Verified results · September 21
Our Weight Set 3 top picks won 26 races yesterday.
Every horse on every card was ranked by our machine-learning models before post time.
Win rate on every graded Thoroughbred race, week by week. The morning line is the track's own overnight favorite, set from the same form our picks are made from.
Show the numbers
| Week of | Our AI picks | Morning-line favorite | Races |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | 37% | 32% | 268 |
| Aug 18 | 36% | 30% | 664 |
| Aug 25 | 36% | 31% | 676 |
| Sep 1 | 38% | 33% | 722 |
| Sep 8 | 39% | 32% | 580 |
| Sep 15 | 35% | 31% | 594 |
AI top-pick winners paid $4.21 on average · Post-time favorites won 36 of 71 (51%) and paid $3.98 · Pick Pony expert picks went 15 for 55 (27%) at $4.06 average.
Today: 80 races across 10 tracks — Assiniboia Downs, Fairmount Park, Finger Lakes Gaming & Racetrack and 7 more. Picks are live now.
- Expert Consensus Picks every race day
- AI Picks: Algo 1, the AI Ensemble and the AI Win Probability model
- Today’s Best Bets — where the AI and the experts agree
- Daily Handicapper Report and Mini Tip Sheet for every track
- Smart Stats on every horse name
- Fair odds, Live Overlays and exotics structures for Handicapper members
Smart Stats Card — the members-only deep dive on every horse
Click any horse’s name anywhere on Pick Pony — including the winners above — and a full analysis card pops up:
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Today's free best bet · September 22
AI and the experts agree on this one.
Our AI top pick and the independent expert consensus landed on the same horse — the strongest daily signal we track, and the record shown is how that exact tier has run over the last 90 days. Picks are made the night before and re-ranked each morning once the official scratches are out. One free per day; members get the full alignment list every morning.
How Pick Pony works
Every horse gets rated
Eleven machine-learning models score every entrant at every covered track — form, pace, class, connections — hours before post time.
You get the picks first
Tip sheets, Smart Stats, and full past performances land in your account every race day, so you bet with the data — not a hunch.
Results you can verify
We publish yesterday’s hits, misses, and payoffs right here on the homepage. No cherry-picking, no fine print.
Compare membership plans
| Starter $3/mo or $27/yr | Insider $10/mo or $119/yr | Most popular Handicapper $25/mo | Pro $49/mo | Pro Elite $149/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Picks: Algo 1 (weighted rating) | AI Picks: Algo 1 + Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2 + Algo 3 (AI Win Probability with fair odds) | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2, 3 plus longshot model rankings | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2, 3 plus longshot model rankings |
| Expert Consensus Picks for most tracks | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track |
| Today's Best Bets (AI and expert alignment) | Today's Best Bets (AI and expert alignment) | Today's Best Bets (AI and expert alignment) | Today's Best Bets (AI and expert alignment) | Today's Best Bets (AI and expert alignment) |
| Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track |
| Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day |
| AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) |
| — | — | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing |
| — | — | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures, plus Pick 3 / Pick 4 ticket construction | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures, plus Pick 3 / Pick 4 ticket construction |
| — | — | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live |
| — | — | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks |
| Smart Stats Cards — AI Performance Chart, AI Model Score History, Analyst Comments and Notables, Track Bias by Lane, Performance vs. Peers, Figure Comparison, Race Pace Simulation, Stats Table | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Starter plus Winning Profiles and E1/E2/LP Pace Positions | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Insider plus Race Pace Bias and Total Pace | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Insider plus Race Pace Bias and Total Pace | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Handicapper plus AI Model Score Badges and AI Model Comparison |
| — | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link |
| Track Sense: bet tracker, bankrolls, handicapping pad | Track Sense: bet tracker, bankrolls, handicapping pad | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import |
| Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap |
| — | Member forums | Member forums | Member forums | Member forums plus the private Elite Handicapper forum and office hours |
| — | — | — | Daily data export (CSV) of every pick, probability and model score | Daily data export (CSV) of every pick, probability and model score |
| — | — | — | — | Value Longshot Alerts (capped membership) |
| Fewer advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements |
| — | — | — | — | Membership is capped to keep the odds honest |
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