Presque Isle Downs July 22, 2024 - Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | July 19, 2024, 1:18 p.m.

 

 

 
Race 1
Win:6 - High Stakes
Place:1 - Homer Jones
Show:4 - Speranzas Will
Other contenders:2 - Camilo
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Toni Marie
Place:6 - Courageous Ari
Show:4 - Hazard Pay
Other contenders:5 - Art Nouveau
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Leonard'S Legacy
Place:7 - Khozando
Show:3 - Bear Creek
Other contenders:4 - Joe Phillips, 1 - Erlan
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Arak
Place:9 - Blueberry
Show:4 - Templet
Other contenders:5 - Secretary Of War, 8 - Round Of Applause
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Shy Da Runner
Place:4 - Robo Warrior
Show:8 - Uncle Kenny
Other contenders:1 - Inscrutable, 2 - Mackenzie'S Novva
 
Race 6
Win:6 - She'S Fire
Place:4 - Yankee Dollar
Show:1 - Beechnut Trophy
Other contenders:5 - Valentina Day, 2 - Marksman Queen
 
Race 7 - Hard Spun Stakes
Win:2 - Going Up
Place:8 - Twilight Dancer
Show:5 - Paynted Warrior
Other contenders:4 - Nice Ace, 7 - He'S A Mess
 
Race 8
Win:5 - New Ways To Dream
Place:7 - Cherokee Chatter
Show:6 - Runaway Breeze
Other contenders:4 - Song Of Indy, 3 - Down To Earth

 

 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 20, FPS Midpoint: 20, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 50, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1,

Race 7 - Hard Spun Stakes

Going Up

Looking at average speed, Going Up is only average although he's seen improvement in his last three races and has the highest speed of any entry. So why pick him for the win? Going Up's works are stellar, speed is trending up, all fps numbers are improving, as are all his pace numbers. He's getting better with each run and a "better" Going Up is easily capable of winning this race.

Twilight Dancer

Paynted Warrior

Nice Ace

He's A Mess