Keeneland April 12, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 9, 2025, 2:14 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Warp Nine (2/1)
Place:2 - Citizen (4/1)
Show:3 - Diver (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Flyin Ryan (15/1), 6 - Batter Up (8/1), 4 - Ky Thirty Won (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Pure Panic (7/2)
Place:7 - Tenebris (12/1)
Show:8 - Shape Note (20/1)
Other contenders:9 - Regal Rey (15/1), 4 - Willtorun (6/1), 2 - Cape Trafalgar (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Hibiscus (8/1)
Place:2 - Eyes On Italy (12/1)
Show:3 - Lilium (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Shrewd Operator (10/1), 5 - Double Velocity (6/1), 6 - Isle Be Ready (10/1), 7 - Grove City Sunset (6/1), 8 - Bea Trix (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:8 - Tunisian Spring (5/2)
Place:6 - Frosty Indulgence (15/1)
Show:3 - Goldbrick (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Indy Magic (4/1), 1 - Caper'S Hooley (10/1), 10 - Gamblers Tail (8/1), 4 - Standard Of Proof (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Forty N Five (12/1)
Place:13 - After Taxes (10/1)
Show:3 - Solid Left (15/1)
Other contenders:5 - Ready For Peace (8/1), 4 - El Cordobes (50/1), 7 - Mesero (6/1), 14 - Spinback (30/1), 2 - Conquering Cat (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win:9 - Call Me Andy (12/1)
Place:3 - Speak Easy (8/5)
Show:5 - Harrodsburg (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Discreet Mischief (3/1), 1 - How'S Ur Attitude (15/1), 6 - Wico (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:11 - Sinister Smile (30/1)
Place:5 - Baker Hayfield (15/1)
Show:12 - Modus Bestia (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Zandvoort (8/1), 3 - Chambers (20/1), 6 - Bourbon Flight (20/1), 1 - Valiant Humor (7/2)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Atomic City (10/1)
Place:9 - Miss Lonelle (20/1)
Show:7 - Dear Louise (30/1)
Other contenders:10 - Eunomia (20/1), 13 - Table Flirt (8/1), 16 - La Marinera (30/1), 6 - Precious Medley (12/1), 2 - Always Forever (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win:4 - Rolando (6/1)
Place:3 - Bullard (9/2)
Show:9 - Touchy (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Hypnus (6/1), 7 - Praetor (2/1), 2 - Bracket Buster (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Kehoe Beach (7/2)
Place:5 - Be Your Best (6/1)
Show:8 - Sacred Wish (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Poolside With Slim (20/1), 9 - No Show Sammy Jo (15/1), 6 - Jabaara (9/2)
 
Race 11
Win:2 - Autumn Rhythm (8/1)
Place:14 - Spankerboom (20/1)
Show:8 - Sherbini (3/2)
Other contenders:13 - Black Ginger (6/1), 6 - Madeline'S Promise (7/2), 12 - Boutwell Time (15/1), 11 - Melle Mel (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Warp Nine (2/1)
Place:2 - Citizen (4/1)
Show:3 - Diver (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Flyin Ryan (15/1), 6 - Batter Up (8/1), 4 - Ky Thirty Won (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Pure Panic (7/2)
Place:7 - Tenebris (12/1)
Show:8 - Shape Note (20/1)
Other contenders:2 - Cape Trafalgar (5/2), 4 - Willtorun (6/1), 9 - Regal Rey (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Hibiscus (8/1)
Place:2 - Eyes On Italy (12/1)
Show:3 - Lilium (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Shrewd Operator (10/1), 5 - Double Velocity (6/1), 6 - Isle Be Ready (10/1), 7 - Grove City Sunset (6/1), 8 - Bea Trix (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:8 - Tunisian Spring (5/2)
Place:6 - Frosty Indulgence (15/1)
Show:3 - Goldbrick (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Indy Magic (4/1), 1 - Caper'S Hooley (10/1), 10 - Gamblers Tail (8/1), 4 - Standard Of Proof (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win:13 - After Taxes (10/1)
Place:1 - Forty N Five (12/1)
Show:3 - Solid Left (15/1)
Other contenders:7 - Mesero (6/1), 5 - Ready For Peace (8/1), 4 - El Cordobes (50/1), 14 - Spinback (30/1), 2 - Conquering Cat (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win:9 - Call Me Andy (12/1)
Place:3 - Speak Easy (8/5)
Show:4 - Discreet Mischief (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Harrodsburg (6/1), 2 - Deer District (10/1), 6 - Wico (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:11 - Sinister Smile (30/1)
Place:5 - Baker Hayfield (15/1)
Show:12 - Modus Bestia (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Zandvoort (8/1), 3 - Chambers (20/1), 6 - Bourbon Flight (20/1), 1 - Valiant Humor (7/2)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Atomic City (10/1)
Place:9 - Miss Lonelle (20/1)
Show:13 - Table Flirt (8/1)
Other contenders:10 - Eunomia (20/1), 7 - Dear Louise (30/1), 16 - La Marinera (30/1), 12 - Birkin Girl (20/1), 2 - Always Forever (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win:4 - Rolando (6/1)
Place:3 - Bullard (9/2)
Show:9 - Touchy (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Hypnus (6/1), 7 - Praetor (2/1), 2 - Bracket Buster (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Kehoe Beach (7/2)
Place:5 - Be Your Best (6/1)
Show:8 - Sacred Wish (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Poolside With Slim (20/1), 9 - No Show Sammy Jo (15/1), 6 - Jabaara (9/2)
 
Race 11
Win:2 - Autumn Rhythm (8/1)
Place:14 - Spankerboom (20/1)
Show:8 - Sherbini (3/2)
Other contenders:13 - Black Ginger (6/1), 6 - Madeline'S Promise (7/2), 12 - Boutwell Time (15/1), 7 - Talent Show (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Citizen (4/1)
Place:1 - Warp Nine (2/1)
Show:3 - Diver (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Flyin Ryan (15/1), 6 - Batter Up (8/1), 4 - Ky Thirty Won (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Tenebris (12/1)
Place:3 - Pure Panic (7/2)
Show:8 - Shape Note (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Willtorun (6/1), 1 - Critical Threat (4/1), 2 - Cape Trafalgar (5/2)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Hibiscus (8/1)
Place:2 - Eyes On Italy (12/1)
Show:3 - Lilium (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Shrewd Operator (10/1), 5 - Double Velocity (6/1), 6 - Isle Be Ready (10/1), 7 - Grove City Sunset (6/1), 8 - Bea Trix (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:8 - Tunisian Spring (5/2)
Place:6 - Frosty Indulgence (15/1)
Show:3 - Goldbrick (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Caper'S Hooley (10/1), 11 - Indy Magic (4/1), 10 - Gamblers Tail (8/1), 4 - Standard Of Proof (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Forty N Five (12/1)
Place:13 - After Taxes (10/1)
Show:3 - Solid Left (15/1)
Other contenders:5 - Ready For Peace (8/1), 7 - Mesero (6/1), 2 - Conquering Cat (20/1), 14 - Spinback (30/1), 4 - El Cordobes (50/1)
 
Race 6
Win:9 - Call Me Andy (12/1)
Place:3 - Speak Easy (8/5)
Show:5 - Harrodsburg (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Wico (4/1), 4 - Discreet Mischief (3/1), 2 - Deer District (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win:11 - Sinister Smile (30/1)
Place:5 - Baker Hayfield (15/1)
Show:12 - Modus Bestia (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Zandvoort (8/1), 3 - Chambers (20/1), 6 - Bourbon Flight (20/1), 1 - Valiant Humor (7/2)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Atomic City (10/1)
Place:9 - Miss Lonelle (20/1)
Show:7 - Dear Louise (30/1)
Other contenders:10 - Eunomia (20/1), 16 - La Marinera (30/1), 13 - Table Flirt (8/1), 14 - Annelle (12/1), 12 - Birkin Girl (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:4 - Rolando (6/1)
Place:3 - Bullard (9/2)
Show:9 - Touchy (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Hypnus (6/1), 6 - Gosger (7/2), 7 - Praetor (2/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Kehoe Beach (7/2)
Place:5 - Be Your Best (6/1)
Show:3 - Poolside With Slim (20/1)
Other contenders:8 - Sacred Wish (8/1), 9 - No Show Sammy Jo (15/1), 4 - Vina Arana (30/1)
 
Race 11
Win:2 - Autumn Rhythm (8/1)
Place:8 - Sherbini (3/2)
Show:14 - Spankerboom (20/1)
Other contenders:13 - Black Ginger (6/1), 6 - Madeline'S Promise (7/2), 11 - Melle Mel (20/1), 12 - Boutwell Time (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ADRIANAFTER TAXESAL JAFARAALWAYS FOREVERANNELLE
ATOMIC CITYAUTUMN RHYTHMAVISOBAKER HAYFIELDBATTER UP
BE YOUR BESTBEA TRIXBESSIE ABOTTBIG TRUZZBIRKIN GIRL
BLACK GINGERBONNE FILLEBOURBON FLIGHTBOUTWELL TIMEBRACKET BUSTER
BURNING PINECALL ME ANDYCAPE TRAFALGARCAPER'S HOOLEYCHAMBERS
CHRIS'S REVENGECITIZENCODE OMAHACONQUERING CATCRITICAL THREAT
DEER DISTRICTDISCERNING SPIRITDISCREET MISCHIEFDIVERDOUBLE VELOCITY
EUNOMIAEXCELLENT TRUTHEYE WITNESSEYES ON ITALYFACT
FORTY N FIVEFROSTY INDULGENCEGAMBLERS TAILGOLDBRICKGOOD GAME
GROVE CITY SUNSETHARD AS LIFEHARRODSBURGHEATONTAPHIBISCUS
HOW'S UR ATTITUDEHYPNUSINDY MAGICISLE BE READYJABAARA
KY THIRTY WONLA MARINERALILIUMMADELINE'S PROMISEMASTER OF LIGHT
MELLE MELMESEROMIKAMISS LONELLEMODUS BESTIA
MY BUDDY BROOKSNANTUCKETNASH POTATOESNATIVE RUNNERNO SHOW SAMMY JO
PASTEROPOOLSIDE WITH SLIMPOPPY THE PRINCESSPRAETORPRECIOUS MEDLEY
READY FOR PEACEREFUAHREGAL REYRIDDLE SOLVERROLANDO
SACRED WISHSHAPE NOTESHERBINISHREWD OPERATORSIGHT
SINISTER SMILESOLID LEFTSPANKERBOOMSPEAK EASYSPINBACK
STANDARD OF PROOFSTATES' RIGHTSSTRIVE FOR HONORSUPER MAXIMATABLE FLIRT
TALENT SHOWTENEBRISTHERAVADATOUCHYTRADE IMBALANCE
VALIANT HUMORVEXVINA ARANAWARLANDERWARP NINE
WICOWILLTORUNZAGHRUTAZANDVOORT