Aqueduct November 8, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Nov. 8, 2024, 2:28 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Hay Evabody (9/5)
Place:4 - Save The Queen (5/2)
Show:5 - Wind Flower (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - More Than Grace (6/1), 3 - Lucille Ball (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Index Fund (2/1)
Place:2 - Upstanding (6/5)
Show:5 - Dark Devil (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Glint (30/1), 7 - Party With Smarty (50/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Magnolia Midnight (2/1)
Place:1 - Suerte (2/1)
Show:7 - Bossmakinbossmoves (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Mystic Night (15/1), 4 - Bold Endeavor (8/5), 3 - Flat Out Flying (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Decree And Declare (9/2)
Place:6 - Latham Ridge (6/1)
Show:2 - Tejanita (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - Not The First Time (15/1), 4 - My Sherrona (6/1), 5 - Taratel (2/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Tosconova Beauty (9/2)
Place:3 - Gringotts (6/1)
Show:4 - Sister Linda (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Reigning Chick (9/2), 2 - Jolly Miss Jill (10/1), 1 - Pretti Xtreme (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:10 - Laurel Valley (12/1)
Place:13 - Runningwscissors (5/1)
Show:11 - Let'S Go Big Blue (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Maxwell Esquire (15/1), 14 - Call Me Harry (4/1), 7 - Gem Mint Ten (4/1), 5 - B D Saints (10/1), 8 - Dreampoint (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Collected Special (5/1)
Place:5 - Devil'S Cay (7/2)
Show:8 - Kreesa (10/1)
Other contenders:10 - Thank You Jon (6/1), 7 - Dads Good Runner (8/1), 2 - Whenlovetakesover (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - Jody'S Pride (6/1)
Place:9 - Save Us Melania (5/2)
Show:7 - Macanga (7/2)
Other contenders:8 - Way To Be Marie (9/2), 10 - Best Impression (6/1), 4 - Whiskey Decision (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:4 - Toupie (3/1)
Place:2 - Dontlookbackatall (2/1)
Show:7 - Mz Big Bucks (20/1)
Other contenders:1 - Hollywood Walk (12/1), 12 - Risk Threshold (8/1), 13 - Security Code (8/1), 5 - Loon Cry (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Hay Evabody (9/5)
Place:4 - Save The Queen (5/2)
Show:5 - Wind Flower (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - More Than Grace (6/1), 3 - Lucille Ball (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Index Fund (2/1)
Place:2 - Upstanding (6/5)
Show:5 - Dark Devil (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Glint (30/1), 7 - Party With Smarty (50/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Magnolia Midnight (2/1)
Place:1 - Suerte (2/1)
Show:4 - Bold Endeavor (8/5)
Other contenders:7 - Bossmakinbossmoves (8/1), 6 - Mystic Night (15/1), 3 - Flat Out Flying (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Decree And Declare (9/2)
Place:6 - Latham Ridge (6/1)
Show:2 - Tejanita (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - Not The First Time (15/1), 4 - My Sherrona (6/1), 5 - Taratel (2/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Tosconova Beauty (9/2)
Place:3 - Gringotts (6/1)
Show:4 - Sister Linda (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Reigning Chick (9/2), 2 - Jolly Miss Jill (10/1), 1 - Pretti Xtreme (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:10 - Laurel Valley (12/1)
Place:13 - Runningwscissors (5/1)
Show:11 - Let'S Go Big Blue (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Maxwell Esquire (15/1), 14 - Call Me Harry (4/1), 7 - Gem Mint Ten (4/1), 5 - B D Saints (10/1), 15 - Shadow Dragon (2/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Collected Special (5/1)
Place:5 - Devil'S Cay (7/2)
Show:8 - Kreesa (10/1)
Other contenders:10 - Thank You Jon (6/1), 7 - Dads Good Runner (8/1), 2 - Whenlovetakesover (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - Jody'S Pride (6/1)
Place:9 - Save Us Melania (5/2)
Show:7 - Macanga (7/2)
Other contenders:8 - Way To Be Marie (9/2), 10 - Best Impression (6/1), 4 - Whiskey Decision (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:4 - Toupie (3/1)
Place:2 - Dontlookbackatall (2/1)
Show:7 - Mz Big Bucks (20/1)
Other contenders:1 - Hollywood Walk (12/1), 12 - Risk Threshold (8/1), 5 - Loon Cry (8/1), 13 - Security Code (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Hay Evabody (9/5)
Place:4 - Save The Queen (5/2)
Show:5 - Wind Flower (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - More Than Grace (6/1), 3 - Lucille Ball (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Index Fund (2/1)
Place:2 - Upstanding (6/5)
Show:5 - Dark Devil (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Glint (30/1), 1 - Stronsino (6/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Magnolia Midnight (2/1)
Place:1 - Suerte (2/1)
Show:7 - Bossmakinbossmoves (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Bold Endeavor (8/5), 6 - Mystic Night (15/1), 3 - Flat Out Flying (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Decree And Declare (9/2)
Place:6 - Latham Ridge (6/1)
Show:2 - Tejanita (8/1)
Other contenders:1 - Not The First Time (15/1), 4 - My Sherrona (6/1), 5 - Taratel (2/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Tosconova Beauty (9/2)
Place:4 - Sister Linda (6/1)
Show:3 - Gringotts (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Reigning Chick (9/2), 2 - Jolly Miss Jill (10/1), 1 - Pretti Xtreme (7/2)
 
Race 6
Win:10 - Laurel Valley (12/1)
Place:13 - Runningwscissors (5/1)
Show:14 - Call Me Harry (4/1)
Other contenders:11 - Let'S Go Big Blue (7/2), 3 - Maxwell Esquire (15/1), 7 - Gem Mint Ten (4/1), 8 - Dreampoint (30/1), 15 - Shadow Dragon (2/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Collected Special (5/1)
Place:5 - Devil'S Cay (7/2)
Show:8 - Kreesa (10/1)
Other contenders:2 - Whenlovetakesover (12/1), 10 - Thank You Jon (6/1), 7 - Dads Good Runner (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - Jody'S Pride (6/1)
Place:7 - Macanga (7/2)
Show:9 - Save Us Melania (5/2)
Other contenders:8 - Way To Be Marie (9/2), 10 - Best Impression (6/1), 4 - Whiskey Decision (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:4 - Toupie (3/1)
Place:2 - Dontlookbackatall (2/1)
Show:7 - Mz Big Bucks (20/1)
Other contenders:3 - All That Magic (20/1), 10 - Love Appeals (5/1), 1 - Hollywood Walk (12/1), 13 - Security Code (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AGENT CREEDALL THAT MAGICALTERNATE REALITYB D SAINTSBADLANDS RULER
BEST IMPRESSIONBETTRLUCKYTHANGOODBOLD ENDEAVORBORN DANCERBOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES
CALL ME HARRYCHALKY CATCLEAR CONSCIENCECOLLECTED SPECIALDADS GOOD RUNNER
DEA MATRONADECREE AND DECLAREDEVIL'S CAYDONTLOOKBACKATALLDREAMPOINT
GAME CHASERGEM MINT TENGLINTGOLDEN HOSTESSGRINGOTTS
HAPPY HENRYHAY EVABODYHE'S GOT ITHE'S GOT THISHOLLYWOOD WALK
JODY'S PRIDEJOEY THE FISHJOLLY MISS JILLKREESALATHAM RIDGE
LET'S GO BIG BLUELOCKE AND KEYLOON CRYLOVE APPEALSLUCILLE BALL
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHTMAXWELL ESQUIREMELANCIAMOHAWK TRAILMORE THAN GRACE
MYSTIC NIGHTMZ BIG BUCKSNO MO CANDYNOT THE FIRST TIMEOVERSUBSCRIBED
PRETTI XTREMEREIGNING CHICKRISK THRESHOLDRUNNINGWSCISSORSSAVE THE QUEEN
SECURITY CODESEE YOU AROUNDSHADOW DRAGONSISTER LINDASTONE COLD KELLY
SUERTESUGAR GRAY LEONARDTARATELTEJANITATHANK YOU JON
TOUPIEUNION DOLLYUPSTANDINGWAY TO BE MARIEWHENLOVETAKESOVER
WIND FLOWERYESTERNIGHT