Belmont at Aqueduct October 12, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 11, 2024, 4:35 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Messi The Magician (9/2)
Place:3 - J J Valentin (9/2)
Show:1 - Solo'S Fury (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Beary Funny (4/1), 6 - Forward Move (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Dillinger (9/5)
Place:4 - Master Of Arms (2/1)
Show:1 - Clubhouse (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Tommy Two Socks (2/1), 2 - Night Effect (7/2), 5 - Sin Nombre (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Spiritual Lady (5/1)
Place:4 - Spring Magic (4/5)
Show:8 - Balenciaga Betty (15/1)
Other contenders:6 - Belle Of The Ball (4/5), 7 - Fullmoonmagic (6/1), 9 - Karen'S Honor (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Bourbon'S Hope (20/1)
Place:6 - Nolo Contesto (6/1)
Show:9 - Ryan'S Cat (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Charging Aero (5/1), 1 - Super Chief (7/2), 11 - Rider'S Special (5/2), 10 - Kant Beat The Rock (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Audacious (2/1)
Place:4 - Macanga (6/1)
Show:9 - Just Music (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Style Points (2/1), 5 - Courbe (15/1), 2 - Spaliday (9/5)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Take Home The Cup (20/1)
Place:2 - Antisocial (12/1)
Show:3 - Skyrush (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Fort Nelson (9/2), 5 - Dr. Insel (6/1), 6 - Keewaydin (1/1)
 
Race 7
Win:12 - Dream Concert (4/1)
Place:4 - Secret Money (3/1)
Show:2 - Hollywood Walk (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Tequilera (20/1), 5 - Risk Threshold (5/2), 1 - Loon Cry (4/1), 14 - Everyoneloveslinda (5/2)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Laurel Valley (10/1)
Place:10 - Runningwscissors (6/1)
Show:7 - Locke And Key (4/1)
Other contenders:12 - Call Me Harry (7/2), 3 - Let'S Go Big Blue (5/1), 1 - Rabaja (10/1), 13 - Coinage (12/1), 5 - Gem Mint Ten (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win:9 - Rocketeer (5/2)
Place:5 - Certified Loverboy (15/1)
Show:4 - Mama'S Gold (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Pentathlon (3/1), 7 - General Banker (6/1), 2 - Colloquy (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:12 - Majulu (5/2)
Place:9 - Better Be Smart (7/2)
Show:1 - Splashy (6/5)
Other contenders:10 - Superstarsusan (10/1), 14 - Corri Felice (3/1), 16 - Focus Pocus (9/2), 4 - Top Of The Table (9/2), 11 - Boston Strong Mama (10/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - The Warden (12/1)
Place:2 - Atomic Age (5/2)
Show:3 - Laird Of Magnolia (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Davy Crockett (3/1), 5 - No Merlot (30/1), 6 - Strategist (30/1), 7 - Dragoneer (4/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, pace, and feet-per-second)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Messi The Magician (9/2)
Place:3 - J J Valentin (9/2)
Show:1 - Solo'S Fury (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Beary Funny (4/1), 6 - Forward Move (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Master Of Arms (2/1)
Place:8 - Dillinger (9/5)
Show:1 - Clubhouse (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Tommy Two Socks (2/1), 2 - Night Effect (7/2), 5 - Sin Nombre (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Spiritual Lady (5/1)
Place:4 - Spring Magic (4/5)
Show:6 - Belle Of The Ball (4/5)
Other contenders:7 - Fullmoonmagic (6/1), 8 - Balenciaga Betty (15/1), 9 - Karen'S Honor (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:6 - Nolo Contesto (6/1)
Place:9 - Ryan'S Cat (8/1)
Show:3 - Bourbon'S Hope (20/1)
Other contenders:11 - Rider'S Special (5/2), 4 - Charging Aero (5/1), 1 - Super Chief (7/2), 8 - Pogi (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Audacious (2/1)
Place:4 - Macanga (6/1)
Show:9 - Just Music (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Style Points (2/1), 5 - Courbe (15/1), 2 - Spaliday (9/5)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Take Home The Cup (20/1)
Place:2 - Antisocial (12/1)
Show:3 - Skyrush (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Fort Nelson (9/2), 5 - Dr. Insel (6/1), 6 - Keewaydin (1/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Secret Money (3/1)
Place:12 - Dream Concert (4/1)
Show:2 - Hollywood Walk (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Tequilera (20/1), 1 - Loon Cry (4/1), 5 - Risk Threshold (5/2), 11 - Hot Fudge (3/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Laurel Valley (10/1)
Place:10 - Runningwscissors (6/1)
Show:12 - Call Me Harry (7/2)
Other contenders:7 - Locke And Key (4/1), 3 - Let'S Go Big Blue (5/1), 13 - Coinage (12/1), 5 - Gem Mint Ten (6/1), 15 - Baldizar (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:9 - Rocketeer (5/2)
Place:8 - Pentathlon (3/1)
Show:5 - Certified Loverboy (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Mama'S Gold (8/1), 7 - General Banker (6/1), 2 - Colloquy (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:12 - Majulu (5/2)
Place:9 - Better Be Smart (7/2)
Show:1 - Splashy (6/5)
Other contenders:10 - Superstarsusan (10/1), 16 - Focus Pocus (9/2), 14 - Corri Felice (3/1), 4 - Top Of The Table (9/2), 11 - Boston Strong Mama (10/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - The Warden (12/1)
Place:2 - Atomic Age (5/2)
Show:3 - Laird Of Magnolia (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Davy Crockett (3/1), 5 - No Merlot (30/1), 6 - Strategist (30/1), 7 - Dragoneer (4/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

Algorithm 3 (Strong influence from Pick Pony's proprietary AI engine)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Messi The Magician (9/2)
Place:3 - J J Valentin (9/2)
Show:5 - Beary Funny (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Aleah Aleah (4/1), 6 - Forward Move (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Master Of Arms (2/1)
Place:8 - Dillinger (9/5)
Show:1 - Clubhouse (6/1)
Other contenders:2 - Night Effect (7/2), 3 - Tommy Two Socks (2/1), 5 - Sin Nombre (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Spiritual Lady (5/1)
Place:4 - Spring Magic (4/5)
Show:6 - Belle Of The Ball (4/5)
Other contenders:8 - Balenciaga Betty (15/1), 7 - Fullmoonmagic (6/1), 9 - Karen'S Honor (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:9 - Ryan'S Cat (8/1)
Place:6 - Nolo Contesto (6/1)
Show:3 - Bourbon'S Hope (20/1)
Other contenders:11 - Rider'S Special (5/2), 4 - Charging Aero (5/1), 5 - Kunshan Bridge (7/2), 8 - Pogi (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - Audacious (2/1)
Place:4 - Macanga (6/1)
Show:9 - Just Music (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Courbe (15/1), 6 - Style Points (2/1), 2 - Spaliday (9/5)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Take Home The Cup (20/1)
Place:2 - Antisocial (12/1)
Show:3 - Skyrush (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Fort Nelson (9/2), 5 - Dr. Insel (6/1), 6 - Keewaydin (1/1)
 
Race 7
Win:12 - Dream Concert (4/1)
Place:4 - Secret Money (3/1)
Show:7 - Tequilera (20/1)
Other contenders:2 - Hollywood Walk (10/1), 11 - Hot Fudge (3/1), 14 - Everyoneloveslinda (5/2), 8 - Howboutdemapples (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Laurel Valley (10/1)
Place:10 - Runningwscissors (6/1)
Show:12 - Call Me Harry (7/2)
Other contenders:7 - Locke And Key (4/1), 5 - Gem Mint Ten (6/1), 15 - Baldizar (10/1), 13 - Coinage (12/1), 3 - Let'S Go Big Blue (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win:9 - Rocketeer (5/2)
Place:5 - Certified Loverboy (15/1)
Show:4 - Mama'S Gold (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Pentathlon (3/1), 7 - General Banker (6/1), 3 - Escalation Clause (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:12 - Majulu (5/2)
Place:9 - Better Be Smart (7/2)
Show:1 - Splashy (6/5)
Other contenders:16 - Focus Pocus (9/2), 10 - Superstarsusan (10/1), 14 - Corri Felice (3/1), 4 - Top Of The Table (9/2), 11 - Boston Strong Mama (10/1)
 
Race 11
Win:1 - The Warden (12/1)
Place:2 - Atomic Age (5/2)
Show:3 - Laird Of Magnolia (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Davy Crockett (3/1), 5 - No Merlot (30/1), 6 - Strategist (30/1), 7 - Dragoneer (4/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

Entries

A. P. KIDADDAGIRL ADDIEAGENT CREEDALEAH ALEAHANTISOCIAL
ASMODEUSATOMIC AGEAUDACIOUSBALDIZARBALENCIAGA BETTY
BELLE OF THE BALLBETTER BE SMARTBETTRLUCKYTHANGOODBOOK OF WISDOMBORN DANCER
BOSTON STRONG MAMABOURBON'S HOPECALL ME HARRYCECILECERTIFIED LOVERBOY
CHILI BEANCLEAR CONSCIENCECLUBHOUSECOINAGECOLLOQUY
COURBEDAVY CROCKETTDEBATEDILLINGERDOLCE SERA
DR. INSELDRAGONEERDREAM CONCERTENGLISH LAWESCALATION CLAUSE
FOCUS POCUSFORT NELSONFORWARD MOVEFREEDOM GLIDERFREUD'S FANCY
GEM MINT TENGENERAL BANKERHOLLYWOOD WALKHOT FUDGEHOWBOUTDEMAPPLES
JACKSON HEIGHTSJUST MUSICJUSTDENYKANT BEAT THE ROCKKAREN'S HONOR
KUNSHAN BRIDGELAIRD OF MAGNOLIALAUREL VALLEYLET'S GO BIG BLUELOCKE AND KEY
LOVE APPEALSLU'S REDEMPTIONMACANGAMAJULUMAMA'S GOLD
MASTER OF ARMSMAXING THE BANKMESSI THE MAGICIANMISS UPROARMO FOX GIVIN
MY KENTUCKY GIRLNIGHT EFFECTNO MERLOTNOLO CONTESTOPAPA ROCKET
POGIRABAJAREPEAT AFTER MERIDER'S SPECIALRISK THRESHOLD
RUNNINGWSCISSORSRYAN'S CATSECRET MONEYSECURITY CODESHADE OF PALE
SKYRUSHSNOOKIE BEARSOLO'S FURYSPALIDAYSPIRITUAL LADY
SPRING MAGICSTARRY MIDNIGHTSTARS AND STRIPESSTRATEGISTSTYLE POINTS
SUPERSTARSUSANTAKE HOME THE CUPTEQUILERATHE WARDENTIZ FREEDOM
TOMMY TWO SOCKSTOP OF THE TABLEUNCLECHARLIESGIFTUNION TRAILVOLT