Belmont at Aqueduct October 19, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 19, 2024, 7:48 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Gun It (9/2)
Place:2 - Locked (4/5)
Show:3 - Quality Chic (20/1)
Other contenders:6 - Thrill Of It (15/1), 7 - Costa Terra (7/2)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Cool Operator (9/2)
Place:4 - Whiskey N Soda (4/1)
Show:6 - Street Swagg (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Principe D'Oro (8/1), 7 - Smile Mon (3/1), 1 - Rakia (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Mcdiesel (10/1)
Place:6 - Fully Authorized (8/1)
Show:2 - Surfside Moon (12/1)
Other contenders:8 - Flamingproposition (20/1), 7 - Aviator Gui (3/1), 1 - Concord Green (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:16 - Looks First (3/1)
Place:1 - Street View (7/2)
Show:15 - Focus Pocus (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Sale Leaseback (4/1), 7 - Classic Cara (12/1), 14 - Looking For Ginny (9/2), 11 - True Myth (6/1), 10 - Our Finest Hour (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Fade To Grey (9/2)
Place:1 - Camera (3/1)
Show:6 - Bon Adieu (20/1)
Other contenders:8 - Cinderella'S Cause (9/2), 4 - My Shea D Lady (8/1), 2 - Whocouldaskformo (5/2)
 
Race 6
Win:10 - Unlimitedpotential (9/2)
Place:2 - Treaty Obligation (3/1)
Show:7 - Have You Heard (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Sorority Prank (6/1), 9 - Screaming Uncle (30/1), 4 - Storming Chrome (10/1), 5 - More Vino (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Bigfoot Sighting (12/1)
Place:2 - Iron Max (10/1)
Show:3 - Firebreathingbrown (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - George Briggs (9/2), 5 - Powered By Coal (15/1), 6 - Deemer (3/1), 7 - Calling Card (6/1), 8 - Trinity River (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Daufuskie Island (3/1)
Place:1 - Cees Get Degrees (5/1)
Show:3 - Cold As Hell (8/1)
Other contenders:9 - Poppy'S Pride (10/1), 5 - Commerce Comet (6/1), 4 - Secret Rules (7/2), 7 - Dangerous Ride (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Mondego (9/2)
Place:1 - Daunt (6/1)
Show:10 - Call Me Harry (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Irwin (12/1), 7 - Wonderful Justice (15/1), 3 - Mccullough (4/1), 11 - Retweet (30/1)
 
Race 10
Win:6 - Prerequisite (3/1)
Place:10 - Movie Moxy (9/5)
Show:8 - Thirty Thou Kelvin (20/1)
Other contenders:2 - Spirit And Glory (4/1), 9 - Evidencias (5/2), 7 - Papilio (4/1), 1 - Tufani (8/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - Winter'S Ghost (5/1)
Place:11 - Blake B. (9/2)
Show:8 - Alternate Reality (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - First Glimpse (3/1), 6 - Mason Mania (4/1), 4 - Higher Quality (8/1), 2 - Allaboutthemoney (15/1)
 
Race 12
Win:13 - Reconcile (7/2)
Place:4 - Mz Big Bucks (4/1)
Show:9 - Reflexivity (8/1)
Other contenders:10 - Progeny (12/1), 3 - Leslie'S Humor (3/1), 6 - Masterof The Tunes (10/1), 2 - Lisa'S Vision (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Locked (4/5)
Place:4 - Gun It (9/2)
Show:3 - Quality Chic (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Costa Terra (7/2), 6 - Thrill Of It (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Cool Operator (9/2)
Place:4 - Whiskey N Soda (4/1)
Show:6 - Street Swagg (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Smile Mon (3/1), 3 - Principe D'Oro (8/1), 1 - Rakia (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Mcdiesel (10/1)
Place:6 - Fully Authorized (8/1)
Show:2 - Surfside Moon (12/1)
Other contenders:8 - Flamingproposition (20/1), 7 - Aviator Gui (3/1), 1 - Concord Green (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Street View (7/2)
Place:16 - Looks First (3/1)
Show:15 - Focus Pocus (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Sale Leaseback (4/1), 14 - Looking For Ginny (9/2), 7 - Classic Cara (12/1), 11 - True Myth (6/1), 10 - Our Finest Hour (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Fade To Grey (9/2)
Place:1 - Camera (3/1)
Show:6 - Bon Adieu (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - My Shea D Lady (8/1), 8 - Cinderella'S Cause (9/2), 2 - Whocouldaskformo (5/2)
 
Race 6
Win:10 - Unlimitedpotential (9/2)
Place:2 - Treaty Obligation (3/1)
Show:7 - Have You Heard (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Sorority Prank (6/1), 4 - Storming Chrome (10/1), 9 - Screaming Uncle (30/1), 5 - More Vino (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Bigfoot Sighting (12/1)
Place:2 - Iron Max (10/1)
Show:3 - Firebreathingbrown (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - George Briggs (9/2), 5 - Powered By Coal (15/1), 6 - Deemer (3/1), 7 - Calling Card (6/1), 8 - Trinity River (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Daufuskie Island (3/1)
Place:1 - Cees Get Degrees (5/1)
Show:5 - Commerce Comet (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Cold As Hell (8/1), 9 - Poppy'S Pride (10/1), 4 - Secret Rules (7/2), 7 - Dangerous Ride (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Mondego (9/2)
Place:10 - Call Me Harry (8/1)
Show:1 - Daunt (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Irwin (12/1), 7 - Wonderful Justice (15/1), 3 - Mccullough (4/1), 11 - Retweet (30/1)
 
Race 10
Win:6 - Prerequisite (3/1)
Place:10 - Movie Moxy (9/5)
Show:8 - Thirty Thou Kelvin (20/1)
Other contenders:2 - Spirit And Glory (4/1), 7 - Papilio (4/1), 9 - Evidencias (5/2), 1 - Tufani (8/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - Winter'S Ghost (5/1)
Place:11 - Blake B. (9/2)
Show:7 - First Glimpse (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Mason Mania (4/1), 8 - Alternate Reality (20/1), 4 - Higher Quality (8/1), 10 - Grandpa'S Kid (15/1)
 
Race 12
Win:13 - Reconcile (7/2)
Place:4 - Mz Big Bucks (4/1)
Show:9 - Reflexivity (8/1)
Other contenders:10 - Progeny (12/1), 3 - Leslie'S Humor (3/1), 6 - Masterof The Tunes (10/1), 2 - Lisa'S Vision (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Gun It (9/2)
Place:2 - Locked (4/5)
Show:3 - Quality Chic (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Costa Terra (7/2), 6 - Thrill Of It (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Cool Operator (9/2)
Place:6 - Street Swagg (12/1)
Show:4 - Whiskey N Soda (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Principe D'Oro (8/1), 7 - Smile Mon (3/1), 1 - Rakia (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Mcdiesel (10/1)
Place:6 - Fully Authorized (8/1)
Show:2 - Surfside Moon (12/1)
Other contenders:8 - Flamingproposition (20/1), 7 - Aviator Gui (3/1), 1 - Concord Green (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:15 - Focus Pocus (6/1)
Place:16 - Looks First (3/1)
Show:1 - Street View (7/2)
Other contenders:7 - Classic Cara (12/1), 14 - Looking For Ginny (9/2), 3 - Sale Leaseback (4/1), 11 - True Myth (6/1), 10 - Our Finest Hour (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Bon Adieu (20/1)
Place:5 - Fade To Grey (9/2)
Show:1 - Camera (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - My Shea D Lady (8/1), 8 - Cinderella'S Cause (9/2), 9 - Just Music (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:10 - Unlimitedpotential (9/2)
Place:2 - Treaty Obligation (3/1)
Show:4 - Storming Chrome (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Have You Heard (8/1), 8 - Sorority Prank (6/1), 9 - Screaming Uncle (30/1), 5 - More Vino (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Bigfoot Sighting (12/1)
Place:2 - Iron Max (10/1)
Show:3 - Firebreathingbrown (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - George Briggs (9/2), 5 - Powered By Coal (15/1), 6 - Deemer (3/1), 7 - Calling Card (6/1), 8 - Trinity River (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Daufuskie Island (3/1)
Place:9 - Poppy'S Pride (10/1)
Show:1 - Cees Get Degrees (5/1)
Other contenders:3 - Cold As Hell (8/1), 4 - Secret Rules (7/2), 5 - Commerce Comet (6/1), 7 - Dangerous Ride (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Mondego (9/2)
Place:10 - Call Me Harry (8/1)
Show:6 - Irwin (12/1)
Other contenders:1 - Daunt (6/1), 7 - Wonderful Justice (15/1), 3 - Mccullough (4/1), 11 - Retweet (30/1)
 
Race 10
Win:6 - Prerequisite (3/1)
Place:8 - Thirty Thou Kelvin (20/1)
Show:10 - Movie Moxy (9/5)
Other contenders:2 - Spirit And Glory (4/1), 7 - Papilio (4/1), 11 - Amanda'S Folly (4/1), 9 - Evidencias (5/2)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - Winter'S Ghost (5/1)
Place:11 - Blake B. (9/2)
Show:6 - Mason Mania (4/1)
Other contenders:10 - Grandpa'S Kid (15/1), 8 - Alternate Reality (20/1), 7 - First Glimpse (3/1), 4 - Higher Quality (8/1)
 
Race 12
Win:13 - Reconcile (7/2)
Place:4 - Mz Big Bucks (4/1)
Show:9 - Reflexivity (8/1)
Other contenders:10 - Progeny (12/1), 6 - Masterof The Tunes (10/1), 3 - Leslie'S Humor (3/1), 2 - Lisa'S Vision (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ADDRESSABLE MARKETAIN'T NO LADYALLABOUTTHEMONEYALTERNATE REALITYAMANDA'S FOLLY
AVIATOR GUIAZ U CHASE MEBACKSIDE BUZZBAR FOURTEENBIGFOOT SIGHTING
BOLD VICTORYBON ADIEUBRAMITOBRODERIECALL ME HARRY
CAMERACAPTURE THE TIMECEES GET DEGREESCHILD OF THE MOONCINDERELLA'S CAUSE
COLD AS HELLCOLDHARDSTARECOMMERCE COMETCONCORD GREENCOOL OPERATOR
DANGEROUS RIDEDAUFUSKIE ISLANDDAUNTDEEMERDYNADRIVE
EVIDENCIASEXOTIC CATFADE TO GREYFIREBREATHINGBROWNFIRST GLIMPSE
FOCUS POCUSFULLY AUTHORIZEDGEORGE BRIGGSGETAWAY PALACEGRANDPA'S KID
GUNNER'S GOLDHAVE YOU HEARDHIGHER QUALITYI'M DUEICE TIME
IRON MAXIRWINJENAS MERCYJUST CLARITYJUST LICORICE
LA SALVADORENALESLIE'S HUMORLISA'S VISIONLOCKEDLOOKING FOR GINNY
LORD MILESMASON MANIAMASTEROF THE TUNESMCCULLOUGHMCDIESEL
MODICAMONDEGOMOORE'S LAWMORE VINOMOVIE MOXY
MY SHEA D LADYMZ BIG BUCKSOBSTREPEROUSOUR FINEST HOURPAPILIO
PIONEERING SPIRITPIPES AND DRUMSPOPPY'S PRIDEPOWERED BY COALPREREQUISITE
PROGENYPROVE WORTHYPROVISIONPURRFECT GIRLQUALITY CHIC
REAL SAVVYREALLY GOODRECONCILEREFLEXIVITYRETWEET
SCREAMING UNCLESECRET RULESSKY MASTERSONSMILE MONSORORITY PRANK
SPIRIT AND GLORYSTORMING CHROMESTREET SWAGGSTREET VIEWSTRUTSHERSTUFF
THIRTY THOU KELVINTHREE PRIESTSTHRILL OF ITTIZ DASHINGTONED UP
TRINITY RIVERTRUE MYTHTUFANITWOHONESTMISCHIEFUNDERTHEMISTLETOE
VALUATION METRICWAITLISTWHISKEY N SODAWHISTLER'S STYLEWHOCOULDASKFORMO
WINTER'S GHOSTWONDERFUL JUSTICE