Colonial Downs September 7, 2024 - Analysis, picks, and prediction

Pick Pony | Sept. 6, 2024, 6:52 p.m.

Algorithm 1

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Slanderous (7/2)
Place:10 - Miss Tapatia (30/1)
Show:11 - Thunder Bern (15/1)
Other contenders:2 - Huixtla (3/1), 9 - Florina (30/1), 3 - Show' Em Nola (30/1), 1 - Nancy Mary (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Jetaros (2/1)
Place:5 - Abadin (7/2)
Show:2 - King Covee (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Wild West Justice (10/1), 4 - Silver Front (20/1), 6 - Horsepower (4/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Arden'Sluckytobe (15/1)
Place:2 - Lady Radler (6/1)
Show:4 - Swiftsure (9/2)
Other contenders:1 - Patriot Spirit (3/1), 6 - Love The Nest (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win:8 - Grey Shadow (8/1)
Place:3 - Extraordinary One (20/1)
Show:6 - Academy (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Patrick'S Promise (7/2), 5 - National Law (3/1), 9 - Bright Angel (15/1), 1 - New Plex (30/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Webslinger (4/5)
Place:4 - Sports Editor (15/1)
Show:2 - Truly Quality (5/2)
Other contenders:5 - Clyde'S Got A Gun (8/1), 6 - Mclovin (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win:11 - Out On Bail (4/1)
Place:6 - Ace It (20/1)
Show:3 - Governor Sam (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Bottoms Up (30/1), 10 - Pay The Juice (6/1), 12 - Lazio (12/1), 2 - I'M Otter Here (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win:7 - Just For The Money (20/1)
Place:10 - Good Directions (7/2)
Show:5 - Sackett (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Notmyfirstrodeo (30/1), 2 - Thrilla (6/1), 6 - Meistersinger (12/1), 1 - Aristotle (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Sweet Cherry Pie (12/1)
Place:3 - Bear River (15/1)
Show:13 - Determined Kingdom (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Run Carson (6/1), 9 - Dream Shake (7/2), 14 - That'S Right (10/1), 6 - Maya Prince (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:9 - She'S Fire (20/1)
Place:11 - Kalispera (4/1)
Show:1 - Style Points (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Deep Satin (5/1), 6 - Awesome Czech (10/1), 12 - Call Another Play (8/1), 8 - Brocknardini (30/1)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Deterministic (3/1)
Place:10 - Oscar'S World (12/1)
Show:4 - Izzy D'Oro (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - In A Jam (6/1), 12 - Zverev (10/1), 7 - Desvio (8/1), 5 - Frontline Warrior (30/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - Dona Illusion (8/1)
Place:2 - Uncaptured Dove (9/2)
Show:3 - Morning Miracle (9/5)
Other contenders:4 - Tales To Tell (5/2), 5 - City Minute (10/1), 6 - Beautiful Mischief (20/1)
 
Race 12
Win:2 - Turf Rocket (5/1)
Place:1 - Sky Victory (8/1)
Show:4 - Double Fireball (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Sleepwalker (10/1), 11 - St. Susan (20/1), 10 - Atmidnight (10/1), 6 - Miss Delicious (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

Algorithm 2

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Slanderous (7/2)
Place:10 - Miss Tapatia (30/1)
Show:11 - Thunder Bern (15/1)
Other contenders:2 - Huixtla (3/1), 9 - Florina (30/1), 1 - Nancy Mary (8/1), 3 - Show' Em Nola (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Jetaros (2/1)
Place:5 - Abadin (7/2)
Show:2 - King Covee (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Wild West Justice (10/1), 6 - Horsepower (4/1), 4 - Silver Front (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Arden'Sluckytobe (15/1)
Place:2 - Lady Radler (6/1)
Show:4 - Swiftsure (9/2)
Other contenders:1 - Patriot Spirit (3/1), 6 - Love The Nest (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win:8 - Grey Shadow (8/1)
Place:6 - Academy (5/2)
Show:4 - Patrick'S Promise (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Extraordinary One (20/1), 5 - National Law (3/1), 9 - Bright Angel (15/1), 10 - Marshal (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Webslinger (4/5)
Place:4 - Sports Editor (15/1)
Show:2 - Truly Quality (5/2)
Other contenders:5 - Clyde'S Got A Gun (8/1), 6 - Mclovin (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win:11 - Out On Bail (4/1)
Place:6 - Ace It (20/1)
Show:3 - Governor Sam (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Bottoms Up (30/1), 10 - Pay The Juice (6/1), 12 - Lazio (12/1), 2 - I'M Otter Here (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win:7 - Just For The Money (20/1)
Place:10 - Good Directions (7/2)
Show:5 - Sackett (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Notmyfirstrodeo (30/1), 2 - Thrilla (6/1), 6 - Meistersinger (12/1), 1 - Aristotle (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Sweet Cherry Pie (12/1)
Place:13 - Determined Kingdom (8/1)
Show:9 - Dream Shake (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Bear River (15/1), 7 - Run Carson (6/1), 14 - That'S Right (10/1), 8 - Nothing Better (4/1)
 
Race 9
Win:9 - She'S Fire (20/1)
Place:11 - Kalispera (4/1)
Show:1 - Style Points (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Deep Satin (5/1), 12 - Call Another Play (8/1), 6 - Awesome Czech (10/1), 3 - Pendulum (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Deterministic (3/1)
Place:10 - Oscar'S World (12/1)
Show:4 - Izzy D'Oro (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - In A Jam (6/1), 12 - Zverev (10/1), 7 - Desvio (8/1), 5 - Frontline Warrior (30/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - Dona Illusion (8/1)
Place:2 - Uncaptured Dove (9/2)
Show:3 - Morning Miracle (9/5)
Other contenders:4 - Tales To Tell (5/2), 5 - City Minute (10/1), 6 - Beautiful Mischief (20/1)
 
Race 12
Win:2 - Turf Rocket (5/1)
Place:1 - Sky Victory (8/1)
Show:7 - Sleepwalker (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Double Fireball (20/1), 11 - St. Susan (20/1), 10 - Atmidnight (10/1), 6 - Miss Delicious (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

Algorithm 3

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Slanderous (7/2)
Place:10 - Miss Tapatia (30/1)
Show:11 - Thunder Bern (15/1)
Other contenders:2 - Huixtla (3/1), 9 - Florina (30/1), 3 - Show' Em Nola (30/1), 1 - Nancy Mary (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Jetaros (2/1)
Place:5 - Abadin (7/2)
Show:8 - Wild West Justice (10/1)
Other contenders:2 - King Covee (3/1), 6 - Horsepower (4/1), 7 - Jupiter Blues (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Arden'Sluckytobe (15/1)
Place:2 - Lady Radler (6/1)
Show:4 - Swiftsure (9/2)
Other contenders:1 - Patriot Spirit (3/1), 6 - Love The Nest (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win:8 - Grey Shadow (8/1)
Place:6 - Academy (5/2)
Show:4 - Patrick'S Promise (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - National Law (3/1), 3 - Extraordinary One (20/1), 9 - Bright Angel (15/1), 10 - Marshal (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Webslinger (4/5)
Place:2 - Truly Quality (5/2)
Show:4 - Sports Editor (15/1)
Other contenders:5 - Clyde'S Got A Gun (8/1), 6 - Mclovin (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win:11 - Out On Bail (4/1)
Place:3 - Governor Sam (5/2)
Show:6 - Ace It (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Pay The Juice (6/1), 4 - Bottoms Up (30/1), 12 - Lazio (12/1), 2 - I'M Otter Here (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win:7 - Just For The Money (20/1)
Place:10 - Good Directions (7/2)
Show:2 - Thrilla (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Sackett (30/1), 4 - Notmyfirstrodeo (30/1), 6 - Meistersinger (12/1), 1 - Aristotle (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Sweet Cherry Pie (12/1)
Place:8 - Nothing Better (4/1)
Show:13 - Determined Kingdom (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Run Carson (6/1), 3 - Bear River (15/1), 14 - That'S Right (10/1), 9 - Dream Shake (7/2)
 
Race 9
Win:9 - She'S Fire (20/1)
Place:11 - Kalispera (4/1)
Show:7 - Deep Satin (5/1)
Other contenders:1 - Style Points (8/1), 6 - Awesome Czech (10/1), 12 - Call Another Play (8/1), 10 - Smooth Waves (30/1)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Deterministic (3/1)
Place:1 - Herchee (5/1)
Show:10 - Oscar'S World (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Izzy D'Oro (30/1), 6 - In A Jam (6/1), 7 - Desvio (8/1), 2 - Grand Mo The First (4/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - Dona Illusion (8/1)
Place:2 - Uncaptured Dove (9/2)
Show:3 - Morning Miracle (9/5)
Other contenders:4 - Tales To Tell (5/2), 5 - City Minute (10/1), 6 - Beautiful Mischief (20/1)
 
Race 12
Win:2 - Turf Rocket (5/1)
Place:1 - Sky Victory (8/1)
Show:7 - Sleepwalker (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Double Fireball (20/1), 6 - Miss Delicious (12/1), 10 - Atmidnight (10/1), 9 - Malawnia (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

Entries

ABADINACADEMYACE ITALEXIS ZORBAARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE
ASPEN DAWNATMIDNIGHTAWESOME CZECHBEAR RIVERBEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF
BELTANEBOTTOMS UPBOUNCERBRIGHT ANGELBROCKNARDINI
CAROTARICHISELERCITY MINUTECLYDE'S GOT A GUNCRUZIN MAN
DANCING BEARDEEP SATINDESVIODETERMINED KINGDOMDETERMINISTIC
DONA ILLUSIONDOUBLE FIREBALLDREAM SHAKEECHO LANEENRICHED
FIRE PITFLORINAFONTABELLEFRONTLINE WARRIORFULMINEO
GOOD DIRECTIONSGOVERNOR SAMGRAND LIAMGRAND MO THE FIRSTGREELEY AND BEN
HAIL NOHARRIERHERCHEEHIGH SHOTHORSEPOWER
I'M OTTER HEREIN A JAMISIVUNGUVUNGUIZZY D'OROJETAROS
JUST A FAIR SHAKEJUST FOR THE MONEYKALISPERAKAREN'S DREAMKING COVEE
LADY RADLERLAZIOLOVE THE NESTLULLABY LANDMALAWNIA
MASSIFMAYA PRINCEMCLOVINMEISTERSINGERMISS DELICIOUS
MISTER MMMMMMORE THAN GLORYMORNING MIRACLEMRS. ASTORNANCY MARY
NEW PLEXNOTHING BETTERNOTMYFIRSTRODEOONCOURTCOMMENTATOROSCAR'S WORLD
PATRICK'S PROMISEPATRIOT SPIRITPAY THE JUICEPENDULUMPOWER DANCE
READY FOR PEACERUN CARSONSACKETTSAVVY DEPARTURESHAREDASHENANIGANS
SHOW' EM NOLASIESTA KEYSILVER FRONTSKY VICTORYSLANDEROUS
SMOOTH WAVESSPORTS EDITORST. SUSANSTYLE POINTSSWEET CHERRY PIE
TALES TO TELLTHAT'S RIGHTTHRILLATHUNDER BERNTREVAGGIO
TURF ROCKETUNCAPTURED DOVEWEBSLINGERWILD WEST JUSTICEZVEREV