Santa Anita February 15, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Feb. 13, 2025, 1 a.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:6 - Goodfella (8/5)
Place:4 - Running Spartan (3/1)
Show:1 - Nobel Gary (30/1)
Other contenders:5 - Bound To Succeed (6/1), 2 - Resemblance (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Warrens World (8/5)
Place:6 - Nameless (4/5)
Show:2 - Cooperklimt (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Mount Pelliar (20/1), 1 - Mischief'S Thirsty (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:6 - Uffda (5/2)
Place:5 - Stellar Cap (7/2)
Show:3 - Beau Soleil (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Isabel Ludlow (5/1), 2 - Sapadilla (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:6 - Check'S On The Way (5/2)
Place:3 - It'S A Factor (12/1)
Show:2 - Earned Not Given (4/5)
Other contenders:5 - Dynodave (3/1), 1 - El Diamante Negro (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Grey Area (8/1)
Place:6 - Falcon Wings (15/1)
Show:9 - El Ondeado (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - James J. Braddock (10/1), 1 - Western Freedom (8/5), 7 - Sir Tom (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Dendera (15/1)
Place:2 - Annie'S Joy (5/2)
Show:5 - Tiznow Mama (10/1)
Other contenders:1 - Elegant Sway (6/1), 8 - Chasingserendipity (4/1), 7 - Big Mama Sue (9/5)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Anarchist (10/1)
Place:1 - Big City Lights (2/5)
Show:3 - Roll On Big Joe (5/1)
Other contenders:6 - For All Mankind (8/1), 4 - Bartholdy (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Entressa (2/1)
Place:2 - Comeback Girl (12/1)
Show:3 - Mckechnie (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Paarl (15/1), 5 - Marula (10/1), 6 - Kitty Marren (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Afternoon Nap (9/2)
Place:7 - Duty First (12/1)
Show:1 - Clever Clover (20/1)
Other contenders:6 - Gypsy Tears (20/1), 4 - Lonesome Stew (3/5), 2 - Final Storm (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:2 - Hothead (5/2)
Place:5 - Riding By (20/1)
Show:9 - P Town Prancer (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Horizon Wildcat (3/1), 1 - Willisau (15/1), 3 - Owl (10/1), 8 - Pecks Lane (5/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:6 - Goodfella (8/5)
Place:4 - Running Spartan (3/1)
Show:1 - Nobel Gary (30/1)
Other contenders:2 - Resemblance (8/1), 5 - Bound To Succeed (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Warrens World (8/5)
Place:6 - Nameless (4/5)
Show:2 - Cooperklimt (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Mount Pelliar (20/1), 1 - Mischief'S Thirsty (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:6 - Uffda (5/2)
Place:5 - Stellar Cap (7/2)
Show:3 - Beau Soleil (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Isabel Ludlow (5/1), 2 - Sapadilla (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:6 - Check'S On The Way (5/2)
Place:3 - It'S A Factor (12/1)
Show:2 - Earned Not Given (4/5)
Other contenders:5 - Dynodave (3/1), 1 - El Diamante Negro (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Grey Area (8/1)
Place:6 - Falcon Wings (15/1)
Show:9 - El Ondeado (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - James J. Braddock (10/1), 1 - Western Freedom (8/5), 7 - Sir Tom (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Dendera (15/1)
Place:2 - Annie'S Joy (5/2)
Show:1 - Elegant Sway (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Tiznow Mama (10/1), 8 - Chasingserendipity (4/1), 7 - Big Mama Sue (9/5)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Anarchist (10/1)
Place:1 - Big City Lights (2/5)
Show:3 - Roll On Big Joe (5/1)
Other contenders:6 - For All Mankind (8/1), 4 - Bartholdy (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Entressa (2/1)
Place:2 - Comeback Girl (12/1)
Show:3 - Mckechnie (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Paarl (15/1), 5 - Marula (10/1), 6 - Kitty Marren (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Afternoon Nap (9/2)
Place:7 - Duty First (12/1)
Show:1 - Clever Clover (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Lonesome Stew (3/5), 6 - Gypsy Tears (20/1), 2 - Final Storm (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:2 - Hothead (5/2)
Place:5 - Riding By (20/1)
Show:9 - P Town Prancer (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Horizon Wildcat (3/1), 1 - Willisau (15/1), 3 - Owl (10/1), 8 - Pecks Lane (5/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:6 - Goodfella (8/5)
Place:4 - Running Spartan (3/1)
Show:1 - Nobel Gary (30/1)
Other contenders:5 - Bound To Succeed (6/1), 2 - Resemblance (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Warrens World (8/5)
Place:6 - Nameless (4/5)
Show:2 - Cooperklimt (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Mount Pelliar (20/1), 3 - Lord Wimborne (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win:6 - Uffda (5/2)
Place:5 - Stellar Cap (7/2)
Show:3 - Beau Soleil (6/1)
Other contenders:7 - Toulouse Detrac (9/5), 2 - Sapadilla (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:6 - Check'S On The Way (5/2)
Place:3 - It'S A Factor (12/1)
Show:2 - Earned Not Given (4/5)
Other contenders:5 - Dynodave (3/1), 1 - El Diamante Negro (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Grey Area (8/1)
Place:6 - Falcon Wings (15/1)
Show:9 - El Ondeado (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - James J. Braddock (10/1), 1 - Western Freedom (8/5), 7 - Sir Tom (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Dendera (15/1)
Place:2 - Annie'S Joy (5/2)
Show:5 - Tiznow Mama (10/1)
Other contenders:1 - Elegant Sway (6/1), 8 - Chasingserendipity (4/1), 7 - Big Mama Sue (9/5)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Anarchist (10/1)
Place:1 - Big City Lights (2/5)
Show:3 - Roll On Big Joe (5/1)
Other contenders:6 - For All Mankind (8/1), 4 - Bartholdy (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Entressa (2/1)
Place:2 - Comeback Girl (12/1)
Show:3 - Mckechnie (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Paarl (15/1), 5 - Marula (10/1), 6 - Kitty Marren (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Afternoon Nap (9/2)
Place:7 - Duty First (12/1)
Show:1 - Clever Clover (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Lonesome Stew (3/5), 6 - Gypsy Tears (20/1), 2 - Final Storm (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:2 - Hothead (5/2)
Place:5 - Riding By (20/1)
Show:9 - P Town Prancer (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Horizon Wildcat (3/1), 1 - Willisau (15/1), 3 - Owl (10/1), 8 - Pecks Lane (5/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AFTERNOON NAPANARCHISTANNIE'S JOYBARTHOLDYBEAU SOLEIL
BIG MAMA SUEBOUND TO SUCCEEDBRO BROCHASINGSERENDIPITYCHECK'S ON THE WAY
CLOUDY WOMENCOMEBACK GIRLCOOPERKLIMTCURLIN COMMANDDENDERA
DUTY FIRSTDYNODAVEEARNED NOT GIVENEL DIAMANTE NEGROEL ONDEADO
ENTRESSAFALCON WINGSFAVOR TO YOUFINAL STORMFOR ALL MANKIND
GLACIER RIMGOODFELLAGREY AREAGREY POWERGYPSY TEARS
HOTHEADISABEL LUDLOWIT'S A FACTORJAMES J. BRADDOCKJOHNNY WHISPERS
KITTY MARRENLILLIPUTLITTLE DITTYLONESOME STEWLOOKOUT POINT
MARULAMBAGNICKMCKECHNIEMIO BAMBINOMISCHIEF'S THIRSTY
NAMELESSNOBEL GARYOVER THE OCEANOWLP TOWN PRANCER
PECKS LANEPIO NONORESEMBLANCERIDING BYROLL ON BIG JOE
SAPADILLASILVER I AMSIR TOMSTELLAR CAPSTRANGE ADDICTION
TIZNOW MAMATOM SEAVERTOULOUSE DETRACUFFDAWARRENS WORLD
WILLISAUZEYARAAT