Fingerlakes May 5, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | May 5, 2025, 1:18 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Flight Control (7/2)
Place:5 - Flyin By (5/2)
Show:2 - Lady Quinn (2/1)
Other contenders:1 - Laughter (5/1), 6 - Banned From Midway (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Fabulous Fox (7/2)
Place:1 - Special Pal (5/2)
Show:5 - Eros'S Girl (2/1)
Other contenders:3 - Remoane (6/1), 4 - In Traffic (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Starr'S Delight (2/1)
Place:5 - Jackson Avenue (3/1)
Show:1 - Love Thyself (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Hypnotic Flair (2/1)
Place:6 - Call Me Penny (5/2)
Show:1 - Island Ride (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Emily Reward (6/1), 3 - Change Order (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Wecallemfuncoupons (5/2)
Place:4 - Puckish (7/2)
Show:1 - Shortsinthewinter (3/1)
Other contenders:2 - One Vision (4/1), 5 - Brewing (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Billy At The Gate (8/1)
Place:2 - Sweet Julian (8/1)
Show:3 - Smeauxkinitup (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Extraordinary One (10/1), 5 - Call Me Calvin (20/1), 6 - Natural Nine (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - D'S A Rock (2/1)
Place:3 - Light Thoughts (6/1)
Show:6 - Bisa (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Stunning Sugar (5/1), 1 - Bald Kitten (5/2)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Nikki Brainburst (5/2)
Place:7 - Tale Of The Tail (3/1)
Show:5 - Freedom Dreams (7/2)
Other contenders:1 - Only La Duss (8/1), 4 - Yearning (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Flight Control (7/2)
Place:5 - Flyin By (5/2)
Show:2 - Lady Quinn (2/1)
Other contenders:1 - Laughter (5/1), 6 - Banned From Midway (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Special Pal (5/2)
Place:2 - Fabulous Fox (7/2)
Show:5 - Eros'S Girl (2/1)
Other contenders:3 - Remoane (6/1), 4 - In Traffic (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Starr'S Delight (2/1)
Place:5 - Jackson Avenue (3/1)
Show:1 - Love Thyself (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Hypnotic Flair (2/1)
Place:6 - Call Me Penny (5/2)
Show:1 - Island Ride (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Emily Reward (6/1), 3 - Change Order (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Wecallemfuncoupons (5/2)
Place:4 - Puckish (7/2)
Show:1 - Shortsinthewinter (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Brewing (6/1), 2 - One Vision (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Billy At The Gate (8/1)
Place:2 - Sweet Julian (8/1)
Show:3 - Smeauxkinitup (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Extraordinary One (10/1), 5 - Call Me Calvin (20/1), 6 - Natural Nine (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - D'S A Rock (2/1)
Place:3 - Light Thoughts (6/1)
Show:6 - Bisa (7/2)
Other contenders:1 - Bald Kitten (5/2), 5 - Stunning Sugar (5/1)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Nikki Brainburst (5/2)
Place:7 - Tale Of The Tail (3/1)
Show:5 - Freedom Dreams (7/2)
Other contenders:1 - Only La Duss (8/1), 4 - Yearning (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Flight Control (7/2)
Place:5 - Flyin By (5/2)
Show:2 - Lady Quinn (2/1)
Other contenders:1 - Laughter (5/1), 6 - Banned From Midway (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Fabulous Fox (7/2)
Place:1 - Special Pal (5/2)
Show:3 - Remoane (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Eros'S Girl (2/1), 4 - In Traffic (10/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Starr'S Delight (2/1)
Place:5 - Jackson Avenue (3/1)
Show:1 - Love Thyself (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Hypnotic Flair (2/1)
Place:6 - Call Me Penny (5/2)
Show:1 - Island Ride (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Emily Reward (6/1), 3 - Change Order (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:6 - Wecallemfuncoupons (5/2)
Place:4 - Puckish (7/2)
Show:1 - Shortsinthewinter (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Brewing (6/1), 2 - One Vision (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Billy At The Gate (8/1)
Place:2 - Sweet Julian (8/1)
Show:3 - Smeauxkinitup (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Extraordinary One (10/1), 5 - Call Me Calvin (20/1), 6 - Natural Nine (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:2 - D'S A Rock (2/1)
Place:3 - Light Thoughts (6/1)
Show:6 - Bisa (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Stunning Sugar (5/1), 1 - Bald Kitten (5/2)
 
Race 8
Win:3 - Nikki Brainburst (5/2)
Place:7 - Tale Of The Tail (3/1)
Show:1 - Only La Duss (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Freedom Dreams (7/2), 2 - Chukatuck (5/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AIRAM KARLIANYBALD KITTENBANNED FROM MIDWAYBILLY AT THE GATEBISA
CALL ME CALVINCALL ME PENNYCHANGE ORDERCHUKATUCKD'S A ROCK
EMILY REWARDEROS'S GIRLEXTRAORDINARY ONEFABULOUS FOXFEDALIA
FLYIN BYFREEDOM DREAMSGOLD TEMPLARGRACE CANDYHYPNOTIC FLAIR
ISLAND RIDEJACKSON AVENUEJAYLALADY QUINNLAUGHTER
LOVE THYSELFNATURAL NINENIKKI BRAINBURSTONE VISIONONLY LA DUSS
PUCKISHRAISULIREMOANESALOON GIRLSCALES OF GOLD
SMEAUXKINITUPSPECIAL PALSTARR'S DELIGHTSTUNNING SUGARSWEET JULIAN
WECALLEMFUNCOUPONSYEARNING