Lovely Emma (9/2)
Show:10 - Wisconsin Gal (30/1)
Other contenders:3 - Disco Star (8/1), 5 - Gata Brazil (15/1), 4 - Love Cervere (5/1), 9 - Serving Time (8/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Takethemoneyhoney (10/1)
Place:10 - My Mane Squeeze (7/2)
Show:8 - Jody'S Pride (5/1)
Other contenders:9 - Gun Song (8/1), 7 - Claret Beret (20/1), 4 - Sterling Silver (9/2), 5 - Here'S The Kicker (20/1)
 
Race 11
Win:8 - Captain Cook (2/1)
Place:1 - Vassimo (5/1)
Show:6 - Uncaged (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Mcafee (8/1), 3 - Surfside Moon (8/1), 2 - Happily Delusional (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:3 - Factually Correct (4/1)
Place:1 - Daufuskie Island (9/2)
Show:6 - Heavyweight Champs (5/1)
Other contenders:4 - Ten Cent Town (8/5), 5 - Acoustic Ave (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Decanted (15/1)
Place:2 - Padiddle (12/1)
Show:4 - Capture The Flag (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Silo Ridge (6/5)
Place:3 - Muazarah (9/2)
Show:7 - Enduring Spirit (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - J J'S Joker (3/1), 1 - Honorary Degree (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Quick To Accuse (7/5)
Place:3 - Keewaydin (8/5)
Show:7 - Rock The Weekend (12/1)
Other contenders:5 - Badge Of War (10/1), 6 - Hero'S Medal (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Winter'S Ghost (8/1)
Place:9 - Suerte (2/1)
Show:10 - Empty Tomb (5/2)
Other contenders:3 - Catch The Smoke (6/1), 6 - Centavo (12/1), 4 - High Tide (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Rhyton (2/1)
Place:2 - Dead Aim (30/1)
Show:3 - Wind Dancer (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Man From Malta (30/1), 5 - Unity Dreams (12/1), 6 - Blue Pill (20/1), 7 - Van Vollenhoven (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win:5 - Anarchist (7/2)
Place:1 - Full Moon Madness (3/1)
Show:4 - Surveillance (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Whatchatalkinabout (6/5), 2 - Silver Slugger (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Magical Ways (5/1)
Place:9 - Sagamore Mischief (5/1)
Show:6 - Itsallcomintogetha (7/2)
Other contenders:10 - Seeking Unity (3/1), 4 - Enlighten (3/1), 1 - Activist Investing (5/2)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Lovely Emma (9/2)
Place:6 - Annascaul (9/2)
Show:10 - Wisconsin Gal (30/1)
Other contenders:5 - Gata Brazil (15/1), 4 - Love Cervere (5/1), 3 - Disco Star (8/1), 9 - Serving Time (8/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Takethemoneyhoney (10/1)
Place:10 - My Mane Squeeze (7/2)
Show:9 - Gun Song (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Jody'S Pride (5/1), 7 - Claret Beret (20/1), 4 - Sterling Silver (9/2), 5 - Here'S The Kicker (20/1)
 
Race 11
Win:8 - Captain Cook (2/1)
Place:1 - Vassimo (5/1)
Show:6 - Uncaged (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Hill Road (5/2), 5 - Mcafee (8/1), 3 - Surfside Moon (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ACOUSTIC AVEACTIVIST INVESTINGALLABOUTTHEMONEYANARCHISTANGLOPHILE
BADGE OF WARBEACHWALKERBLUE PILLBONUS MOVEBRACIOLE
BRERETON'S BAYTOWNBUNRATTY MANORCAPTAIN COOKCAPTURE THE FLAGCATCH THE SMOKE
CELTIC PRINCECENTAVOCLARET BERETCUMBERLAND BLUESDAUFUSKIE ISLAND
DAZZLING MOVEDEAD AIMDECANTEDDISCO STAREIGHTY GOLD
ENDURING SPIRITENLIGHTENFACTUALLY CORRECTFAR BRIDGEFIRST PITCH
GATA BRAZILGONE BOYGUN SONGHAPPILY DELUSIONALHEADLINE NUMBERS
HERE'S THE KICKERHERO'S MEDALHEY BERTIEHIGH TIDEHIGHER QUALITY
HONORARY DEGREEITSALLCOMINTOGETHAJ J'S JOKERJODY'S PRIDEKEEWAYDIN
LOVE CERVERELOVELY EMMAMAGICAL WAYSMAN FROM MALTAMARVELOUS MADISON
MORNING MATCHAMUAZARAHMY MANE SQUEEZEO'CONNER SUNSETPADIDDLE
RAPTOR'SRHYTONROCK THE WEEKENDSAGAMORE MISCHIEFSANZIO
SERVING TIMESILO RIDGESILVER SLUGGERSTERLING SILVERSUERTE
SURVEILLANCETAKETHEMONEYHONEYTANGO TANGOTARPAULINTEN CENT TOWN
UNCAGEDUNITY DREAMSVAN VOLLENHOVENVASSIMOWAITLIST
WHATCHATALKINABOUTWIND DANCERWINTER'S GHOSTWISCONSIN GAL