Aqueduct November 9, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Nov. 8, 2024, 2:52 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - A Bourbon For Toby (6/1)
Place:2 - Peak Performer (4/1)
Show:3 - Georgia Magic (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Salamis (2/1), 5 - Math Tutor (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Illuminare (2/1)
Place:2 - Mariachi (3/1)
Show:4 - Gun It (10/1)
Other contenders:3 - Reddington (7/2), 1 - Alpine Thunder (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Spiritual Lady (6/1)
Place:2 - Street Jam (7/2)
Show:6 - Spring Magic (5/2)
Other contenders:4 - Balenciaga Betty (12/1), 7 - Irish Jackson (5/1), 3 - Belle Of The Ball (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Focus Pocus (5/1)
Place:7 - Dream On Cara (5/1)
Show:9 - Watch Over Me (4/1)
Other contenders:2 - Purest Performance (15/1), 8 - Lu'S Redemption (9/5), 6 - La Indecente (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Bartlett (8/1)
Place:3 - Deterministic (2/1)
Show:2 - Cugino (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Royal Majesty (7/2), 5 - Desvio (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:14 - Smile Mon (7/5)
Place:11 - Barnstorming (10/1)
Show:4 - Life And Light (15/1)
Other contenders:1 - Omni King (9/2), 8 - Scat Tu Tap (20/1), 5 - Outtawaterbury (12/1), 7 - Front Man (20/1), 10 - Miztertonic (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Vinsanity (6/1)
Place:9 - Magnificent Mile (5/2)
Show:5 - Sin Nombre (20/1)
Other contenders:6 - Sorority Prank (4/1), 2 - Best Bet (9/2), 8 - Liberte De Bayeux (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - Son Of A Birch (20/1)
Place:9 - Senbei (5/2)
Show:10 - Shefflin (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Implementation (8/1), 6 - Alogon (9/2), 3 - Twenty Six Black (8/1), 2 - Thin White Duke (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Adhamo (8/1)
Place:7 - Daunt (20/1)
Show:9 - Rebel Red (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - City Man (10/1), 8 - Master Piece (5/2), 3 - Pioneering Spirit (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:14 - Lightning Mama (4/1)
Place:1 - Olivia'S Wish (30/1)
Show:15 - Vehemente (2/1)
Other contenders:2 - Infastuation (15/1), 16 - Fifi La Fume (12/1), 3 - O K To Dance (15/1), 10 - Furry Fox (3/1), 6 - Tower Twenty Two (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - A Bourbon For Toby (6/1)
Place:2 - Peak Performer (4/1)
Show:3 - Georgia Magic (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Salamis (2/1), 5 - Math Tutor (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Illuminare (2/1)
Place:2 - Mariachi (3/1)
Show:4 - Gun It (10/1)
Other contenders:3 - Reddington (7/2), 1 - Alpine Thunder (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Spiritual Lady (6/1)
Place:2 - Street Jam (7/2)
Show:6 - Spring Magic (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Irish Jackson (5/1), 4 - Balenciaga Betty (12/1), 3 - Belle Of The Ball (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Focus Pocus (5/1)
Place:7 - Dream On Cara (5/1)
Show:9 - Watch Over Me (4/1)
Other contenders:2 - Purest Performance (15/1), 8 - Lu'S Redemption (9/5), 6 - La Indecente (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Bartlett (8/1)
Place:3 - Deterministic (2/1)
Show:2 - Cugino (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Royal Majesty (7/2), 5 - Desvio (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:14 - Smile Mon (7/5)
Place:11 - Barnstorming (10/1)
Show:1 - Omni King (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Life And Light (15/1), 8 - Scat Tu Tap (20/1), 5 - Outtawaterbury (12/1), 7 - Front Man (20/1), 10 - Miztertonic (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Vinsanity (6/1)
Place:9 - Magnificent Mile (5/2)
Show:2 - Best Bet (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Sin Nombre (20/1), 6 - Sorority Prank (4/1), 8 - Liberte De Bayeux (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Senbei (5/2)
Place:1 - Son Of A Birch (20/1)
Show:10 - Shefflin (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Implementation (8/1), 6 - Alogon (9/2), 3 - Twenty Six Black (8/1), 5 - Outlaw Kid (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Adhamo (8/1)
Place:7 - Daunt (20/1)
Show:9 - Rebel Red (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - City Man (10/1), 8 - Master Piece (5/2), 2 - Integration (2/1)
 
Race 10
Win:14 - Lightning Mama (4/1)
Place:1 - Olivia'S Wish (30/1)
Show:15 - Vehemente (2/1)
Other contenders:2 - Infastuation (15/1), 3 - O K To Dance (15/1), 16 - Fifi La Fume (12/1), 10 - Furry Fox (3/1), 6 - Tower Twenty Two (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - A Bourbon For Toby (6/1)
Place:2 - Peak Performer (4/1)
Show:3 - Georgia Magic (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Salamis (2/1), 5 - Math Tutor (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Illuminare (2/1)
Place:2 - Mariachi (3/1)
Show:4 - Gun It (10/1)
Other contenders:3 - Reddington (7/2), 1 - Alpine Thunder (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Spiritual Lady (6/1)
Place:6 - Spring Magic (5/2)
Show:2 - Street Jam (7/2)
Other contenders:7 - Irish Jackson (5/1), 4 - Balenciaga Betty (12/1), 3 - Belle Of The Ball (7/2)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Focus Pocus (5/1)
Place:9 - Watch Over Me (4/1)
Show:7 - Dream On Cara (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - Purest Performance (15/1), 8 - Lu'S Redemption (9/5), 6 - La Indecente (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Bartlett (8/1)
Place:3 - Deterministic (2/1)
Show:2 - Cugino (5/2)
Other contenders:7 - Royal Majesty (7/2), 5 - Desvio (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:14 - Smile Mon (7/5)
Place:11 - Barnstorming (10/1)
Show:1 - Omni King (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Life And Light (15/1), 5 - Outtawaterbury (12/1), 7 - Front Man (20/1), 8 - Scat Tu Tap (20/1), 13 - Ghostlyprince (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Vinsanity (6/1)
Place:9 - Magnificent Mile (5/2)
Show:2 - Best Bet (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Sin Nombre (20/1), 6 - Sorority Prank (4/1), 3 - Screaming Uncle (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:9 - Senbei (5/2)
Place:1 - Son Of A Birch (20/1)
Show:10 - Shefflin (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Alogon (9/2), 7 - Implementation (8/1), 5 - Outlaw Kid (5/1), 3 - Twenty Six Black (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Adhamo (8/1)
Place:7 - Daunt (20/1)
Show:9 - Rebel Red (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - City Man (10/1), 2 - Integration (2/1), 8 - Master Piece (5/2)
 
Race 10
Win:14 - Lightning Mama (4/1)
Place:1 - Olivia'S Wish (30/1)
Show:2 - Infastuation (15/1)
Other contenders:15 - Vehemente (2/1), 3 - O K To Dance (15/1), 16 - Fifi La Fume (12/1), 10 - Furry Fox (3/1), 6 - Tower Twenty Two (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

A BOURBON FOR TOBYADHAMOALOGONALPINE THUNDERAWESOME NATIVE
BACKWATERBALENCIAGA BETTYBARNSTORMINGBARTLETTBEAVER STATE
BELLE OF THE BALLBEST BETBOOK OF WISDOMCITY MANCUGINO
DAUNTDEAR JOHNDESVIODETERMINISTICDREAM ON CARA
FOCUS POCUSFRONT MANFUNNY UNCLEFURRY FOXGEORGIA MAGIC
GROOMS ALL BIZNESSGUN ITI SEE YOU LOOKINICE TIMEILLUMINARE
INFASTUATIONINSTANT VISIONINTEGRATIONIRISH JACKSONJEAN VALJEAN
LA INDECENTELIBERTE DE BAYEUXLIFE AND LIGHTLIGHTNING MAMALIMITED LIABILITY
MAGNIFICENT MILEMAIN BEACHMARIACHIMASTER PIECEMATH TUTOR
MR. MENDELSSOHNNOTMYSTEPPINGSTONEO K TO DANCEOLIVIA'S WISHOMNI KING
OUTTAWATERBURYPEAK PERFORMERPIONEERING SPIRITPUREST PERFORMANCEREBEL RED
RIGHT TO VOTEROYAL MAJESTYSALAMISSCAT TU TAPSCREAMING UNCLE
SHADIZAARSHEFFLINSHERIFF BIANCOSHERMAN'S MARLINSIN NOMBRE
SON OF A BIRCHSORORITY PRANKSPIRITUAL LADYSPRING MAGICSTARRY MIDNIGHT
THE SPLENDID ONETHIN WHITE DUKETONY OTOWER TWENTY TWOTRULLI MAGIC
TWENTY SIX BLACKVEHEMENTEVINSANITYWATCH OVER MEWAVE
WORKS FOR ME