Belterra Park September 20, 2024 - Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Sept. 16, 2024, 8:37 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

Algorithm 1

 
Race 1
Win:5 - Morning Reflection (3/1)
Place:3 - Royal Itch (7/2)
Show:2 - Miro Mogo (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Fabulous Philly (5/1), 1 - Poised (4/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Will Virginia Dare (7/2)
Place:4 - Shot Girl (5/2)
Show:5 - Seau N'Tap (3/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Anygivenday (2/1)
Place:3 - Playfulasitgets (3/1)
Show:4 - Earl'S Stormy Wind (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Echo (7/2)
Place:5 - Hold My Crown (5/2)
Show:2 - Satis (9/2)
Other contenders:1 - Flat Out Fay (8/1), 4 - Court Costs (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Ronni'S Wind (7/2)
Place:14 - Our Last Song (6/1)
Show:6 - Factisimflashy (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Miz Keeta (5/2), 10 - Express Fashion (15/1), 7 - Kettle Kiss (5/1), 11 - Danzaniteaway (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:5 - Ronnis Second Wind (3/1)
Place:4 - Live A Little (5/2)
Show:3 - Come On Arlene (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Gretchens Mane Man (10/1), 6 - Parlay (5/2), 7 - Smokin Joe (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:5 - Aferdita (2/1)
Place:4 - Beach Kitten (7/2)
Show:7 - Quicky Desire (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Li'L Miss Camille (4/1), 6 - Twirling Ruth (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Devils Red (4/1)
Place:4 - Moon Mischief (10/1)
Show:6 - Stitzy (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Perfect Painting (7/2), 7 - Maynard (5/2), 5 - Agador Spartacus (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Sloww Downn (5/2)
Place:1 - The Red Eagle Creek (4/1)
Show:6 - Lb Brazillian Babe (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Mw Youwishedforthis (7/2), 7 - Lot T Dot T (20/1), 11 - Mckenzie Foose (10/1), 5 - Stop That Train (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2

 
Race 1
Win:5 - Morning Reflection (3/1)
Place:3 - Royal Itch (7/2)
Show:2 - Miro Mogo (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Fabulous Philly (5/1), 1 - Poised (4/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Will Virginia Dare (7/2)
Place:4 - Shot Girl (5/2)
Show:5 - Seau N'Tap (3/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Anygivenday (2/1)
Place:3 - Playfulasitgets (3/1)
Show:4 - Earl'S Stormy Wind (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Hold My Crown (5/2)
Place:3 - Echo (7/2)
Show:2 - Satis (9/2)
Other contenders:1 - Flat Out Fay (8/1), 4 - Court Costs (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Ronni'S Wind (7/2)
Place:14 - Our Last Song (6/1)
Show:6 - Factisimflashy (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Miz Keeta (5/2), 7 - Kettle Kiss (5/1), 10 - Express Fashion (15/1), 11 - Danzaniteaway (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:5 - Ronnis Second Wind (3/1)
Place:4 - Live A Little (5/2)
Show:3 - Come On Arlene (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Gretchens Mane Man (10/1), 6 - Parlay (5/2), 7 - Smokin Joe (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:5 - Aferdita (2/1)
Place:4 - Beach Kitten (7/2)
Show:7 - Quicky Desire (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Twirling Ruth (5/1), 1 - Li'L Miss Camille (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Devils Red (4/1)
Place:4 - Moon Mischief (10/1)
Show:6 - Stitzy (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Perfect Painting (7/2), 7 - Maynard (5/2), 5 - Agador Spartacus (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Sloww Downn (5/2)
Place:6 - Lb Brazillian Babe (8/1)
Show:1 - The Red Eagle Creek (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Mw Youwishedforthis (7/2), 10 - Mrcoasttocoasttopend (8/1), 7 - Lot T Dot T (20/1), 11 - Mckenzie Foose (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3

 
Race 1
Win:5 - Morning Reflection (3/1)
Place:3 - Royal Itch (7/2)
Show:2 - Miro Mogo (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Fabulous Philly (5/1), 1 - Poised (4/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Will Virginia Dare (7/2)
Place:4 - Shot Girl (5/2)
Show:5 - Seau N'Tap (3/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Anygivenday (2/1)
Place:4 - Earl'S Stormy Wind (7/2)
Show:5 - Heidi N Seek (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Hold My Crown (5/2)
Place:3 - Echo (7/2)
Show:2 - Satis (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Court Costs (6/1), 1 - Flat Out Fay (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Ronni'S Wind (7/2)
Place:6 - Factisimflashy (8/1)
Show:14 - Our Last Song (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Miz Keeta (5/2), 10 - Express Fashion (15/1), 7 - Kettle Kiss (5/1), 11 - Danzaniteaway (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:5 - Ronnis Second Wind (3/1)
Place:4 - Live A Little (5/2)
Show:3 - Come On Arlene (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Gretchens Mane Man (10/1), 6 - Parlay (5/2), 7 - Smokin Joe (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:5 - Aferdita (2/1)
Place:4 - Beach Kitten (7/2)
Show:1 - Li'L Miss Camille (4/1)
Other contenders:7 - Quicky Desire (3/1), 6 - Twirling Ruth (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Devils Red (4/1)
Place:4 - Moon Mischief (10/1)
Show:6 - Stitzy (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Perfect Painting (7/2), 7 - Maynard (5/2), 5 - Agador Spartacus (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Sloww Downn (5/2)
Place:8 - Mw Youwishedforthis (7/2)
Show:10 - Mrcoasttocoasttopend (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - The Red Eagle Creek (4/1), 6 - Lb Brazillian Babe (8/1), 7 - Lot T Dot T (20/1), 11 - Mckenzie Foose (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AFERDITAAGADOR SPARTACUSANYGIVENDAYBEACH KITTENBRIEF ENCOUNTER
CINDY POPCOME ON ARLENECOURT COSTSDANZANITEAWAYDEVILS RED
EARL'S STORMY WINDECHOEXPRESS FASHIONFABULOUS PHILLYFACTISIMFLASHY
GOODNESS SAKESGREEN LADYGRETCHENS MANE MANHEIDI N SEEKHOLD MY CROWN
JUST LIKE RAMBOKATNAPPINGKERLO'S CAUSEKETTLE COALMINEKETTLE KISS
LI'L MISS CAMILLELIL KOOL OKEYLIVE A LITTLELOT T DOT TLUNAR EVENT
MCKENZIE FOOSEMIRO MOGOMISS ELIANAMIZ KEETAMOBIL CHIC
MOON PARTYMORNING REFLECTIONMRCOASTTOCOASTTOPENDMW YOUWISHEDFORTHISOH GLORIOUS DAY
P K WOODPARLAYPERFECT PAINTINGPLAYFULASITGETSPOISED
QUICKY DESIRERATATATRONNI'S WINDRONNIS SECOND WINDROYAL ITCH
SEAU N'TAPSHOT GIRLSLOWW DOWNNSMOKIN JOESPICY TUNA
STOP THAT TRAINTHE RED EAGLE CREEKTWIRLING RUTHWILL VIRGINIA DAREWRITTEN CONSENT