Finger Lakes October 22, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 22, 2024, 1:34 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Special Pal (3/1)
Place:5 - Bayou Melody (5/2)
Show:6 - Goodnightngodbless (7/2)
Other contenders:7 - Starr'S Delight (5/1), 4 - Shesawildjoker (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Hot Rod Lincoln (3/1)
Place:2 - Masked Marauder (4/1)
Show:8 - Hardly Working (12/1)
Other contenders:1 - Town Jak (6/1), 3 - Jacoba (5/2), 5 - Seatiger (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Fabulous Fox (9/5)
Place:1 - Redwineandwhiskey (5/1)
Show:3 - La Grotte (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Lady Arwen (6/1), 2 - Outta The Cloud (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Hillbilly Lady (7/2)
Place:4 - Shezenticing (4/1)
Show:5 - Journey Of Five (15/1)
Other contenders:9 - Bump In The Night (2/1), 1 - Glory Bound Clara (6/1), 8 - Citi Kitty (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Warriors Revenge (6/1)
Place:3 - Gimmedamoney (4/1)
Show:7 - Noble Journey (7/2)
Other contenders:8 - Fire Down Below (6/1), 1 - Holey Matrimony (8/1), 5 - Civil Service (5/2)
 
Race 6
Win:4 - Ashtead Lady (12/1)
Place:12 - Hard To Love (20/1)
Show:2 - Kitty Of War (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Lipan Law (7/2), 11 - Only La Duss (5/1), 7 - Princess Fiona (5/1), 1 - Freedom Dreams (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Forward Motion (3/1)
Place:6 - Son Of Darkness (5/1)
Show:3 - Tommy The Torch (5/1)
Other contenders:5 - Devious Mo (12/1), 7 - He Is Bonafide (15/1), 12 - Honor Among Men (4/1), 8 - Uncle Miltie (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - City Blocks (5/2)
Place:7 - Maize Loved Laffy (3/1)
Show:1 - Going Home Now (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Practical Rachel (12/1), 3 - Sky'S Winning Bid (8/1), 2 - Flowerdew (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Regenerator (5/2)
Place:2 - She Loves To Move (7/2)
Show:6 - Sweet Tooth Sue (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Tumbles (4/1), 9 - Sweet Sugar Baby (6/1), 8 - Kitty Tin Tin (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Special Pal (3/1)
Place:6 - Goodnightngodbless (7/2)
Show:5 - Bayou Melody (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Starr'S Delight (5/1), 4 - Shesawildjoker (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Hot Rod Lincoln (3/1)
Place:2 - Masked Marauder (4/1)
Show:1 - Town Jak (6/1)
Other contenders:8 - Hardly Working (12/1), 3 - Jacoba (5/2), 5 - Seatiger (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Fabulous Fox (9/5)
Place:1 - Redwineandwhiskey (5/1)
Show:3 - La Grotte (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Lady Arwen (6/1), 2 - Outta The Cloud (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Hillbilly Lady (7/2)
Place:4 - Shezenticing (4/1)
Show:5 - Journey Of Five (15/1)
Other contenders:9 - Bump In The Night (2/1), 1 - Glory Bound Clara (6/1), 8 - Citi Kitty (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Warriors Revenge (6/1)
Place:3 - Gimmedamoney (4/1)
Show:7 - Noble Journey (7/2)
Other contenders:8 - Fire Down Below (6/1), 1 - Holey Matrimony (8/1), 5 - Civil Service (5/2)
 
Race 6
Win:4 - Ashtead Lady (12/1)
Place:12 - Hard To Love (20/1)
Show:2 - Kitty Of War (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Lipan Law (7/2), 11 - Only La Duss (5/1), 7 - Princess Fiona (5/1), 1 - Freedom Dreams (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Forward Motion (3/1)
Place:6 - Son Of Darkness (5/1)
Show:3 - Tommy The Torch (5/1)
Other contenders:5 - Devious Mo (12/1), 7 - He Is Bonafide (15/1), 12 - Honor Among Men (4/1), 8 - Uncle Miltie (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - City Blocks (5/2)
Place:7 - Maize Loved Laffy (3/1)
Show:1 - Going Home Now (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Practical Rachel (12/1), 3 - Sky'S Winning Bid (8/1), 2 - Flowerdew (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Regenerator (5/2)
Place:2 - She Loves To Move (7/2)
Show:6 - Sweet Tooth Sue (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Tumbles (4/1), 9 - Sweet Sugar Baby (6/1), 8 - Kitty Tin Tin (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Special Pal (3/1)
Place:6 - Goodnightngodbless (7/2)
Show:5 - Bayou Melody (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Shesawildjoker (10/1), 7 - Starr'S Delight (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Hot Rod Lincoln (3/1)
Place:2 - Masked Marauder (4/1)
Show:1 - Town Jak (6/1)
Other contenders:8 - Hardly Working (12/1), 3 - Jacoba (5/2), 5 - Seatiger (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Fabulous Fox (9/5)
Place:1 - Redwineandwhiskey (5/1)
Show:3 - La Grotte (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Lady Arwen (6/1), 2 - Outta The Cloud (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Hillbilly Lady (7/2)
Place:5 - Journey Of Five (15/1)
Show:4 - Shezenticing (4/1)
Other contenders:9 - Bump In The Night (2/1), 1 - Glory Bound Clara (6/1), 7 - Dreamery (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Gimmedamoney (4/1)
Place:7 - Noble Journey (7/2)
Show:6 - Warriors Revenge (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Holey Matrimony (8/1), 8 - Fire Down Below (6/1), 5 - Civil Service (5/2)
 
Race 6
Win:4 - Ashtead Lady (12/1)
Place:12 - Hard To Love (20/1)
Show:2 - Kitty Of War (8/1)
Other contenders:11 - Only La Duss (5/1), 8 - Lipan Law (7/2), 7 - Princess Fiona (5/1), 1 - Freedom Dreams (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Forward Motion (3/1)
Place:6 - Son Of Darkness (5/1)
Show:3 - Tommy The Torch (5/1)
Other contenders:12 - Honor Among Men (4/1), 5 - Devious Mo (12/1), 7 - He Is Bonafide (15/1), 4 - Holy Cowboy (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - City Blocks (5/2)
Place:7 - Maize Loved Laffy (3/1)
Show:1 - Going Home Now (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Sky'S Winning Bid (8/1), 2 - Flowerdew (5/1), 8 - Practical Rachel (12/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Regenerator (5/2)
Place:2 - She Loves To Move (7/2)
Show:6 - Sweet Tooth Sue (12/1)
Other contenders:9 - Sweet Sugar Baby (6/1), 3 - Tumbles (4/1), 8 - Kitty Tin Tin (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ASHTEAD LADYAUTOMATED TELLERBAYOU MELODYBUMP IN THE NIGHTCHEM MAJOR
CITY BLOCKSCIVIL SERVICEDANCINWITHJAKEDANZING EMBERSDEVIOUS MO
FABULOUS FOXFIRE DOWN BELOWFLOWERDEWFORWARD MOTIONFREEDOM DREAMS
GIMMEDAMONEYGLORY BOUND CLARAGOING HOME NOWGOODNIGHTNGODBLESSHAPPY TIME
HARDLY WORKINGHE IS BONAFIDEHE'SGOTTASHORTFUSEHILLBILLY LADYHOLEY MATRIMONY
HONOR AMONG MENHOT ROD LINCOLNINVALUABLE WILLJACOBAJOURNEY OF FIVE
KITTY OF WARKITTY TIN TINLA GROTTELADY ARWENLILITHS MOON
LIPAN LAWMAIZE LOVED LAFFYMASKED MARAUDERMISS FASHIONISTANO FACTOR
O K GAME ONONLY LA DUSSOUR FIRST LADYOUTTA THE CLOUDPRACTICAL RACHEL
QUEEN ATLASREDWINEANDWHISKEYREGENERATORRINGGOODSEATIGER
SHE LOVES TO MOVESHESAWILDJOKERSHEZENTICINGSIGHT UNSEENSKY'S WINNING BID
SON OF DARKNESSSPECIAL PALSTARR'S DELIGHTSWEET SUGAR BABYSWEET TOOTH SUE
TOWN JAKTRAPPE THE DREAMTUMBLESUNCLE MILTIEWARRIORS REVENGE
WINE TRAIL