Keeneland October 26, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 22, 2024, 12:05 a.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:5 - All Class (1/1)
Place:8 - Lite It Up Louie (4/1)
Show:6 - Gunesh (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - The Big Calhouna (6/1), 2 - Edistrudis (6/1), 3 - Play Good Pay Good (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win:9 - Princess Is Olivia (6/1)
Place:1 - Sugar Bell (4/1)
Show:7 - Union Suit (7/2)
Other contenders:6 - Ribbonsinherhair (10/1), 2 - Outofnothingatall (5/2), 5 - Bourbon Breeze (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Tizntshelovely (8/1)
Place:15 - Zen Dreams (30/1)
Show:4 - Derry Girl (20/1)
Other contenders:13 - Humbled (20/1), 16 - Poema (3/1), 12 - El Joury (8/1), 3 - Goddaughter (30/1), 5 - Champagne On Ice (50/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Windy Bay (9/2)
Place:6 - Windy Walk (3/1)
Show:10 - Sing Scat (12/1)
Other contenders:1 - Best Performer (2/1), 3 - Q Bond (30/1), 7 - Kiki Krazy (6/1), 2 - Savannamarie (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Shiloh'S Mistress (4/1)
Place:4 - Take Shape (6/1)
Show:9 - Centuria (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Tonalite (20/1), 2 - Miss Hebrides (4/1), 15 - Atmidnight (30/1), 3 - Public Assembly (3/1), 6 - Egyptian Candy (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:7 - White Sands (10/1)
Place:5 - Politicallycorrect (9/2)
Show:4 - Macho Music (2/1)
Other contenders:6 - Long Neck Paula (8/1), 1 - Tough Catch (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:11 - Kehoe Beach (9/5)
Place:3 - Neom Beach (9/2)
Show:10 - Maxisuperfly (20/1)
Other contenders:12 - Work Of Fiction (12/1), 6 - Lady Emily Kathryn (15/1), 13 - Hidden Class (30/1), 15 - Sanctify (15/1), 1 - Beach Walkn (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Hit Show (2/1)
Place:2 - Tumbarumba (6/1)
Show:6 - Rattle N Roll (4/1)
Other contenders:1 - Trademark (10/1), 5 - Bolzy (30/1), 4 - War Campaign (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:8 - Mansa Musa (8/1)
Place:3 - Herchee (12/1)
Show:4 - My Boy Prince (15/1)
Other contenders:13 - Goes The Clown (20/1), 5 - Demolisher (15/1), 7 - Lagynos (15/1), 1 - Neat (8/1), 14 - Call Protection (15/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Charming Tiger (20/1)
Place:2 - Tom Cat Tuesday (6/1)
Show:3 - Burnham Square (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Stay Frosty (12/1), 5 - Thunderhawk (6/1), 6 - Halter Boy (30/1), 7 - Iron Sharpens Iron (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:5 - All Class (1/1)
Place:8 - Lite It Up Louie (4/1)
Show:2 - Edistrudis (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Gunesh (15/1), 4 - The Big Calhouna (6/1), 3 - Play Good Pay Good (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win:9 - Princess Is Olivia (6/1)
Place:7 - Union Suit (7/2)
Show:1 - Sugar Bell (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Ribbonsinherhair (10/1), 2 - Outofnothingatall (5/2), 5 - Bourbon Breeze (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Tizntshelovely (8/1)
Place:15 - Zen Dreams (30/1)
Show:4 - Derry Girl (20/1)
Other contenders:16 - Poema (3/1), 13 - Humbled (20/1), 12 - El Joury (8/1), 5 - Champagne On Ice (50/1), 3 - Goddaughter (30/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Windy Bay (9/2)
Place:6 - Windy Walk (3/1)
Show:1 - Best Performer (2/1)
Other contenders:10 - Sing Scat (12/1), 3 - Q Bond (30/1), 7 - Kiki Krazy (6/1), 5 - Calisue (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Shiloh'S Mistress (4/1)
Place:9 - Centuria (20/1)
Show:4 - Take Shape (6/1)
Other contenders:10 - Tonalite (20/1), 2 - Miss Hebrides (4/1), 15 - Atmidnight (30/1), 3 - Public Assembly (3/1), 6 - Egyptian Candy (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:7 - White Sands (10/1)
Place:5 - Politicallycorrect (9/2)
Show:4 - Macho Music (2/1)
Other contenders:6 - Long Neck Paula (8/1), 1 - Tough Catch (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:11 - Kehoe Beach (9/5)
Place:3 - Neom Beach (9/2)
Show:10 - Maxisuperfly (20/1)
Other contenders:12 - Work Of Fiction (12/1), 6 - Lady Emily Kathryn (15/1), 13 - Hidden Class (30/1), 8 - Spotty Showers (20/1), 15 - Sanctify (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Hit Show (2/1)
Place:2 - Tumbarumba (6/1)
Show:5 - Bolzy (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - Rattle N Roll (4/1), 1 - Trademark (10/1), 4 - War Campaign (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:8 - Mansa Musa (8/1)
Place:3 - Herchee (12/1)
Show:4 - My Boy Prince (15/1)
Other contenders:13 - Goes The Clown (20/1), 5 - Demolisher (15/1), 1 - Neat (8/1), 7 - Lagynos (15/1), 6 - Brilliant Berti (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Charming Tiger (20/1)
Place:2 - Tom Cat Tuesday (6/1)
Show:3 - Burnham Square (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Stay Frosty (12/1), 5 - Thunderhawk (6/1), 6 - Halter Boy (30/1), 7 - Iron Sharpens Iron (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:5 - All Class (1/1)
Place:6 - Gunesh (15/1)
Show:8 - Lite It Up Louie (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - The Big Calhouna (6/1), 3 - Play Good Pay Good (5/1), 2 - Edistrudis (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:9 - Princess Is Olivia (6/1)
Place:7 - Union Suit (7/2)
Show:1 - Sugar Bell (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Ribbonsinherhair (10/1), 2 - Outofnothingatall (5/2), 3 - Asian Matriarch (6/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Tizntshelovely (8/1)
Place:15 - Zen Dreams (30/1)
Show:4 - Derry Girl (20/1)
Other contenders:16 - Poema (3/1), 13 - Humbled (20/1), 12 - El Joury (8/1), 3 - Goddaughter (30/1), 5 - Champagne On Ice (50/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Windy Bay (9/2)
Place:1 - Best Performer (2/1)
Show:6 - Windy Walk (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Kiki Krazy (6/1), 10 - Sing Scat (12/1), 3 - Q Bond (30/1), 8 - Big Bad Diva (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Shiloh'S Mistress (4/1)
Place:9 - Centuria (20/1)
Show:2 - Miss Hebrides (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Take Shape (6/1), 10 - Tonalite (20/1), 3 - Public Assembly (3/1), 15 - Atmidnight (30/1), 1 - Dream On Stormy (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:7 - White Sands (10/1)
Place:5 - Politicallycorrect (9/2)
Show:4 - Macho Music (2/1)
Other contenders:6 - Long Neck Paula (8/1), 1 - Tough Catch (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:11 - Kehoe Beach (9/5)
Place:3 - Neom Beach (9/2)
Show:12 - Work Of Fiction (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Maxisuperfly (20/1), 6 - Lady Emily Kathryn (15/1), 13 - Hidden Class (30/1), 15 - Sanctify (15/1), 1 - Beach Walkn (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Hit Show (2/1)
Place:2 - Tumbarumba (6/1)
Show:1 - Trademark (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Rattle N Roll (4/1), 4 - War Campaign (8/1), 5 - Bolzy (30/1)
 
Race 9
Win:8 - Mansa Musa (8/1)
Place:4 - My Boy Prince (15/1)
Show:3 - Herchee (12/1)
Other contenders:5 - Demolisher (15/1), 13 - Goes The Clown (20/1), 7 - Lagynos (15/1), 1 - Neat (8/1), 14 - Call Protection (15/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Charming Tiger (20/1)
Place:2 - Tom Cat Tuesday (6/1)
Show:3 - Burnham Square (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Stay Frosty (12/1), 5 - Thunderhawk (6/1), 6 - Halter Boy (30/1), 7 - Iron Sharpens Iron (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ALL CLASSASIAN MATRIARCHATMIDNIGHTBEACH WALKNBELLE OF RIGHTS
BIG BAD DIVABOLZYBOURBON BREEZEBRILLIANT BERTIBURNHAM SQUARE
CALL ME TONICALL PROTECTIONCENTURIACHAMPAGNE ON ICECHARMING TIGER
CHOATEDANCETHENITEAWAYDAZZLIN' DICTATORDEMOLISHERDEPICTION
DESERT AIREDIVINE GALDREAM ON STORMYEDISTRUDISEGYPTIAN CANDY
EVADEFRACK BABYFRANGO ELECTRICOFREE COUNTRYGODDAUGHTER
GRAND ASPENGUNESHHALTER BOYHEART SPINHERCHEE
HIDDEN CLASSHIT SHOWHONEY RUNHOWLING TIMEHUMBLED
IRON SHARPENS IRONJACKIE'S LOVEKEHOE BEACHKIKI KRAZYLADY EMILY KATHRYN
LAGYNOSLITE IT UP LOUIELONG NECK PAULALOVE AND POETRYMACHO MUSIC
MAMBO QUEENMANSA MUSAMARSHSIDE MAMAMAXISUPERFLYMISS HEBRIDES
MRS. ASTORMY BOY PRINCEMY GALNEATNEOM BEACH
OFF THE LAMOUTOFNOTHINGATALLPARISH LANEPLAY GOOD PAY GOODPOEMA
PRECIOUS MEDLEYPRINCESS IS OLIVIAPROTECTIVEPUBLIC ASSEMBLYQ BOND
RATTLE N ROLLREMINDERRIBBONSINHERHAIRSANCTIFYSAVANNAMARIE
SING SCATSPOTTY SHOWERSSTAY FROSTYSTRIKE WHEN READYSUGAR BELL
TAKE SHAPETERRAPIN STATIONTHE BIG CALHOUNATHE CHALKTHUNDERHAWK
TOM CAT TUESDAYTONALITETOUGH CATCHTRADEMARKTRIKARI
TWIRLING POINTUNION SUITUNMERITED FAVORUNO MAS BOURBONWAR CAMPAIGN
WHY WASTE WORDSWINDY BAYWINDY WALKWINTER CREEKWORK OF FICTION