Keeneland October 12, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 11, 2024, 4:36 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Very Wealthy (15/1)
Place:8 - Miss Jeopardy (6/1)
Show:11 - Motown Mika (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Xtra Extraordinary (12/1), 9 - Sparkle Of Hope (20/1), 2 - Concerti (8/1), 7 - Miss Easy (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:13 - Sound Cause (9/2)
Place:1 - Paraclete (8/1)
Show:8 - Governing Party (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Sprint Out Pass (12/1), 2 - Pnutbutter Whiskey (50/1), 6 - Flambeau (20/1), 10 - Executive (7/2)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Two Sharp (4/5)
Place:6 - Zadorsky (9/2)
Show:8 - Lightning Myqueen (20/1)
Other contenders:3 - Je Suis Rapide (30/1), 7 - Floored (30/1), 5 - Coastal Invasion (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Printrack (10/1)
Place:5 - Yes I'M A Beast (5/1)
Show:4 - Hi Yah (12/1)
Other contenders:8 - Gunner Bay (15/1), 2 - One Cool Dude (10/1), 3 - Got Thunder (20/1), 12 - Alpine Thunder (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win:11 - Zap D'Etat (15/1)
Place:4 - Lucky Mischief (5/2)
Show:10 - Authentic Style (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Sand Cast (20/1), 1 - Johny'S Rendezvous (6/1), 12 - Tkac (10/1), 6 - Maui Strong (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Lofty Adjudicator (10/1)
Place:1 - Kavod (12/1)
Show:4 - Giant Mischief (6/5)
Other contenders:5 - Cyclone Mischief (7/2), 8 - Gold Luck (12/1), 2 - Bourbon Heist (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:12 - My Lil Punky (5/1)
Place:4 - Taverna (4/1)
Show:2 - Contemplate (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - Truthorconsequence (15/1), 11 - Super Costly (20/1), 7 - Scribble (30/1), 8 - Mezcal Mule (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Pounce (12/1)
Place:2 - Caitlinhergrtness (12/1)
Show:3 - She Feels Pretty (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Buchu (15/1), 4 - Waves Of Mischief (12/1), 1 - Pin Up Betty (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:11 - Komorebino Omoide (9/5)
Place:4 - King Kumbalay (8/1)
Show:10 - Baton Rouge (9/2)
Other contenders:9 - Bartulia (30/1), 3 - Seeking Unity (15/1), 6 - Mackman (12/1), 12 - Surface To Air (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:16 - Stashu (8/1)
Place:13 - Purse Thief (15/1)
Show:10 - Towner Too (30/1)
Other contenders:11 - Lovely Regalo (20/1), 9 - Strummin (15/1), 12 - Curahee (9/2), 8 - Enterdadragon (8/1), 6 - The Brigade (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, pace, and feet-per-second)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Very Wealthy (15/1)
Place:8 - Miss Jeopardy (6/1)
Show:6 - Xtra Extraordinary (12/1)
Other contenders:11 - Motown Mika (10/1), 9 - Sparkle Of Hope (20/1), 7 - Miss Easy (3/1), 2 - Concerti (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:13 - Sound Cause (9/2)
Place:1 - Paraclete (8/1)
Show:8 - Governing Party (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Sprint Out Pass (12/1), 10 - Executive (7/2), 6 - Flambeau (20/1), 2 - Pnutbutter Whiskey (50/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Two Sharp (4/5)
Place:6 - Zadorsky (9/2)
Show:8 - Lightning Myqueen (20/1)
Other contenders:3 - Je Suis Rapide (30/1), 7 - Floored (30/1), 5 - Coastal Invasion (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Printrack (10/1)
Place:5 - Yes I'M A Beast (5/1)
Show:4 - Hi Yah (12/1)
Other contenders:8 - Gunner Bay (15/1), 2 - One Cool Dude (10/1), 3 - Got Thunder (20/1), 12 - Alpine Thunder (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Lucky Mischief (5/2)
Place:11 - Zap D'Etat (15/1)
Show:10 - Authentic Style (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Sand Cast (20/1), 1 - Johny'S Rendezvous (6/1), 12 - Tkac (10/1), 6 - Maui Strong (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Kavod (12/1)
Place:6 - Lofty Adjudicator (10/1)
Show:4 - Giant Mischief (6/5)
Other contenders:5 - Cyclone Mischief (7/2), 8 - Gold Luck (12/1), 2 - Bourbon Heist (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:12 - My Lil Punky (5/1)
Place:4 - Taverna (4/1)
Show:2 - Contemplate (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - Truthorconsequence (15/1), 11 - Super Costly (20/1), 7 - Scribble (30/1), 8 - Mezcal Mule (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Pounce (12/1)
Place:3 - She Feels Pretty (5/2)
Show:2 - Caitlinhergrtness (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Buchu (15/1), 4 - Waves Of Mischief (12/1), 1 - Pin Up Betty (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:11 - Komorebino Omoide (9/5)
Place:4 - King Kumbalay (8/1)
Show:10 - Baton Rouge (9/2)
Other contenders:3 - Seeking Unity (15/1), 9 - Bartulia (30/1), 6 - Mackman (12/1), 12 - Surface To Air (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:16 - Stashu (8/1)
Place:13 - Purse Thief (15/1)
Show:10 - Towner Too (30/1)
Other contenders:11 - Lovely Regalo (20/1), 9 - Strummin (15/1), 12 - Curahee (9/2), 8 - Enterdadragon (8/1), 6 - The Brigade (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

Algorithm 3 (Strong influence from Pick Pony's proprietary AI engine)

 
Race 1
Win:8 - Miss Jeopardy (6/1)
Place:4 - Very Wealthy (15/1)
Show:9 - Sparkle Of Hope (20/1)
Other contenders:11 - Motown Mika (10/1), 6 - Xtra Extraordinary (12/1), 2 - Concerti (8/1), 7 - Miss Easy (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win:13 - Sound Cause (9/2)
Place:1 - Paraclete (8/1)
Show:8 - Governing Party (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Sprint Out Pass (12/1), 10 - Executive (7/2), 6 - Flambeau (20/1), 2 - Pnutbutter Whiskey (50/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Two Sharp (4/5)
Place:6 - Zadorsky (9/2)
Show:8 - Lightning Myqueen (20/1)
Other contenders:3 - Je Suis Rapide (30/1), 7 - Floored (30/1), 5 - Coastal Invasion (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Printrack (10/1)
Place:5 - Yes I'M A Beast (5/1)
Show:4 - Hi Yah (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Downtownchalybrown (4/1), 8 - Gunner Bay (15/1), 2 - One Cool Dude (10/1), 3 - Got Thunder (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:10 - Authentic Style (12/1)
Place:11 - Zap D'Etat (15/1)
Show:4 - Lucky Mischief (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Sand Cast (20/1), 1 - Johny'S Rendezvous (6/1), 12 - Tkac (10/1), 6 - Maui Strong (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Lofty Adjudicator (10/1)
Place:1 - Kavod (12/1)
Show:4 - Giant Mischief (6/5)
Other contenders:5 - Cyclone Mischief (7/2), 8 - Gold Luck (12/1), 2 - Bourbon Heist (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:12 - My Lil Punky (5/1)
Place:4 - Taverna (4/1)
Show:2 - Contemplate (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - Truthorconsequence (15/1), 11 - Super Costly (20/1), 7 - Scribble (30/1), 8 - Mezcal Mule (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Pounce (12/1)
Place:2 - Caitlinhergrtness (12/1)
Show:7 - Buchu (15/1)
Other contenders:3 - She Feels Pretty (5/2), 4 - Waves Of Mischief (12/1), 1 - Pin Up Betty (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:11 - Komorebino Omoide (9/5)
Place:4 - King Kumbalay (8/1)
Show:10 - Baton Rouge (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Parchment Party (7/2), 3 - Seeking Unity (15/1), 9 - Bartulia (30/1), 6 - Mackman (12/1)
 
Race 10
Win:16 - Stashu (8/1)
Place:13 - Purse Thief (15/1)
Show:10 - Towner Too (30/1)
Other contenders:11 - Lovely Regalo (20/1), 9 - Strummin (15/1), 12 - Curahee (9/2), 8 - Enterdadragon (8/1), 5 - Blue Coast (4/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

Entries

ALPINE THUNDERAUTHENTIC STYLEBARTULIABATON ROUGEBEN FRANKLIN
BLUE COASTBOURBON HEISTBOURBON RESOLVEBOY BOYBROMLEY
CAITLINHERGRTNESSCANDALACEEBEECLASSIC EXAMPLECOAL BATTLE
CONCERTICONNIVECONTEMPLATECOULD DOCREATIVE MINISTER
CYCLONE MISCHIEFDOWNTOWNCHALYBROWNEDDIE MEL MUHEETELUSIVE TARGET
EXECUTIVEFLAMBEAUFLOOREDFREE PASSAGEFRONT END
GIANT MISCHIEFGLOBAL SENSATIONGOLD LUCKGOT THUNDERGOVERNING PARTY
GRIDLOCKGUNNER BAYHAMLINHI YAHJE SUIS RAPIDE
KACHOWKARMA GHIAKAVODKEEPSAKEKING KUMBALAY
LAWLESS WAYSLIGHTNING MYQUEENLOFTY ADJUDICATORLOOK TO THE CROSSLOVE THAT SYMPHONY
LUCKY MISCHIEFMACKMANMAUI STRONGMEZCAL MULEMIDNIGHT ESCAPE
MISS JEOPARDYMISS PHARAOHMISS SAYELYMO PICS PLEASEMOTOWN MIKA
MY LIL PUNKYONE COOL DUDEOVERSUBSCRIBEDPALACE KITTENPARACLETE
PIN UP BETTYPLENSAPNUTBUTTER WHISKEYPOSTERPOUNCE
PRINTRACKPURSE THIEFRIVER IN EGYPTSAND CASTSCRIBBLE
SEEKING UNITYSHE FEELS PRETTYSOLEIL VOLANTSOLIDIFYSOPRANO
SPARKLE OF HOPESPRINT OUT PASSSTASHUSTORMY MITOLESTRUMMIN
SURFACE TO AIRTAVERNATHE BRIGADETHE FED'S PLOTTHE HIDDEN CHAMBER
TOWNER TOOTRUTHORCONSEQUENCETWO SHARPVERY WEALTHYWAVES OF MISCHIEF
YES I'M A BEASTZADORSKYZAP D'ETAT