Evangeline Downs April 5, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 2, 2025, 8:30 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Zestiny (9/5)
Place:8 - You Good (9/2)
Show:11 - The Fact Is (12/1)
Other contenders:9 - Wicked Punches (6/1), 6 - Easy Eddie A (12/1), 2 - Postup (20/1), 10 - Bitsy'S Star (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Mardi Gras Mambo (2/1)
Place:8 - Lost My Bag (4/1)
Show:13 - One More Sleep (4/1)
Other contenders:10 - Billy Bowlegs (20/1), 9 - Call Me Rip (15/1), 1 - Nova'S Return (10/1), 12 - Kats Pick (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Jovie G (8/5)
Place:2 - Liken It (1/1)
Show:5 - Heza Royal Cat (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:7 - No Map Needed (15/1)
Place:4 - Positive Carry (2/1)
Show:2 - Awree (5/2)
Other contenders:8 - Mckinzie Magic (6/1), 5 - Fuego K (8/1), 1 - Sell The Buffalo (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:12 - Aspen Link (8/1)
Place:1 - Sweet Charlize (5/1)
Show:8 - Mor Mor Music (10/1)
Other contenders:9 - Lulu'S Magic (3/1), 4 - Spectacular Force (6/1), 11 - Beautiful Janet (4/1), 7 - Fern Spirit (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Stovel Bay (20/1)
Place:2 - Temporory High (20/1)
Show:3 - Leobobanna (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Barr'S Bay (20/1), 5 - Mariachi Man (7/2), 6 - Corporal Paul (5/2), 7 - Hold My Hat (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Bergheim (6/1)
Place:6 - Mr. Wallbanger (12/1)
Show:3 - Spamalot (8/1)
Other contenders:8 - Indian Cat (3/1), 5 - Contrabandist (4/1), 2 - American Vision (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Emilyhasherturn (4/1)
Place:6 - Rusty'S Sunrise (2/1)
Show:1 - Pip Squeek (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Dolly'S Guitar (12/1), 5 - Molto Vino (5/1), 8 - That Is Awesome (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Kupuna (9/5)
Place:4 - Accretive (6/1)
Show:1 - Machine Gun Man (15/1)
Other contenders:2 - Scat Free (12/1), 10 - Global Sensation (20/1), 9 - The Donegal Clan (10/1), 8 - Brite Outlook (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Brewster County (15/1)
Place:2 - Beamer (2/1)
Show:3 - Drama Queenie (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Native Catalina (12/1), 5 - Never Walk Alone (10/1), 6 - The Coquette (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Zestiny (9/5)
Place:8 - You Good (9/2)
Show:11 - The Fact Is (12/1)
Other contenders:9 - Wicked Punches (6/1), 6 - Easy Eddie A (12/1), 10 - Bitsy'S Star (10/1), 2 - Postup (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Mardi Gras Mambo (2/1)
Place:8 - Lost My Bag (4/1)
Show:13 - One More Sleep (4/1)
Other contenders:10 - Billy Bowlegs (20/1), 9 - Call Me Rip (15/1), 1 - Nova'S Return (10/1), 12 - Kats Pick (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Jovie G (8/5)
Place:2 - Liken It (1/1)
Show:5 - Heza Royal Cat (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:7 - No Map Needed (15/1)
Place:4 - Positive Carry (2/1)
Show:2 - Awree (5/2)
Other contenders:8 - Mckinzie Magic (6/1), 5 - Fuego K (8/1), 1 - Sell The Buffalo (12/1)
 
Race 5
Win:12 - Aspen Link (8/1)
Place:1 - Sweet Charlize (5/1)
Show:8 - Mor Mor Music (10/1)
Other contenders:9 - Lulu'S Magic (3/1), 4 - Spectacular Force (6/1), 11 - Beautiful Janet (4/1), 7 - Fern Spirit (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Stovel Bay (20/1)
Place:2 - Temporory High (20/1)
Show:3 - Leobobanna (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Barr'S Bay (20/1), 5 - Mariachi Man (7/2), 6 - Corporal Paul (5/2), 7 - Hold My Hat (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Bergheim (6/1)
Place:6 - Mr. Wallbanger (12/1)
Show:3 - Spamalot (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Contrabandist (4/1), 8 - Indian Cat (3/1), 2 - American Vision (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Emilyhasherturn (4/1)
Place:6 - Rusty'S Sunrise (2/1)
Show:1 - Pip Squeek (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Dolly'S Guitar (12/1), 5 - Molto Vino (5/1), 8 - That Is Awesome (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Kupuna (9/5)
Place:4 - Accretive (6/1)
Show:1 - Machine Gun Man (15/1)
Other contenders:10 - Global Sensation (20/1), 2 - Scat Free (12/1), 9 - The Donegal Clan (10/1), 8 - Brite Outlook (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Brewster County (15/1)
Place:2 - Beamer (2/1)
Show:3 - Drama Queenie (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Native Catalina (12/1), 5 - Never Walk Alone (10/1), 6 - The Coquette (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Zestiny (9/5)
Place:8 - You Good (9/2)
Show:9 - Wicked Punches (6/1)
Other contenders:11 - The Fact Is (12/1), 6 - Easy Eddie A (12/1), 10 - Bitsy'S Star (10/1), 2 - Postup (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Mardi Gras Mambo (2/1)
Place:8 - Lost My Bag (4/1)
Show:13 - One More Sleep (4/1)
Other contenders:10 - Billy Bowlegs (20/1), 9 - Call Me Rip (15/1), 11 - Joseph H (6/1), 1 - Nova'S Return (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Jovie G (8/5)
Place:2 - Liken It (1/1)
Show:5 - Heza Royal Cat (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:7 - No Map Needed (15/1)
Place:4 - Positive Carry (2/1)
Show:2 - Awree (5/2)
Other contenders:8 - Mckinzie Magic (6/1), 5 - Fuego K (8/1), 3 - Starship Skittles (7/2)
 
Race 5
Win:12 - Aspen Link (8/1)
Place:1 - Sweet Charlize (5/1)
Show:9 - Lulu'S Magic (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Mor Mor Music (10/1), 11 - Beautiful Janet (4/1), 4 - Spectacular Force (6/1), 7 - Fern Spirit (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Stovel Bay (20/1)
Place:2 - Temporory High (20/1)
Show:3 - Leobobanna (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Barr'S Bay (20/1), 5 - Mariachi Man (7/2), 6 - Corporal Paul (5/2), 7 - Hold My Hat (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Bergheim (6/1)
Place:6 - Mr. Wallbanger (12/1)
Show:5 - Contrabandist (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Spamalot (8/1), 8 - Indian Cat (3/1), 2 - American Vision (10/1)
 
Race 8
Win:2 - Emilyhasherturn (4/1)
Place:1 - Pip Squeek (3/1)
Show:6 - Rusty'S Sunrise (2/1)
Other contenders:7 - Dolly'S Guitar (12/1), 5 - Molto Vino (5/1), 8 - That Is Awesome (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Kupuna (9/5)
Place:4 - Accretive (6/1)
Show:1 - Machine Gun Man (15/1)
Other contenders:2 - Scat Free (12/1), 9 - The Donegal Clan (10/1), 10 - Global Sensation (20/1), 8 - Brite Outlook (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:1 - Brewster County (15/1)
Place:2 - Beamer (2/1)
Show:3 - Drama Queenie (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Native Catalina (12/1), 5 - Never Walk Alone (10/1), 6 - The Coquette (7/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ACCRETIVEAMERICAN VISIONASPEN LINKAWESOME BECCAAWREE
BARR'S BAYBEAMERBEAUTIFUL JANETBERGHEIMBILLY BOWLEGS
BREWSTER COUNTYBRITE OUTLOOKBROKE DRAWCALL ME RIPCHANNELFORTYNINE
CHROME BABYCLEVER RACECONTRABANDISTCOOL COWBOYCORPORAL PAUL
DOLLY'S GUITARDOUBLE CUTEDRAMA QUEENIEEASY EDDIE AEMILYHASHERTURN
FIRST SAMARITANFLAMINGTHUNDERBIRDFRANKIE'S EMPIREFUEGO KGABE'S POSSUM
GLORIA'S BOYGREATIZLOVEHEZA ROYAL CATHOLD MY HATHOUSTONS EAGLE
I'M SO HOTINDIAN CATJOSEPH HJOVIE GKATS PICK
KRAFTY TAFFYKUPUNALACEY'S KATLEOBOBANNALIKEN IT
LULU'S MAGICMACHINE GUN MANMARDI GRAS MAMBOMARIACHI MANMCKINZIE MAGIC
MOLTO VINOMOR MOR MUSICMR. WALLBANGERMY PAL SKYNATIVE CATALINA
NO MAP NEEDEDNOVA'S RETURNONE MORE SLEEPOTTER CREEKPIP SQUEEK
POINT PROVENPOSITIVE CARRYPOSTUPQUIET MELODYROYAL HOPE
SARAH'S RUNNERSCAT FREESEISMIC SPIRITSELL THE BUFFALOSHEER LUCK
SPECTACULAR FORCESTARSHIP SKITTLESSTOVEL BAYSWEET CHARLIZESWEETHEART VISION
TEMPORORY HIGHTHAT IS AWESOMETHE COQUETTETHE DONEGAL CLANTHE FACT IS
WICKED PUNCHESYOU GOODZESTINY