Kentucky Downs September 8, 2024 - Analysis, picks, and prediction

Pick Pony | Sept. 6, 2024, 6:53 p.m.

Algorithm 1

 
Race 1
Win:3 - Crystal Hill (20/1)
Place:1 - Don'T Backdown (8/1)
Show:6 - Hotline Blink (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Johny'S Rendezvous (6/5), 4 - Bold Comfort (30/1), 9 - Dom Traces (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Badge Of War (7/2)
Place:3 - Speed Institute (30/1)
Show:7 - Crusader Conrad (50/1)
Other contenders:8 - Fort Thomas (6/1), 6 - Warp Nine (5/1), 1 - Anglican (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Samay (20/1)
Place:11 - Moon Ray (50/1)
Show:5 - Maxisuperfly (8/1)
Other contenders:13 - Zo Lee (12/1), 3 - Infinite Diamond (15/1), 4 - Sara Mia (20/1), 9 - Malleymoo (3/1), 12 - Rosa (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Preyathousandwords (30/1)
Place:9 - Bisa (20/1)
Show:16 - Baytown Storm (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Barbarina (12/1), 12 - Jewish Mother (20/1), 3 - Moochie Girl (8/1), 8 - Will Not Be Swayed (7/5), 5 - Tegwar (30/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Kehoe Beach (7/2)
Place:10 - Big Trouble (3/1)
Show:6 - Irina'S Charm (10/1)
Other contenders:1 - Bella Haze (30/1), 7 - Candy Bar (20/1), 9 - Claret Beret (9/2), 12 - Red River Magic (10/1), 3 - True Princess (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Key Actress (9/2)
Place:2 - Midnight In Austin (12/1)
Show:3 - Heart'S Compass (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Margarita Bluebird (30/1), 5 - Are You A Spy (30/1), 6 - Take Note Of This (10/1), 7 - Goddaughter (12/1), 8 - Ocean Ripple (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Turnbuckle (20/1)
Place:4 - Reach For The Rose (6/1)
Show:8 - The Count Is On (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Forged Steel (3/1), 10 - Tiztastic (8/1), 5 - I'M Otter Here (9/2), 6 - West Beach (4/1), 15 - Lush Lips (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Abientot (6/1)
Place:12 - Viggiedal (10/1)
Show:7 - Unchained Elaine (15/1)
Other contenders:14 - Run Camila Run (50/1), 6 - Shezafunkydrummer (8/1), 11 - Dreamgirl (20/1), 13 - Cotillard (30/1), 4 - Civetta (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Flip Flops (10/1)
Place:2 - Mean Eileen (6/1)
Show:1 - Bellavinino (10/1)
Other contenders:15 - Ramsey Pond (20/1), 4 - Playful Lass (12/1), 10 - Somethinabouther (8/1), 3 - Bonne Fille (20/1), 11 - Into The Fray (5/1)
 
Race 10
Win:2 - Henro (15/1)
Place:4 - Army Officer (6/1)
Show:12 - Neat (7/2)
Other contenders:7 - Lucky Jeremy (12/1), 6 - Aspenite (15/1), 1 - Drunk On Sake (30/1), 9 - Call Protection (20/1)
 
Race 11
Win:16 - Goes The Clown (4/1)
Place:13 - Balthazar (8/1)
Show:7 - Daddy'S Dinero (15/1)
Other contenders:10 - Indy Charge (30/1), 8 - Timetomakemischief (20/1), 15 - Techne (50/1), 9 - Research Results (3/1), 1 - Incursion (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

Algorithm 2

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Don'T Backdown (8/1)
Place:3 - Crystal Hill (20/1)
Show:4 - Bold Comfort (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - Hotline Blink (20/1), 7 - Johny'S Rendezvous (6/5), 9 - Dom Traces (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Badge Of War (7/2)
Place:3 - Speed Institute (30/1)
Show:7 - Crusader Conrad (50/1)
Other contenders:8 - Fort Thomas (6/1), 10 - De La Cruz (8/5), 6 - Warp Nine (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Samay (20/1)
Place:11 - Moon Ray (50/1)
Show:9 - Malleymoo (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Maxisuperfly (8/1), 3 - Infinite Diamond (15/1), 10 - Caroline Street (9/2), 13 - Zo Lee (12/1), 4 - Sara Mia (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Preyathousandwords (30/1)
Place:9 - Bisa (20/1)
Show:16 - Baytown Storm (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Barbarina (12/1), 8 - Will Not Be Swayed (7/5), 12 - Jewish Mother (20/1), 3 - Moochie Girl (8/1), 5 - Tegwar (30/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Kehoe Beach (7/2)
Place:10 - Big Trouble (3/1)
Show:6 - Irina'S Charm (10/1)
Other contenders:9 - Claret Beret (9/2), 1 - Bella Haze (30/1), 7 - Candy Bar (20/1), 3 - True Princess (15/1), 12 - Red River Magic (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Key Actress (9/2)
Place:2 - Midnight In Austin (12/1)
Show:3 - Heart'S Compass (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Margarita Bluebird (30/1), 5 - Are You A Spy (30/1), 6 - Take Note Of This (10/1), 7 - Goddaughter (12/1), 8 - Ocean Ripple (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Turnbuckle (20/1)
Place:4 - Reach For The Rose (6/1)
Show:8 - The Count Is On (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Forged Steel (3/1), 10 - Tiztastic (8/1), 5 - I'M Otter Here (9/2), 6 - West Beach (4/1), 11 - Mika (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Abientot (6/1)
Place:12 - Viggiedal (10/1)
Show:7 - Unchained Elaine (15/1)
Other contenders:14 - Run Camila Run (50/1), 6 - Shezafunkydrummer (8/1), 13 - Cotillard (30/1), 11 - Dreamgirl (20/1), 3 - Give Life (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Flip Flops (10/1)
Place:2 - Mean Eileen (6/1)
Show:1 - Bellavinino (10/1)
Other contenders:15 - Ramsey Pond (20/1), 4 - Playful Lass (12/1), 10 - Somethinabouther (8/1), 3 - Bonne Fille (20/1), 11 - Into The Fray (5/1)
 
Race 10
Win:12 - Neat (7/2)
Place:2 - Henro (15/1)
Show:4 - Army Officer (6/1)
Other contenders:7 - Lucky Jeremy (12/1), 6 - Aspenite (15/1), 1 - Drunk On Sake (30/1), 8 - Brilliant Berti (9/5)
 
Race 11
Win:16 - Goes The Clown (4/1)
Place:13 - Balthazar (8/1)
Show:7 - Daddy'S Dinero (15/1)
Other contenders:8 - Timetomakemischief (20/1), 10 - Indy Charge (30/1), 15 - Techne (50/1), 9 - Research Results (3/1), 4 - Aint No Joke (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

Algorithm 3

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Don'T Backdown (8/1)
Place:3 - Crystal Hill (20/1)
Show:4 - Bold Comfort (30/1)
Other contenders:7 - Johny'S Rendezvous (6/5), 6 - Hotline Blink (20/1), 9 - Dom Traces (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Speed Institute (30/1)
Place:5 - Badge Of War (7/2)
Show:10 - De La Cruz (8/5)
Other contenders:7 - Crusader Conrad (50/1), 8 - Fort Thomas (6/1), 6 - Warp Nine (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Samay (20/1)
Place:11 - Moon Ray (50/1)
Show:3 - Infinite Diamond (15/1)
Other contenders:16 - Work Of Fiction (8/1), 5 - Maxisuperfly (8/1), 10 - Caroline Street (9/2), 13 - Zo Lee (12/1), 12 - Rosa (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Preyathousandwords (30/1)
Place:9 - Bisa (20/1)
Show:16 - Baytown Storm (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Barbarina (12/1), 8 - Will Not Be Swayed (7/5), 12 - Jewish Mother (20/1), 3 - Moochie Girl (8/1), 5 - Tegwar (30/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Kehoe Beach (7/2)
Place:10 - Big Trouble (3/1)
Show:6 - Irina'S Charm (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Candy Bar (20/1), 1 - Bella Haze (30/1), 9 - Claret Beret (9/2), 12 - Red River Magic (10/1), 3 - True Princess (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Key Actress (9/2)
Place:2 - Midnight In Austin (12/1)
Show:3 - Heart'S Compass (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Margarita Bluebird (30/1), 5 - Are You A Spy (30/1), 6 - Take Note Of This (10/1), 7 - Goddaughter (12/1), 8 - Ocean Ripple (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Turnbuckle (20/1)
Place:4 - Reach For The Rose (6/1)
Show:8 - The Count Is On (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Forged Steel (3/1), 10 - Tiztastic (8/1), 5 - I'M Otter Here (9/2), 6 - West Beach (4/1), 12 - Kirin (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Abientot (6/1)
Place:12 - Viggiedal (10/1)
Show:7 - Unchained Elaine (15/1)
Other contenders:14 - Run Camila Run (50/1), 6 - Shezafunkydrummer (8/1), 13 - Cotillard (30/1), 11 - Dreamgirl (20/1), 10 - Andrea (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Flip Flops (10/1)
Place:2 - Mean Eileen (6/1)
Show:1 - Bellavinino (10/1)
Other contenders:15 - Ramsey Pond (20/1), 10 - Somethinabouther (8/1), 4 - Playful Lass (12/1), 3 - Bonne Fille (20/1), 16 - Bessie Abott (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Lucky Jeremy (12/1)
Place:3 - Herchee (12/1)
Show:2 - Henro (15/1)
Other contenders:6 - Aspenite (15/1), 4 - Army Officer (6/1), 12 - Neat (7/2), 5 - In A Jam (8/1)
 
Race 11
Win:16 - Goes The Clown (4/1)
Place:13 - Balthazar (8/1)
Show:8 - Timetomakemischief (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Indy Charge (30/1), 7 - Daddy'S Dinero (15/1), 9 - Research Results (3/1), 4 - Aint No Joke (8/1), 15 - Techne (50/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

Entries

ABIENTOTAINT NO JOKEANDREAANGLICANANNA'S PROMISE
ARMY OFFICERARTEMIS SOUNDASPENITEBADGE OF WARBALLERINA D'ORO
BARBARINABAYTOWN STORMBELLA HAZEBELLAVININOBESSIE ABOTT
BETTE DAVISBIG AIRBIG TROUBLEBILDERBERGBIRDIE ROSE
BLACK IRONBOLD COMFORTBONNE FILLEBORN FLASHYBRILLIANT BERTI
CALL PROTECTIONCANDY BARCAROLINE STREETCHAMPAGNE ON ICECHOATE
CLARET BERETCOAL BATTLECOME AS YOU ARECOTILLARDCOZEE RAGS
CRUZ CHICACRYSTAL HILLDADDY'S DINERODE LA CRUZDEPICTION
DOM TRACESDON'T BACKDOWNDREAMGIRLDRUNK ON SAKEEMMETT
FLY J'S FUNTASTICFORGED STEELFORT THOMASGALA ROSEGIVE LIFE
GOES THE CLOWNGOLDEN AFTERNOONGREER'S GOLDGUN BARRELHEART'S COMPASS
HERCHEEHIGH SUMMERHOMIEHOTLINE BLINKI'M OTTER HERE
INCURSIONINDY CHARGEINFINITE DIAMONDINTO THE FRAYIRINA'S CHARM
JEWISH MOTHERJOHNY'S RENDEZVOUSKARLWITHANARLKEHOE BEACHKENTUCKY GO GO
KILWINKIRINKNIGHTOFCARAVAGGIOKODIAC WINTERGREENLOB
LUCKY JEREMYLUSH LIPSMALLEYMOOMARGARITA BLUEBIRDMAXISUPERFLY
MEAN EILEENMIDNIGHT IN AUSTINMIKAMO ICE FORTHE LADYMOOCHIE GIRL
MOVIN' ON UPMUSTANG LADYNA PALI JOENEATOCEAN RIPPLE
PARISIAN LIGHTPERFECT FIGUREPLAYFUL LASSPOVERTY WITH AVIEWPREYATHOUSANDWORDS
RAMSEY PONDREACH FOR THE ROSEREADY FOR PEACERED RIVER MAGICRESEARCH RESULTS
ROSAROYAL DAMERUN CAMILA RUNSAMAYSARA MIA
SCHOOL DANCESHE'S ALL CHARMSHE'S GOT WILLSHEZAFUNKYDRUMMERSOMETHINABOUTHER
SPEED INSTITUTESUMMER AFFAIRSWEET TREASURETAKE NOTE OF THISTECHNE
THE BRIGADETHE COUNT IS ONTHISNAMEISOKAYTHUNDER APPEALTIGERISH
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEFTIZTASTICTRAITOURTRUE PRINCESSTURNBUCKLE
UNCHAINED ELAINEVELOCIRAPTORVIGGIEDALWARP NINEWEST BEACH
WINFINITYWORK OF FICTIONZO LEE