Charles Town October 12, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 11, 2024, 4:37 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:8 - This Juice B Loose (10/1)
Place:6 - Im The Director (7/5)
Show:3 - John'S Notion (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Direct Appeal (30/1), 2 - Baby Boss Allen (30/1), 7 - Bail Is Denied (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Honeyquist (7/2)
Place:9 - Boss E Boogs (30/1)
Show:1 - Youthinkthatsfunny (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Duncan Idaho (5/2), 5 - Pork Chop Pete (3/1), 2 - Jefferson Native (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - You Bet A Fortune (4/1)
Place:9 - Robbielikeshim (8/5)
Show:1 - Park Ave Prince (15/1)
Other contenders:7 - Judgement Day (6/1), 3 - Grandy (10/1), 8 - Soul Catcher (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Petty Perfect (20/1)
Place:2 - Shewonttalktome (12/1)
Show:4 - Direct The Cat (3/5)
Other contenders:6 - Lona Lee (20/1), 5 - What'Shername (3/1), 3 - Navy Band (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:13 - Juba B Wild (20/1)
Place:5 - Diakonissa (9/5)
Show:3 - Audible The Play (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Alice'S Moon (15/1), 12 - Macnick Time (15/1), 6 - Collecting Angels (20/1), 11 - Hit The Snooze (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Juba'S Hat Trick (7/2)
Place:7 - Thewitchisgone (20/1)
Show:9 - Social Chic (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Teachintherelease (5/2), 10 - Lord Of Cork (12/1), 12 - Fancy Concho (15/1), 8 - Xcellent Start (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Overnight Pow Wow (2/1)
Place:3 - Moonlit Shadow (9/2)
Show:5 - Hessica (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Barbers Point (4/1), 4 - Jubaslilballerina (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win:7 - Jubawithatwist (3/5)
Place:4 - Juba'S Notion (15/1)
Show:5 - Espresso (12/1)
Other contenders:6 - Remys Showtime (30/1), 8 - Runaldo (5/1), 3 - Muad'Dib (6/1), 12 - Jungle Beast (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Someday Is Today (9/2)
Place:5 - Foxy Sista (7/2)
Show:1 - Juba'S Parade (9/5)
Other contenders:8 - Bonnie Bluetooth (20/1), 10 - Change The World (4/1), 9 - No Denying Denis (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:5 - Maggie'S Girl (1/1)
Place:3 - O K Smarty Pants (20/1)
Show:6 - Coach Rube (30/1)
Other contenders:8 - Mendys Honey (9/2), 1 - Stryda (7/2), 4 - Bella Mela (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, pace, and feet-per-second)

 
Race 1
Win:8 - This Juice B Loose (10/1)
Place:6 - Im The Director (7/5)
Show:2 - Baby Boss Allen (30/1)
Other contenders:7 - Bail Is Denied (15/1), 3 - John'S Notion (30/1), 4 - Direct Appeal (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Honeyquist (7/2)
Place:9 - Boss E Boogs (30/1)
Show:1 - Youthinkthatsfunny (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Duncan Idaho (5/2), 5 - Pork Chop Pete (3/1), 4 - Unison (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - You Bet A Fortune (4/1)
Place:9 - Robbielikeshim (8/5)
Show:7 - Judgement Day (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Park Ave Prince (15/1), 3 - Grandy (10/1), 8 - Soul Catcher (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Petty Perfect (20/1)
Place:2 - Shewonttalktome (12/1)
Show:4 - Direct The Cat (3/5)
Other contenders:5 - What'Shername (3/1), 6 - Lona Lee (20/1), 3 - Navy Band (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Diakonissa (9/5)
Place:13 - Juba B Wild (20/1)
Show:3 - Audible The Play (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Alice'S Moon (15/1), 7 - Hale Bop (12/1), 12 - Macnick Time (15/1), 6 - Collecting Angels (20/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Juba'S Hat Trick (7/2)
Place:9 - Social Chic (3/1)
Show:5 - Teachintherelease (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Thewitchisgone (20/1), 10 - Lord Of Cork (12/1), 12 - Fancy Concho (15/1), 8 - Xcellent Start (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Overnight Pow Wow (2/1)
Place:3 - Moonlit Shadow (9/2)
Show:5 - Hessica (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Barbers Point (4/1), 4 - Jubaslilballerina (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win:7 - Jubawithatwist (3/5)
Place:4 - Juba'S Notion (15/1)
Show:5 - Espresso (12/1)
Other contenders:8 - Runaldo (5/1), 6 - Remys Showtime (30/1), 3 - Muad'Dib (6/1), 12 - Jungle Beast (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Someday Is Today (9/2)
Place:5 - Foxy Sista (7/2)
Show:1 - Juba'S Parade (9/5)
Other contenders:10 - Change The World (4/1), 8 - Bonnie Bluetooth (20/1), 9 - No Denying Denis (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:5 - Maggie'S Girl (1/1)
Place:3 - O K Smarty Pants (20/1)
Show:6 - Coach Rube (30/1)
Other contenders:8 - Mendys Honey (9/2), 4 - Bella Mela (6/1), 1 - Stryda (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

Algorithm 3 (Strong influence from Pick Pony's proprietary AI engine)

 
Race 1
Win:8 - This Juice B Loose (10/1)
Place:5 - Annapolis Road (6/5)
Show:6 - Im The Director (7/5)
Other contenders:7 - Bail Is Denied (15/1), 9 - Juba'S Heart (8/1), 2 - Baby Boss Allen (30/1)
 
Race 2
Win:7 - Honeyquist (7/2)
Place:9 - Boss E Boogs (30/1)
Show:1 - Youthinkthatsfunny (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Duncan Idaho (5/2), 5 - Pork Chop Pete (3/1), 2 - Jefferson Native (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - You Bet A Fortune (4/1)
Place:9 - Robbielikeshim (8/5)
Show:1 - Park Ave Prince (15/1)
Other contenders:7 - Judgement Day (6/1), 3 - Grandy (10/1), 6 - Papa Linguine (15/1)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Petty Perfect (20/1)
Place:5 - What'Shername (3/1)
Show:4 - Direct The Cat (3/5)
Other contenders:2 - Shewonttalktome (12/1), 3 - Navy Band (20/1), 6 - Lona Lee (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Diakonissa (9/5)
Place:3 - Audible The Play (10/1)
Show:7 - Hale Bop (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Zip Start (2/1), 13 - Juba B Wild (20/1), 11 - Hit The Snooze (20/1), 4 - Alice'S Moon (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Juba'S Hat Trick (7/2)
Place:9 - Social Chic (3/1)
Show:5 - Teachintherelease (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Thewitchisgone (20/1), 3 - Little Roo Roo (12/1), 10 - Lord Of Cork (12/1), 12 - Fancy Concho (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Overnight Pow Wow (2/1)
Place:3 - Moonlit Shadow (9/2)
Show:2 - Lucylou Who (20/1)
Other contenders:5 - Hessica (5/2), 1 - Barbers Point (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win:7 - Jubawithatwist (3/5)
Place:4 - Juba'S Notion (15/1)
Show:5 - Espresso (12/1)
Other contenders:6 - Remys Showtime (30/1), 8 - Runaldo (5/1), 3 - Muad'Dib (6/1), 12 - Jungle Beast (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win:2 - Someday Is Today (9/2)
Place:5 - Foxy Sista (7/2)
Show:1 - Juba'S Parade (9/5)
Other contenders:8 - Bonnie Bluetooth (20/1), 10 - Change The World (4/1), 9 - No Denying Denis (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:5 - Maggie'S Girl (1/1)
Place:3 - O K Smarty Pants (20/1)
Show:6 - Coach Rube (30/1)
Other contenders:1 - Stryda (7/2), 4 - Bella Mela (6/1), 8 - Mendys Honey (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

Entries

ALICE'S MOONALPINE MOONANNAPOLIS ROADAUDIBLE THE PLAYBABY BOSS ALLEN
BAIL IS DENIEDBARBERS POINTBELLA MELABOLD DESERTBONNIE BLUETOOTH
BOSS LADY K PC R'S MANDATECATCH THE HUMORCHANGE THE WORLDCOACH RUBE
CRUZ IN THE CASTLEDIAKONISSADIRECT APPEALDIRECT THE CATDIXIE YODELER
DUNCAN IDAHOESPRESSOFANCY CONCHOFLYING TO NEPTUNEFOXY SISTA
GREAT SPIRITHALE BOPHESSICAHIT THE SNOOZEHONEYQUIST
IM THE DIRECTORJEFFERSON NATIVEJOHN'S NOTIONJUBA B WILDJUBA'S HAT TRICK
JUBA'S NOTIONJUBA'S PARADEJUBASLILBALLERINAJUBAWITHATWISTJUDGEMENT DAY
JUNGLE BEASTLATE IN THE GAMELIEUTENANT BROWNLITTLE ROO ROOLONA LEE
LUCYLOU WHOMACNICK TIMEMAGGIE'S GIRLMARILYN MOONROEMENDYS HONEY
MOON FALLMOONLIT SHADOWMUAD'DIBNAVY BANDNO CHANGE
O K SMARTY PANTSOVER THE BULLOVERNIGHT POW WOWPAPA LINGUINEPARK AVE PRINCE
PETTY PERFECTPORK CHOP PETEPRIME SHOPPINGRAN OUT OF TRAINERREMYS SHOWTIME
ROYAL PAINRUNALDOSARGENT KOBESENECA ROCKSSHEWONTTALKTOME
SOMEDAY IS TODAYSOUL CATCHERSTILL GRUMPYSTRYDASUMMON THE GLAM
TEACHINTHERELEASETHE SKY IS FALLINGTHEWITCHISGONETHIS JUICE B LOOSEUNISON
XCELLENT STARTYOU BET A FORTUNEYOUTHINKTHATSFUNNYZIGGY STARDUSTZIP START