Keeneland April 8, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 8, 2025, 1:41 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Camp Hale (6/5)
Place:6 - Sergeant Capps (20/1)
Show:1 - Ship Ship Hooray (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Shepherd (6/1), 5 - Sock It To Me (30/1), 7 - Steeze (12/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Tomasello (7/2)
Place:5 - Courageous Clay (10/1)
Show:4 - Special Session (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Kicking Clear (15/1), 12 - Excite (9/2), 11 - Bermuda Triangle (15/1), 8 - Trigger Point (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Brodeur (6/1)
Place:1 - Thrilla (15/1)
Show:8 - Dr Ruben M (20/1)
Other contenders:6 - El Dandi (30/1), 5 - Got'M Cot'M (20/1), 4 - Fully Volatile (30/1)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Irish Aces (3/1)
Place:12 - Northern Invader (2/1)
Show:11 - Smokey Mandate (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Piper'S Factor (20/1), 2 - West Hollywood (9/2), 15 - Degree Of Risk (12/1), 5 - Timeout (8/1), 10 - Wonderful Justice (30/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Midnight Vengeance (30/1)
Place:11 - Fountain Lake (20/1)
Show:4 - Pitkin (5/2)
Other contenders:12 - Interceptor (5/1), 7 - Last Man Standing (9/2), 9 - Keen Talent (8/1), 10 - Development Fee (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Nitrogen (2/1)
Place:4 - Fast Market (30/1)
Show:2 - Vixen (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Foxtastic (12/1), 7 - Liam In The Dust (15/1), 8 - Lush Lips (5/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Montalcino (3/1)
Place:6 - Hoist The Gold (9/2)
Show:3 - Epic Ride (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Whatchatalkinabout (4/1), 8 - Here Mi Song (8/1), 1 - Best Actor (15/1), 7 - Prince Of Power (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Scylla (8/5)
Place:2 - Emery (3/1)
Show:8 - Mystic Lake (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - My Mane Squeeze (8/1), 3 - Harbor Springs (30/1), 1 - Positano Sunset (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - No Nay Hudson (12/1)
Place:1 - Run Carson (6/1)
Show:5 - Valentine Candy (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Think Big (15/1), 2 - Our Shot (7/2), 9 - Mischievous Rogue (30/1), 8 - Petcoff (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - River Thames (5/2)
Place:4 - Owen Almighty (3/1)
Show:3 - Burnham Square (9/2)
Other contenders:6 - Chancer Mcpatrick (7/2), 5 - East Avenue (3/1)
 
Race 11
Win:8 - Map To The Stars (5/1)
Place:5 - Run Jalen Run (12/1)
Show:2 - Risk It (6/1)
Other contenders:13 - Great Richie M (20/1), 3 - Pentathlon (10/1), 6 - Reynolds Channel (4/1), 9 - Big Hammer (50/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Camp Hale (6/5)
Place:6 - Sergeant Capps (20/1)
Show:1 - Ship Ship Hooray (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Shepherd (6/1), 5 - Sock It To Me (30/1), 7 - Steeze (12/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Tomasello (7/2)
Place:5 - Courageous Clay (10/1)
Show:4 - Special Session (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Kicking Clear (15/1), 12 - Excite (9/2), 11 - Bermuda Triangle (15/1), 8 - Trigger Point (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Brodeur (6/1)
Place:8 - Dr Ruben M (20/1)
Show:1 - Thrilla (15/1)
Other contenders:5 - Got'M Cot'M (20/1), 6 - El Dandi (30/1), 4 - Fully Volatile (30/1)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Irish Aces (3/1)
Place:12 - Northern Invader (2/1)
Show:11 - Smokey Mandate (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Piper'S Factor (20/1), 2 - West Hollywood (9/2), 15 - Degree Of Risk (12/1), 5 - Timeout (8/1), 10 - Wonderful Justice (30/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Midnight Vengeance (30/1)
Place:11 - Fountain Lake (20/1)
Show:4 - Pitkin (5/2)
Other contenders:12 - Interceptor (5/1), 7 - Last Man Standing (9/2), 9 - Keen Talent (8/1), 2 - Shangrala Road (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Nitrogen (2/1)
Place:4 - Fast Market (30/1)
Show:2 - Vixen (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Foxtastic (12/1), 7 - Liam In The Dust (15/1), 8 - Lush Lips (5/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Montalcino (3/1)
Place:6 - Hoist The Gold (9/2)
Show:3 - Epic Ride (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Whatchatalkinabout (4/1), 8 - Here Mi Song (8/1), 1 - Best Actor (15/1), 4 - Caramel Chip (30/1)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Scylla (8/5)
Place:2 - Emery (3/1)
Show:8 - Mystic Lake (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - My Mane Squeeze (8/1), 3 - Harbor Springs (30/1), 1 - Positano Sunset (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - No Nay Hudson (12/1)
Place:1 - Run Carson (6/1)
Show:5 - Valentine Candy (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Think Big (15/1), 2 - Our Shot (7/2), 9 - Mischievous Rogue (30/1), 10 - Coppola (6/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - River Thames (5/2)
Place:4 - Owen Almighty (3/1)
Show:3 - Burnham Square (9/2)
Other contenders:6 - Chancer Mcpatrick (7/2), 5 - East Avenue (3/1)
 
Race 11
Win:8 - Map To The Stars (5/1)
Place:5 - Run Jalen Run (12/1)
Show:2 - Risk It (6/1)
Other contenders:13 - Great Richie M (20/1), 3 - Pentathlon (10/1), 6 - Reynolds Channel (4/1), 9 - Big Hammer (50/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:2 - Camp Hale (6/5)
Place:6 - Sergeant Capps (20/1)
Show:1 - Ship Ship Hooray (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Shepherd (6/1), 5 - Sock It To Me (30/1), 3 - Playa Del Mar (4/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Tomasello (7/2)
Place:5 - Courageous Clay (10/1)
Show:4 - Special Session (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Kicking Clear (15/1), 12 - Excite (9/2), 11 - Bermuda Triangle (15/1), 8 - Trigger Point (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Dr Ruben M (20/1)
Place:3 - Brodeur (6/1)
Show:5 - Got'M Cot'M (20/1)
Other contenders:1 - Thrilla (15/1), 6 - El Dandi (30/1), 9 - Gunmetal (8/5)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Irish Aces (3/1)
Place:11 - Smokey Mandate (20/1)
Show:7 - Piper'S Factor (20/1)
Other contenders:12 - Northern Invader (2/1), 2 - West Hollywood (9/2), 10 - Wonderful Justice (30/1), 5 - Timeout (8/1), 15 - Degree Of Risk (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Midnight Vengeance (30/1)
Place:11 - Fountain Lake (20/1)
Show:4 - Pitkin (5/2)
Other contenders:12 - Interceptor (5/1), 7 - Last Man Standing (9/2), 9 - Keen Talent (8/1), 2 - Shangrala Road (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Nitrogen (2/1)
Place:4 - Fast Market (30/1)
Show:2 - Vixen (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Foxtastic (12/1), 7 - Liam In The Dust (15/1), 8 - Lush Lips (5/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - Montalcino (3/1)
Place:6 - Hoist The Gold (9/2)
Show:3 - Epic Ride (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - Whatchatalkinabout (4/1), 1 - Best Actor (15/1), 8 - Here Mi Song (8/1), 4 - Caramel Chip (30/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Mystic Lake (7/2)
Place:2 - Emery (3/1)
Show:6 - Scylla (8/5)
Other contenders:4 - My Mane Squeeze (8/1), 1 - Positano Sunset (20/1), 3 - Harbor Springs (30/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - No Nay Hudson (12/1)
Place:5 - Valentine Candy (6/1)
Show:1 - Run Carson (6/1)
Other contenders:10 - Coppola (6/1), 2 - Our Shot (7/2), 11 - Think Big (15/1), 3 - Arzak (4/1)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - River Thames (5/2)
Place:4 - Owen Almighty (3/1)
Show:3 - Burnham Square (9/2)
Other contenders:6 - Chancer Mcpatrick (7/2), 2 - Render Judgment (20/1)
 
Race 11
Win:8 - Map To The Stars (5/1)
Place:5 - Run Jalen Run (12/1)
Show:2 - Risk It (6/1)
Other contenders:13 - Great Richie M (20/1), 3 - Pentathlon (10/1), 6 - Reynolds Channel (4/1), 12 - Theismann (20/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ABBI FEDEACCIDENTACTIVITYADMIRAL DENNISARZAK
BERMUDA TRIANGLEBEST ACTORBIG HAMMERBRODEURBURNHAM SQUARE
CAMP HALECARAMEL CHIPCHANCER MCPATRICKCHILLAXCOPPOLA
DAZZLING MOVEDEGREE OF RISKDEVELOPMENT FEEDR RUBEN MEAMONN
EL DANDIELDEST SONEMERYEPIC RIDEEXCITE
FAST MARKETFATEFUL LIGHTNINGFETEFIONNFOUNTAIN LAKE
FULLY VOLATILEGOOD TEMPERGOT'M COT'MGREAT RICHIE MGUNMETAL
HERE MI SONGHOIST THE GOLDHURRY HURRYINTERCEPTORINVICTUS
IT'S MY LIFEJUSTIQUEKEEN TALENTKICK IT INKICKING CLEAR
LIAM IN THE DUSTLINCOLN HIGHWAYLOU'S LEGACYLUSH LIPSMAP TO THE STARS
MIDNIGHT VENGEANCEMISCHIEVOUS ROGUEMO WORKMONTALCINOMY MANE SQUEEZE
NITROGENNO MO MOOLAHNO NAY HUDSONNORTHERN INVADERNOTED
OUR SHOTOUT OF DEDUCTIONSOWEN ALMIGHTYPENTATHLONPETCOFF
PITKINPLAYA DEL MARPOSITANO SUNSETPRINCE OF POWERRENDER JUDGMENT
REYNOLDS CHANNELRISK ITRIVER THAMESROGUE LIGHTNINGRUN CARSON
SCYLLASEAPORT LANESERGEANT CAPPSSHANGRALA ROADSHEPHERD
SMOKEY MANDATESOCK IT TO MESPECIAL SESSIONSTANDARD OF PROOFSTEEZE
TABLE FLIRTTALL BOYTHEISMANNTHINK BIGTHRILLA
TIP TOP THOMASTOMASELLOTOTALLY JUSTIFIEDTRIGGER POINTVALENTINE CANDY
VIXENWEST HOLLYWOODWHATCHATALKINABOUTWONDERFUL JUSTICEWYOMING BILL