Aqueduct February 8, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Feb. 6, 2025, 3:25 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Crimson Queen ()
Place:2 - Miss American Pie ()
Show:3 - Wild Mischief ()
Other contenders:4 - Moonlight Ready (), 5 - St. Addie (), 6 - Mega Changer ()
 
Race 2
Win:5 - National Identity ()
Place:1 - Soontobeking ()
Show:3 - Just Licorice ()
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Bernieandtherose ()
Place:2 - Boston'S Phinest ()
Show:5 - Straca ()
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Heavyweight Champs ()
Place:3 - Limit Up ()
Show:8 - On The Hill ()
Other contenders:6 - Pop Coyer (), 5 - Kid Billy (), 2 - Prince Of Truth ()
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Solomini'S Legacy ()
Place:2 - One Vision ()
Show:3 - Sweet Julian ()
Other contenders:4 - Monomoys Partner (), 5 - Stimuli (), 6 - Sway The Jury ()
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Maxaluna ()
Place:2 - Paula'S A Star ()
Show:3 - Spitfire Gal ()
Other contenders:4 - Formaggio (), 5 - Sheer Will (), 6 - Tremendous Bee (), 7 - Game Like Reyana ()
 
Race 7
Win:9 - Ariana Rye ()
Place:8 - Easy Play ()
Show:4 - La Banquera ()
Other contenders:2 - Peony (), 6 - Top Of The Table (), 3 - Carol T ()
 
Race 8
Win:10 - Ridgewood Runner ()
Place:7 - Gun It ()
Show:4 - Reddington ()
Other contenders:9 - Wico (), 6 - General Banker (), 2 - Classic Legacy (), 8 - Sheriff Bianco ()
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Vekinda ()
Place:9 - Skytown ()
Show:1 - Roofer ()
Other contenders:10 - Solar Glare (), 4 - Dominican Thunder (), 3 - State Park (), 5 - Merica'S Back ()
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Crimson Queen ()
Place:2 - Miss American Pie ()
Show:3 - Wild Mischief ()
Other contenders:4 - Moonlight Ready (), 5 - St. Addie (), 6 - Mega Changer ()
 
Race 2
Win:5 - National Identity ()
Place:1 - Soontobeking ()
Show:3 - Just Licorice ()
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Bernieandtherose ()
Place:2 - Boston'S Phinest ()
Show:5 - Straca ()
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Limit Up ()
Place:4 - Heavyweight Champs ()
Show:8 - On The Hill ()
Other contenders:5 - Kid Billy (), 6 - Pop Coyer (), 2 - Prince Of Truth ()
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Solomini'S Legacy ()
Place:2 - One Vision ()
Show:3 - Sweet Julian ()
Other contenders:4 - Monomoys Partner (), 5 - Stimuli (), 6 - Sway The Jury ()
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Maxaluna ()
Place:2 - Paula'S A Star ()
Show:3 - Spitfire Gal ()
Other contenders:4 - Formaggio (), 5 - Sheer Will (), 6 - Tremendous Bee (), 7 - Game Like Reyana ()
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Easy Play ()
Place:9 - Ariana Rye ()
Show:4 - La Banquera ()
Other contenders:2 - Peony (), 6 - Top Of The Table (), 3 - Carol T ()
 
Race 8
Win:10 - Ridgewood Runner ()
Place:7 - Gun It ()
Show:9 - Wico ()
Other contenders:4 - Reddington (), 6 - General Banker (), 2 - Classic Legacy (), 8 - Sheriff Bianco ()
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Vekinda ()
Place:9 - Skytown ()
Show:1 - Roofer ()
Other contenders:10 - Solar Glare (), 4 - Dominican Thunder (), 3 - State Park (), 5 - Merica'S Back ()
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Crimson Queen ()
Place:2 - Miss American Pie ()
Show:3 - Wild Mischief ()
Other contenders:4 - Moonlight Ready (), 5 - St. Addie (), 6 - Mega Changer ()
 
Race 2
Win:5 - National Identity ()
Place:1 - Soontobeking ()
Show:3 - Just Licorice ()
 
Race 3
Win:4 - Bernieandtherose ()
Place:2 - Boston'S Phinest ()
Show:5 - Straca ()
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Heavyweight Champs ()
Place:3 - Limit Up ()
Show:8 - On The Hill ()
Other contenders:6 - Pop Coyer (), 5 - Kid Billy (), 1 - Messi The Magician ()
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Solomini'S Legacy ()
Place:2 - One Vision ()
Show:3 - Sweet Julian ()
Other contenders:4 - Monomoys Partner (), 5 - Stimuli (), 6 - Sway The Jury ()
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Maxaluna ()
Place:2 - Paula'S A Star ()
Show:3 - Spitfire Gal ()
Other contenders:4 - Formaggio (), 5 - Sheer Will (), 6 - Tremendous Bee (), 7 - Game Like Reyana ()
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Easy Play ()
Place:4 - La Banquera ()
Show:9 - Ariana Rye ()
Other contenders:3 - Carol T (), 2 - Peony (), 6 - Top Of The Table ()
 
Race 8
Win:7 - Gun It ()
Place:10 - Ridgewood Runner ()
Show:4 - Reddington ()
Other contenders:9 - Wico (), 6 - General Banker (), 2 - Classic Legacy (), 8 - Sheriff Bianco ()
 
Race 9
Win:7 - Vekinda ()
Place:9 - Skytown ()
Show:1 - Roofer ()
Other contenders:10 - Solar Glare (), 4 - Dominican Thunder (), 3 - State Park (), 5 - Merica'S Back ()
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ARIANA RYEBERNIEANDTHEROSEBOSTON'S PHINESTBUSSIACAROL T
CLASSIC LEGACYCONSIDER IT DONECOUNTER MOVECRIMSON QUEENDELAWARE DEVIL
EASY PLAYEXPECTED VALUEFIREBALLINFOREVER TO GOFORMAGGIO
GENERAL BANKERGOLDEN ARMGORZOGUN ITGUNMAN JAYVO
JUST LICORICEKID BILLYKISMEHOLDMETHRLMELA BANQUERALAST MANGO
MAGNUM'S MICROBRSTMAXALUNAMEGA CHANGERMERICA'S BACKMESSI THE MAGICIAN
MONOMOYS PARTNERMONTAUK MEMOIRSMOONLIGHT READYNAIVE MELODYNATIONAL IDENTITY
ONE VISIONPAULA'S A STARPEONYPOP COYERPOSEIDON'S MIST
REDDINGTONRENEW THE BLUERIDGEWOOD RUNNERROOFERSAND DEVIL
SHEER WILLSHERIFF BIANCOSKYLANDERSKYTOWNSOLAR GLARE
SOONTOBEKINGSPITFIRE GALST. ADDIESTATE PARKSTIMULI
STRACASWAY THE JURYSWEET JULIANTEN RUN RULETOP OF THE TABLE
TREMENDOUS BEEUNBROKEN CHAINVEKINDAVINO SAMARAWALK WITH ME
WILD MISCHIEF