Kentucky Downs September 11, 2024 - Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Sept. 9, 2024, 3:02 p.m.

Algorithm 1

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Baytown Bulleit (30/1)
Place:12 - Stashu (8/1)
Show:1 - Storm The Streets (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - El Oso (5/1), 8 - Captain Fancy (3/1), 9 - So Grand (4/1), 10 - Bourbon State (30/1), 15 - Love That Symphony (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Material Witness (3/1)
Place:6 - From Scratch (20/1)
Show:9 - Runaway Kitten (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Growth Rate (9/2), 14 - Wudhooh (12/1), 3 - Zappera (20/1), 16 - Peaceful Kingdom (10/1), 8 - Moringa (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:9 - Glacial Power (9/2)
Place:13 - Tunisian Spring (7/2)
Show:8 - Ajaayb (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - Demolition Duke (5/2), 15 - Girl Of My Dreams (20/1), 6 - Gatlinburg (15/1), 1 - El Rey Rey (6/1), 4 - Baytown Parfait (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Tizntshelovely (15/1)
Place:2 - Never Really Know (3/1)
Show:8 - Ramsey Pond (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Fixin To Bee (8/1), 1 - El Joury (8/1), 12 - Les Is Best (12/1), 9 - Summer Affair (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:10 - Two Eagles River (12/1)
Place:13 - Dominican Pioneer (5/2)
Show:8 - Powerful (20/1)
Other contenders:11 - Swift As I Am (8/1), 1 - Mischievous Angel (3/1), 14 - Condemn (30/1), 3 - Double Clutch (9/2), 2 - Dude N Colorado (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Collective Choice (15/1)
Place:2 - No Rematch (30/1)
Show:3 - Power Of Will (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Tiz A Showdown (20/1), 5 - Baltoro (15/1), 6 - Fleming (7/5), 7 - Lucky Mischief (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Not So Close (10/1)
Place:4 - Liberty Belle (30/1)
Show:3 - Misread (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Safeen (8/1), 16 - Dear Lady (20/1), 1 - Join The Dance (6/1), 9 - Strikingly Spun (15/1), 12 - Watch This Birdie (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Cyber Ninja (20/1)
Place:8 - Conglomerate (20/1)
Show:4 - Duvet Day (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - Really Good (8/1), 7 - Limited Liability (7/2), 2 - Six Minus (9/2)
 
Race 9
Win:10 - Sakura Blossom (30/1)
Place:4 - Charlene'S Dream (30/1)
Show:11 - Mo Fox Givin (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Shiloh'S Mistress (20/1), 9 - Pin Up Betty (6/1), 1 - Waves Of Mischief (9/2), 14 - Mont Saint Michel (20/1), 2 - Kalispera (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:16 - Baytown Storm (30/1)
Place:4 - Sweet Star (20/1)
Show:8 - Anna'S Promise (6/1)
Other contenders:9 - Evelyn Louise (12/1), 15 - Yesterday (3/1), 1 - Pure Breeze (7/2), 2 - Isle Of Capri (9/2), 11 - Reagan Alice (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

Algorithm 2

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Baytown Bulleit (30/1)
Place:12 - Stashu (8/1)
Show:1 - Storm The Streets (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - El Oso (5/1), 8 - Captain Fancy (3/1), 9 - So Grand (4/1), 15 - Love That Symphony (20/1), 10 - Bourbon State (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Material Witness (3/1)
Place:6 - From Scratch (20/1)
Show:9 - Runaway Kitten (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Growth Rate (9/2), 14 - Wudhooh (12/1), 3 - Zappera (20/1), 16 - Peaceful Kingdom (10/1), 8 - Moringa (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:9 - Glacial Power (9/2)
Place:13 - Tunisian Spring (7/2)
Show:2 - Demolition Duke (5/2)
Other contenders:8 - Ajaayb (8/1), 15 - Girl Of My Dreams (20/1), 1 - El Rey Rey (6/1), 6 - Gatlinburg (15/1), 3 - Surf City (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Tizntshelovely (15/1)
Place:2 - Never Really Know (3/1)
Show:8 - Ramsey Pond (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Fixin To Bee (8/1), 1 - El Joury (8/1), 12 - Les Is Best (12/1), 11 - Don'T Worry (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:13 - Dominican Pioneer (5/2)
Place:10 - Two Eagles River (12/1)
Show:8 - Powerful (20/1)
Other contenders:3 - Double Clutch (9/2), 11 - Swift As I Am (8/1), 1 - Mischievous Angel (3/1), 14 - Condemn (30/1), 2 - Dude N Colorado (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Collective Choice (15/1)
Place:2 - No Rematch (30/1)
Show:3 - Power Of Will (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Tiz A Showdown (20/1), 5 - Baltoro (15/1), 6 - Fleming (7/5), 7 - Lucky Mischief (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Not So Close (10/1)
Place:3 - Misread (8/1)
Show:8 - Safeen (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Liberty Belle (30/1), 16 - Dear Lady (20/1), 12 - Watch This Birdie (12/1), 1 - Join The Dance (6/1), 9 - Strikingly Spun (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Conglomerate (20/1)
Place:3 - Cyber Ninja (20/1)
Show:4 - Duvet Day (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - Really Good (8/1), 7 - Limited Liability (7/2), 2 - Six Minus (9/2)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Shiloh'S Mistress (20/1)
Place:11 - Mo Fox Givin (12/1)
Show:4 - Charlene'S Dream (30/1)
Other contenders:1 - Waves Of Mischief (9/2), 14 - Mont Saint Michel (20/1), 10 - Sakura Blossom (30/1), 2 - Kalispera (12/1), 9 - Pin Up Betty (6/1)
 
Race 10
Win:16 - Baytown Storm (30/1)
Place:4 - Sweet Star (20/1)
Show:15 - Yesterday (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Anna'S Promise (6/1), 9 - Evelyn Louise (12/1), 1 - Pure Breeze (7/2), 2 - Isle Of Capri (9/2), 13 - Tavria (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

Algorithm 3

 
Race 1
Win:12 - Stashu (8/1)
Place:2 - Baytown Bulleit (30/1)
Show:1 - Storm The Streets (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - El Oso (5/1), 8 - Captain Fancy (3/1), 9 - So Grand (4/1), 15 - Love That Symphony (20/1), 6 - Coastertothemoon (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Material Witness (3/1)
Place:6 - From Scratch (20/1)
Show:9 - Runaway Kitten (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Growth Rate (9/2), 14 - Wudhooh (12/1), 3 - Zappera (20/1), 16 - Peaceful Kingdom (10/1), 8 - Moringa (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:9 - Glacial Power (9/2)
Place:13 - Tunisian Spring (7/2)
Show:15 - Girl Of My Dreams (20/1)
Other contenders:8 - Ajaayb (8/1), 2 - Demolition Duke (5/2), 1 - El Rey Rey (6/1), 6 - Gatlinburg (15/1), 3 - Surf City (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:5 - Tizntshelovely (15/1)
Place:2 - Never Really Know (3/1)
Show:8 - Ramsey Pond (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Fixin To Bee (8/1), 12 - Les Is Best (12/1), 1 - El Joury (8/1), 9 - Summer Affair (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:13 - Dominican Pioneer (5/2)
Place:10 - Two Eagles River (12/1)
Show:8 - Powerful (20/1)
Other contenders:14 - Condemn (30/1), 3 - Double Clutch (9/2), 2 - Dude N Colorado (7/2), 1 - Mischievous Angel (3/1), 9 - County Final (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Collective Choice (15/1)
Place:2 - No Rematch (30/1)
Show:3 - Power Of Will (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Tiz A Showdown (20/1), 5 - Baltoro (15/1), 6 - Fleming (7/5), 7 - Lucky Mischief (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Not So Close (10/1)
Place:3 - Misread (8/1)
Show:1 - Join The Dance (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Liberty Belle (30/1), 16 - Dear Lady (20/1), 8 - Safeen (8/1), 12 - Watch This Birdie (12/1), 9 - Strikingly Spun (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Conglomerate (20/1)
Place:3 - Cyber Ninja (20/1)
Show:4 - Duvet Day (30/1)
Other contenders:6 - Really Good (8/1), 7 - Limited Liability (7/2), 2 - Six Minus (9/2)
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Shiloh'S Mistress (20/1)
Place:11 - Mo Fox Givin (12/1)
Show:4 - Charlene'S Dream (30/1)
Other contenders:9 - Pin Up Betty (6/1), 2 - Kalispera (12/1), 14 - Mont Saint Michel (20/1), 1 - Waves Of Mischief (9/2), 12 - Dancing N Dixie (6/1)
 
Race 10
Win:16 - Baytown Storm (30/1)
Place:4 - Sweet Star (20/1)
Show:15 - Yesterday (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Anna'S Promise (6/1), 9 - Evelyn Louise (12/1), 1 - Pure Breeze (7/2), 2 - Isle Of Capri (9/2), 11 - Reagan Alice (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

Entries

AJAAYBANNA'S PROMISEARYAAMBALTOROBAYTOWN BULLEIT
BAYTOWN STORMBE LIKE WATERBEGFORFORGIVENESSBEST CUPCAKEBLACK WHITE N GOLD
BOURBON STATECAPTAIN FANCYCHARLENE'S DREAMCHEETAH LADYCLOSE UP
COASTERTOTHEMOONCOLLECTIVE CHOICECONDEMNCONGLOMERATECOUNT DRACULA
CRUZ CHICACUTLASS KINGCYBER NINJADAGUERREDANCING N DIXIE
DEMOLITION DUKEDOMINICAN PIONEERDON'T WORRYDOUBLE CLUTCHDUDE N COLORADO
DUVET DAYEL JOURYEL OSOEL REY REYEVELYN LOUISE
FIXIN TO BEEFLEMINGFLIGHT ON RACE DAYFROM SCRATCHGATLINBURG
GLACIAL POWERGLORYLANDGO BALI GOGREENFINCHGROWTH RATE
HEART N SOULHEAVENLY APPOINTEDHIGH LIMITHOFFINSENSITIVE
JERSEYS PARADEJOIN THE DANCEJUSTIFIABLE BELLEKALISPERAKATHYNMARISSA
KITTENS STORMY GALLES IS BESTLIBERTY BELLELIMITED LIABILITYLOVE THAT SYMPHONY
LUSH LIPSLUTE WARMMALACHIMAMBO QUEENMATERIAL WITNESS
MISCHIEVOUS ANGELMISREADMISS HEBRIDESMO ATTITUDEMO FOX GIVIN
MONT SAINT MICHELMORINGANEVER REALLY KNOWNILE VALLEYNO REMATCH
NOT SO CLOSEOSCAR'S WORLDPARTY QUEENPEACEFUL KINGDOMPIN UP BETTY
POWER OF WILLPOWERFULPRECIOUS MEDLEYPURE BREEZERAMSEY POND
REAGAN ALICEREALLY GOODREVERSE MERGERRIPASSARERUNAWAY KITTEN
SAKURA BLOSSOMSANCTIFYSHE'S LOOKIN LUCKYSHILOH'S MISTRESSSIEGE OF TROY
SO GRANDSOUND CAUSESTAR WATCHSTASHUSTORM THE STREETS
STRIKINGLY SPUNSUMMER AFFAIRSURF CITYSWEET STARSWIFT AS I AM
TARTARIATAVRIATHE GREY WIZARDTIZ A SHOWDOWNTIZNTSHELOVELY
TWO EAGLES RIVERUNHIDDEN GEMUNTROUBLEDUPHILL DANCEVALENTINA DAY
WATCH THIS BIRDIEWAVES OF MISCHIEFWHERE YA AT VINCEWUDHOOHYATTA
ZAPPERAZOOMBIE