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Pick Pony | March 21, 2024, 2:01 p.m.
The large number is the race number.
Next are the exotic bets available for this race.
The distance, type of race, etc. are presented in the large paragraph.
Post time shows Easter, Central, Mountain, and Pacific time zones. The race’s time zone will be surrounded by parenthesis.
Next are the pace and speed ratings. Located at the top right of the page, they show the average pace and speed ratings for the leader/winner of races at today’s class level and distance.
Jockey Stats
Provides information on:
A number that measures the quality of each horse’s most recent starts by combining dozens of handicapping factors into one easy-to-use rating. Speed, class, pace, form, weight, distance, and many more factors are combined by a sophisticated algorithm to form this rating. The horse’s ranking in this race appears in parenthesis. For more information on Prime Power, Find High Percentage Plays with PRIME POWER! at the end of this page.
The running style of the horse:
E (Early) = A horse that exhibits this run style is one that typically vies for the early lead or whose best races are run on the lead. Most horses in this category do not successfully rate behind a pacesetter.
E/P (Early/Presser) = A horse that exhibits this run style is one that runs second or third within a few lengths of the lead early before trying to run down the leader. An “E/P” horse, just like an “E” horse, may run on the front end but, unlike an “E” horse, it can be expected to successfully rate behind a pace setter.
P (Presser) = A horse that exhibits this run style is one that runs in the middle of the pack early before trying to run down the leader. A “P” horse may at times run close to the lead but rarely, if ever, challenges for the lead early. Unlike and “S” horse, the “P” horse doesn’t typically run from the rear of the pack in its better races.
S (Sustain or Closer) = A horse that exhibits this run style is one that runs in the back of the pack early before trying to run down the leader.
NA (Not Available) = A horse that is a first-time starter or hasn’t had enough meaningful running lines to accurately assess its preferred run style.
The Pedigree Ratings are in bold above. The rating is applied to each condition. Note that the condition (e.g., Fst, Off, Dis, Trf) also applies to the horse’s career record, which is presented to the right of the Birs Pedigree Ratings.
For more information, please refer to the article Bris Pedigree Ratings at the end of this page.
Found to the right of the horse’s name and Run Style, it tells if a horse is:
To the right of the horse’s career records is the pedigree rating for various race types. To the right of that is the horse's career record over the various race types. Pedigree stats and the horse’s career stats share the same race type label (i.e., “Fst” is used as the label for the Pedigree information and the horses’ career race stats.
For More information on Bris speed ratings, refer to the article Bris Speed Ratings at the end of this page.
It provides information on who owns the horse and the color of the silks the jockey will be wearing in today’s race.
Positive and Negative Comments
Positive comments for a horse will appear in the box on the left, while negative comments will appear in the box on the right.
The date, track, and race number for a horse’s last 10 starts.
The surface the race was run on.
The main dirt track has no designation.
O• = inner dirt track
OT = main turf course
OT = inner turf course
OX = a race that was originally scheduled for the turf but moved to the main track.
OA = all-weather track
The distance the race was run. All races under a mile are measured in furlongs and designated with an “f”.
One furlong = one-eighth of a mile.
Track condition denotes the condition of the track at the time the race was run.
For more information on Bris Pace and Speed Ratings, please refer to the Bris Pace Ratings article at the end of this page.
The name of the jockey that rode the horse and the amount of weight the horse carried, including the jockey.
BRIS Race Shapes enable the user to quickly determine whether a race's pace was unusually fast or slow. The Race Shapes measure how fast the leader ran relative to the average leader time for the race’s final time.
Two Race Shape values are provided for a race. The first BRIS Race Shape value corresponds to the first call (2f call for most sprints; and 4f call for most routes). The second BRIS Race Shape value corresponds to the second call (4f call for most sprints; and 6f call for most routes).
For more information on BRIS Race Shapes, please refer to the Bris Race Shapes article at the end of this page.
Provides information on the total number of races run at today’s distance and surface. If there is an insufficient number of races in the database for the exact distance of today’s race, the distance category (sprint or route) will be displayed instead.
Provides information on the percentage of races won in wire-to-wire fashion at this distance and surface.
The percentage of races won by horses exhibiting either an E or E/P running style.
The date range of the statistics included.
The eventual winner’s average beaten lengths at the 1stCall (first call) of the race and the 2ndCall (second call) of the race.
The BRIS Impact Value mathematically represents the effectiveness of a Running Style or Post Position at a specific track/distance. The average Impact Value of all starts is 1.00 and the higher the number, the better.
Note: The average Impact Value of all Run Styles and Post Positions may not equal 1.00 due to the fact that each Run Style/Post Position category may not have the same number of starts.
Provided for each Running Style, this represents the percentage of races won by each run style.
The average win percentage for the pertinent post position category.
Note: The win percentage will not total 100% because the stats given are averages of post position groups.
NOTE: Horses are ranked in the Race Summary by their Avg Dist/Surf speed rating. If this area is blank, then the order of ranking is random.
PTS or Early Speed Points. The numbers range from 0-8 and measure the Early Speed ability of the horse based on its running position and beaten lengths at the first call of recent races. The higher the number, the more early speed a horse has shown in recent races.
NOTE: A + (plus sign) indicates that this is a favorable running style for this race. A ++ (double plus sign) indicates this is the race's best or most dominant running style. For more information on the + and ++, please refer to the “TRACK BIAS EXPLANATION”.
Avg Dist/Surf: Average speed and pace ratings for the horse specific to today’s distance and surface category.
NOTE: Speed ratings surrounded by asterisks indicate that two or more races occurred at or near today’s distance and surface within the last 90 days and are included in the average. Parentheses indicate that the race used occurred more than 90 days ago. If there are no asterisks or parentheses, there was only one race in the last 90 days at or near today’s distance and surface category, and the pace and speed ratings are for that race.
Final Speed: The Final Speed shows the horse’s final speed figure for the last four races back, starting with the most recent.
Any speed ratings earned at today’s distance/surface category will have a dot after the rating. Turf races are indicated with a “T”.
Speed Last Race: The speed figure earned by each horse in their last start, regardless of distance or surface.
Back Speed: The best speed figure earned by each horse within the last year at today’s distance/surface category.
Current Class: A rating based on a horse’s most recent starts with more emphasis on the most recent starts at or near today’s distance and surface.
Average Class Last 3: An average of the Bris Class Rating for the last three starts, regardless of distance and surface. For more information, please refer to the Bris Race and Class Ratings article at the end of this page.
Prime Power: A number that measures the quality of each horse’s most recent starts by combining dozens of handicapping factors into one easy-to-use rating. Speed, class, pace, form, weight, and many more factors are combined by a sophisticated algorithm to form this rating.
Early Pace Last Race: The early pace rating earned by each horse in its last start, regardless of distance or surface. If the last race was a sprint, the number will be the E2 pace rating and if it was a route, it will be the El pace rating.
Late Pace Last Race: The late pace rating earned by each horse in its last start, regardless of distance or surface.
Win up to 55% of the Time!So, how effective is Prime Power? Consider these results: a comprehensive study of tens of thousands of races shows that Prime Power selects 31% top winners. That's impressive, but when we narrow down the study to only dirt races, the results become even more intriguing.
If the results of this study don't pique your interest, you might need to reassess. You won't find ratings like these anywhere else! Prime Power identifies key horses that win a high percentage of the time. The success rate we're discussing is significantly higher than that of favorites.
Prime Power DefinedPrime Power is a comprehensive rating developed over years. It integrates various elements like BRIS Speed, Class, Pace, form, weight, distance, and more through a complex computer algorithm. This potent figure uses many qualitative handicapping factors to accurately gauge the quality of each horse's recent starts, consolidating them into a single rating. Similar to other BRIS performance figures like Class, Pace, or Speed, a higher number indicates a better rating.
Using Prime PowerAssigning one number per horse simplifies the analysis of contenders in any race. The advantage of Prime Power is that it makes identifying "key" horses as simple as downloading our PPs or using Power Search. You can quickly identify which horses have a significant advantage. Then, you can leverage these "key" Prime Power advantage horses in any of the available exotic wagers.
What does the Bris Pedigree rating measure?
The Fast (Dirt) Pedigree rating evaluates the horse's breeding for dirt races.
The Wet Pedigree rating evaluates the horse's breeding for wet dirt surface races.
The Distance Pedigree rating evaluates the horse's breeding for races at the current distance.
The Turf Pedigree rating evaluates the horse's breeding for turf races.
How should I interpret the Bris Pedigree Rating?
While higher Pedigree Ratings are generally preferred, it's crucial not to merely look for the highest-rated horse. Instead, value-oriented handicappers should compare a horse's rating at today's distance or surface to its other pedigree ratings. Consider whether a horse's pedigree ratings suggest an improvement or decline at today's distance or surface.
In turf races, look for horses with a higher TURF Pedigree Rating compared to their FAST dirt Pedigree Rating. These horses, based on the performances of others with similar breeding, are well-suited to grass and often significantly improve when trying the grass.
In dirt races, look for horses with a higher DIST Pedigree Rating than their overall FAST dirt Pedigree Rating. These horses, based on the performances of others with similar breeding, are well-suited to today's distance and often show substantial improvement when today's distance varies significantly from their other races.
In races on a wet track, look for horses with a higher WET Pedigree Rating than their FAST dirt Pedigree Rating. These horses, based on the performances of others with similar breeding, are well-suited to a wet track and often dramatically improve when running on a wet track.
How are the Bris Pedigree Ratings calculated?
Based on an analysis of hundreds of thousands of starts in North America, we evaluate and measure each start of all offspring from the Sire, Dam, and Damsire for their individual racing aptitudes and preferences. Unlike other pedigree ratings that only reflect win percentages or earnings, the BRIS Pedigree Ratings use a wide range of performance rating tools, such as Speed Ratings, Class Ratings, Power Ratings, etc. These tools accurately measure the actual improvement or decline each offspring displayed at different distances and surfaces. This thorough compilation results in the most accurate, comprehensive, and predictive pedigree ratings available to handicappers.
What do the “?” and “*” symbols mean?
When the BRIS Pedigree Ratings are largely based on small sample sizes, a ‘?’ or ‘*’ symbol is given. Those rated with an ‘*’ have the smallest sample size.
When should I use the Brid Pedigree ratings?
The BRIS Pedigree Ratings are especially valuable when horses are attempting something for the first time. This could include making their first career start, trying a new distance, switching to turf, or running on an off track for the first time.
How are the Bris Speed Ratings calculated?
BRIS Speed Ratings are derived from a variant of the "projection method", which is also the basis for some other popular speed figures. However, unlike these methods, BRIS employs an objective, computer-precise technique to make final time projections, rather than relying on the subjective opinion of a single handicapper.
The system meticulously examines the past performances of every horse competing in a given race - a level of detail only achievable with a computer. The projections produced by Bloodstock Research's computer system are based on proprietary techniques and algorithms, which have been thoroughly tested and proven over hundreds of thousands of races. This precision enables the BRIS Speed Ratings to use the most accurate projections and variants possible.
Are Bris Speed Ratings comparable across different tracks?
Since the ratings are "fully adjusted" to reflect both daily and track-to-track variations, they can be compared across all North American racetracks.
How many speed points represent one length?
The BRIS Speed Ratings scale is based on the widely accepted concept that a length's value decreases as distances increase. On this scale, one length is approximately equivalent to 1.5 points in sprints and about 1 point in routes.
Can Bris Speed Ratings be compared from different distances?
BRIS Speed Ratings are designed for easy comparison of all races, regardless of distance. In theory, a speed rating of 85 in a sprint is equivalent to a speed rating of 85 in a route. However, a sprint speed rating of 85 doesn't necessarily mean the same horse could earn an 85 in a route race. Horses are individuals, not machines, and each one has its own distance limitations.
What are some typical speed ratings for >3 and up males?
BRIS SPEED A typical Grade I stakes winner .................... 106 A typical "OPEN" Claiming $10,000 winner ........... 88 A typical Maiden Claiming $10,000 winner ........... 75
A typical winning Grade I stakes older male horse will earn a BRIS Speed Rating of 106 or thereabout. Of course, these horses will often earn speed ratings much higher in their very best efforts. “Cigar” has earned speed ratings as high as 117.
What’s the difference between a “Race” rating and a “Class” rating?
A Race Rating assesses the overall caliber of horses that competed in a race. The higher the number, the more competitive the race was.
A Class Rating gauges a horse's actual performance in a race. The higher the number, the better the performance.
Who creates the Race and Class ratings?
The Race & Class Ratings are generated daily by computers at Bloodstock Research Information Services, Inc.. A Race Rating is calculated for EVERY RACE in North America. And a Class Rating is calculated for EVERY START of all horses in North America.
What is the theory underlying the Race and Class ratings?
The Race & Class Ratings are predicated on the idea that a horse's performance in a particular race can be accurately measured by considering the horses it has beaten, those that have beaten it, and the margins involved. The final time is not considered when calculating these ratings.
How many points are considered a “significant” edge in the class ratings?
A one point edge over a competitor is considered “significant” and an edge of two or more points is considered a “substantial” advantage.
What are some typical Race and Class ratings for >3 and up males?
Race Winner’s
Rating Class Rating
An average Grade I stakes race ………… 120 123
An average “OPEN” Claiming $10,000 race … 112 115
An average Maiden Claiming $10,000 race … 105 108
The best races (Grade 1 older stakes males) will typically receive a RACE RATING in the 120-125 range. And the winner of these races will typically earn a CLASS RATING in the 123 to 127 range.
A $10,000 “Open” Claiming race for older males will typically receive a RACE RATING in the 111-112 range. And the winner of these races will typically earn a CLASS RATING in the 114 to 115 range.
A $10,000 Maiden Claiming race for older males will typically receive a RACE RATING in the 105-106 range. And the winner of these races will typically earn a CLASS RATING in the 108-109 range.
What do the Bris Pace Ratings measure?
BRIS Pace Ratings measure how fast a horse ran up to a specific point-of-call (2f,4f,6f,…) in a race - the higher the number, the faster the horse ran.
2f Pace Rating - rates how fast the horse ran from the start to the 1/4 mile call. (2f) 4f Pace Rating - rates how fast the horse ran from the start to the 1/2 mile call. (4f) 6f Pace Rating - rates how fast the horse ran from the start to the 3/4 mile call. (6f) E1 Pace Rating - rates how fast the horse ran from the start to the 1st call (2f Pace in sprints, 4f Pace in most routes). E2 Pace Rating - rates how fast the horse ran from the start to the 2nd call (4f Pace in sprints, 6f Pace in most routes). Late Pace Rating - rates how fast the horse ran from the 2nd call (pre-stretch call) to the finish.
What are the fundamental differences between the Bris Pace Ratings and the Bris Speed Ratings?
Unlike the BRIS Speed Ratings, which use a variable points-per-length scale based on race distance, the BRIS Pace Ratings use a constant 2-points-per-length scale for all pace calls (2f, 4f, etc.), regardless of race distance. This fixed scale is due to the fact that the ground covered for any given pace call is the same, regardless of the total race distance. For instance, a 1/4 mile call equals two furlongs whether the entire race is six furlongs or ten furlongs (1 1/4 miles). Since the distances being measured are the same regardless of the total race distance (e.g., a 1/2 mile call in a sprint is the same as a 1/2 mile call in a route), the BRIS Pace Ratings apply the constant 2-points-per-length scale to all pace calls across all distances.
What are the fundamental differences between the Bris Pace Ratings and the “Quirin” style pace ratings?
Quirin style pace ratings are standardized around the concept of $10,000 3up Open male Claiming pacesetters being equal to 100 across all distances. However, BRIS Pace Ratings do not follow this principle. They acknowledge that sprinters run faster than route horses in the early stages of the race.
Quirin style pace ratings tend to underrate the demonstrated early speed of sprinters and overrate that of route horses when a sprinter stretches out or a route horse shortens up.
For a more accurate measure of a horse's early speed at any distance, the BRIS Pace Ratings reflect exactly how fast the horse ran, irrespective of the race distance. So, unlike Quirin style pace ratings, a horse that ran an adjusted time of :45 flat for the 1/2 in a 6 furlong sprint gets the same 4f pace rating as a horse that ran an adjusted time of :45 flat for the 1/2 in a 1 1/16 mile race.
How can I calculate “Turn Time” using the Bris Pace Ratings?
Subtract the 1st call Pace Rating (2f Pace Rating for sprints, 4f Pace Rating for most routes) from the 2nd call Pace Rating (4f Pace Rating for sprints, 6f for most routes):
BRIS Turn Time = E2 Pace Rating - E1 Pace Rating or BRIS Turn Time (sprint) = 4f Pace Rating - 2f Pace Rating or BRIS Turn Time (route) = 6f Pace Rating - 4f Pace Rating For example: BRIS PACE TURN E1 E2 ( E2 - E1 ) TIME HORSE "A" 90 96 ( 96 - 90) = +6 HORSE "B" 92 96 ( 96 - 92) = +4 HORSE "C" 96 96 ( 96 - 96) = +0 HORSE "D" 100 100 (100 - 100) = +0
Horse “A” has the fastest turn time (+6) which is one length (2 points) faster than Horse “B” (+4).
Also, note that HORSE “C” & “D” have the same turn time (+0). Horse “D” (E1=100) ran 2 lengths (4 points) faster up to the 1st call than Horse “C” (E1= 96) but Horse “D” (E2=100) was still 2 lengths faster up to the 2nd call than than Horse “C” (E2= 96). Therefore, Horse “C” and Horse “D” ran the same speed between the first two calls.
What are some typical Pace/Speed ratings for >3 and up males?
PACE RATING BRIS E1 E2/LATE SPEED Grade I stakes pacesetter/winner (SPRINT) ........ 99 109/ 94 106 "OPEN" Claiming $10k pacesetter/winner (SPRINT) .. 94 98/ 84 88 Maiden Claiming $10k pacesetter/winner (SPRINT) .. 90 89/ 77 75 Grade I stakes pacesetter/winner (ROUTE) ......... 95 106/101 106 "OPEN" Claiming $10k pacesetter/winner (ROUTE) ... 86 88/ 87 88 Maiden Claiming $10k pacesetter/winner (ROUTE) ... 80 75/ 77 75
What are the Bris Race Shapes?
The BRIS Race Shapes indicate the leader's speed in comparison to the average leader time for the final race time. A faster pace by the leader results in a higher BRIS Race Shape (e.g., +7), while a slower pace leads to a lower BRIS Race Shape (e.g., -7). For example, a BRIS Race Shape of (+17 +19) signifies a fast pace.How should the Bris Race Shapes be used as a handicapping tool?
BRIS Race Shapes offer various benefits. One primary use is to quickly identify horses that were advantaged or disadvantaged by unusually fast or slow-paced races. Generally, late-running horses prefer a fast upfront pace, while early-running horses prefer a softer pace. Thus, if a pace is unusually fast or slow, assess whether the horse was advantaged or disadvantaged by it. Expect potential improvement from horses disadvantaged by the pace of recent races, and be skeptical of the performances of horses advantaged by the pace of their recent races.Why are there two Bris Race Shape values?
The BRIS Race Shapes correspond to the first two calls of a race. The first BRIS Race Shape value corresponds to the initial call (2f for most sprints; 4f for most routes). The second BRIS Race Shape value corresponds to the next call (4f for most sprints; 6f for most routes). This feature allows users to quickly identify the fastest and slowest portions of the race relative to the average pace for each segment's final time.Are the Bris Race Shapes on the same scale as the Bris Pace Ratings?
Like the BRIS Pace Ratings, the BRIS Race Shapes use a fixed scale of two (2) points-per-length. For example, a “+6” Race Shape represents a pace which is three (3) lengths faster than normal.
The Average Competitive Level (ACL) represents the level of competition a runner can successfully handle, based on their previous successful performances. It's designed to recognize "class runners" when handicapping a race, and to evaluate the past performances and current condition of all runners in a race.
This numerical representation is calculated by averaging the Race Rating for a runner's last five successful performances over a year from the race date. Performances that match the distance and surface of the upcoming race are emphasized through a sophisticated weighting procedure. This figure is then adjusted to reflect the runner's performance consistency.
To highlight an ACL calculated only on races not run at the same distance and surface as the entered race, it will be shown in parentheses, for example: (114.2). If a runner has never placed in a race, they will not have an ACL.