Keeneland October 20, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 20, 2024, 7:48 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Cat Pays The Toll (5/1)
Place:5 - Kuku (15/1)
Show:7 - No Pardon (5/2)
Other contenders:3 - Cruz Chica (4/1), 6 - List (7/2), 4 - Kim Possible (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Scottish Storm (5/1)
Place:2 - Latta (8/1)
Show:3 - Munyhungry (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Air It Out (9/2), 5 - Phenomenal Dream (15/1), 6 - Not So Holy (7/2), 7 - Code One (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Star Blessing (10/1)
Place:2 - Haut Les Coeurs (6/1)
Show:3 - Shirley Ann (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Risky Wave (15/1), 5 - Glean (5/1), 6 - Always Practical (15/1), 7 - Lovely Emma (7/2), 8 - Cheetah Lady (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Mighty Madison (6/5)
Place:2 - Backyard Money (10/1)
Show:6 - Home Game (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Nay V Belle (6/1), 3 - Titled Lady (12/1), 5 - Mucho Macho Girl (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:11 - He'S A Angel (20/1)
Place:7 - Bettera (15/1)
Show:5 - Andy Cant (6/1)
Other contenders:9 - Gatlinburg (6/1), 10 - Quebrancho (30/1), 1 - Curlin Gunner (4/1), 4 - Cat On Time (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - Big Trouble (6/1)
Place:7 - Irina'S Charm (12/1)
Show:2 - Candy Bar (20/1)
Other contenders:9 - Get Twisted (15/1), 4 - Hay Stack (9/2), 14 - Steampunk (12/1), 3 - Leo Toro (4/1), 10 - Big Dig (30/1)
 
Race 7
Win:7 - Call Me Fast (9/2)
Place:9 - Hero Status (5/2)
Show:11 - Raise Cain (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - Piroli (12/1), 5 - Gunoe (10/1), 4 - Great Escape (20/1), 6 - Red Run (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:12 - Neecie Marie (3/1)
Place:4 - Forever After All (20/1)
Show:6 - Surprisingly (6/1)
Other contenders:14 - Heart Spin (30/1), 8 - Mrs. Astor (30/1), 2 - Cozee Rags (50/1), 3 - Anatolian (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Sell It (9/2)
Place:9 - Man Of Mischief (5/2)
Show:4 - All The Luck (3/1)
Other contenders:2 - Stunning Bruno (12/1), 11 - Sneaky Feet (30/1), 7 - El Dandi (30/1), 13 - Beijing Boss (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Cat Pays The Toll (5/1)
Place:5 - Kuku (15/1)
Show:7 - No Pardon (5/2)
Other contenders:3 - Cruz Chica (4/1), 6 - List (7/2), 4 - Kim Possible (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Scottish Storm (5/1)
Place:2 - Latta (8/1)
Show:3 - Munyhungry (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Air It Out (9/2), 5 - Phenomenal Dream (15/1), 6 - Not So Holy (7/2), 7 - Code One (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Star Blessing (10/1)
Place:2 - Haut Les Coeurs (6/1)
Show:3 - Shirley Ann (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Risky Wave (15/1), 5 - Glean (5/1), 6 - Always Practical (15/1), 7 - Lovely Emma (7/2), 8 - Cheetah Lady (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Mighty Madison (6/5)
Place:6 - Home Game (6/1)
Show:2 - Backyard Money (10/1)
Other contenders:1 - Nay V Belle (6/1), 3 - Titled Lady (12/1), 5 - Mucho Macho Girl (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:11 - He'S A Angel (20/1)
Place:5 - Andy Cant (6/1)
Show:7 - Bettera (15/1)
Other contenders:9 - Gatlinburg (6/1), 10 - Quebrancho (30/1), 4 - Cat On Time (8/1), 1 - Curlin Gunner (4/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - Big Trouble (6/1)
Place:7 - Irina'S Charm (12/1)
Show:9 - Get Twisted (15/1)
Other contenders:2 - Candy Bar (20/1), 4 - Hay Stack (9/2), 14 - Steampunk (12/1), 3 - Leo Toro (4/1), 12 - Satin Blue (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win:7 - Call Me Fast (9/2)
Place:11 - Raise Cain (5/1)
Show:9 - Hero Status (5/2)
Other contenders:2 - Piroli (12/1), 5 - Gunoe (10/1), 4 - Great Escape (20/1), 6 - Red Run (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:12 - Neecie Marie (3/1)
Place:4 - Forever After All (20/1)
Show:6 - Surprisingly (6/1)
Other contenders:14 - Heart Spin (30/1), 8 - Mrs. Astor (30/1), 2 - Cozee Rags (50/1), 5 - Duvet Day (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Sell It (9/2)
Place:4 - All The Luck (3/1)
Show:9 - Man Of Mischief (5/2)
Other contenders:2 - Stunning Bruno (12/1), 11 - Sneaky Feet (30/1), 7 - El Dandi (30/1), 13 - Beijing Boss (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Cat Pays The Toll (5/1)
Place:5 - Kuku (15/1)
Show:7 - No Pardon (5/2)
Other contenders:3 - Cruz Chica (4/1), 6 - List (7/2), 4 - Kim Possible (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Scottish Storm (5/1)
Place:2 - Latta (8/1)
Show:3 - Munyhungry (15/1)
Other contenders:4 - Air It Out (9/2), 5 - Phenomenal Dream (15/1), 6 - Not So Holy (7/2), 7 - Code One (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:1 - Star Blessing (10/1)
Place:2 - Haut Les Coeurs (6/1)
Show:3 - Shirley Ann (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Risky Wave (15/1), 5 - Glean (5/1), 6 - Always Practical (15/1), 7 - Lovely Emma (7/2), 8 - Cheetah Lady (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win:4 - Mighty Madison (6/5)
Place:2 - Backyard Money (10/1)
Show:6 - Home Game (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Nay V Belle (6/1), 3 - Titled Lady (12/1), 5 - Mucho Macho Girl (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:5 - Andy Cant (6/1)
Place:9 - Gatlinburg (6/1)
Show:11 - He'S A Angel (20/1)
Other contenders:7 - Bettera (15/1), 10 - Quebrancho (30/1), 2 - Mikealicious (7/2), 4 - Cat On Time (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - Big Trouble (6/1)
Place:7 - Irina'S Charm (12/1)
Show:2 - Candy Bar (20/1)
Other contenders:9 - Get Twisted (15/1), 4 - Hay Stack (9/2), 12 - Satin Blue (3/1), 3 - Leo Toro (4/1), 14 - Steampunk (12/1)
 
Race 7
Win:7 - Call Me Fast (9/2)
Place:11 - Raise Cain (5/1)
Show:9 - Hero Status (5/2)
Other contenders:2 - Piroli (12/1), 4 - Great Escape (20/1), 5 - Gunoe (10/1), 6 - Red Run (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:12 - Neecie Marie (3/1)
Place:4 - Forever After All (20/1)
Show:9 - Eternal Hope (4/1)
Other contenders:7 - Chop Chop (5/1), 14 - Heart Spin (30/1), 5 - Duvet Day (20/1), 8 - Mrs. Astor (30/1)
 
Race 9
Win:3 - Sell It (9/2)
Place:4 - All The Luck (3/1)
Show:9 - Man Of Mischief (5/2)
Other contenders:2 - Stunning Bruno (12/1), 7 - El Dandi (30/1), 11 - Sneaky Feet (30/1), 13 - Beijing Boss (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AIR IT OUTALL AMERICAN ROSEALL THE LUCKALWAYS PRACTICALANATOLIAN
ATOMIC BLONDEBACKYARD MONEYBANKSBEIJING BOSSBETTERA
BIG TROUBLEBILDERBERGBOW DRAWCAIRO DREAMCALL ME FAST
CAT ON TIMECAT PAYS THE TOLLCHEETAH LADYCHOP CHOPCLASSICAL GAS
CODE ONECOZEE RAGSCRUSADER CONRADCRUZ CHICACURLIN GUNNER
D DAYDUVET DAYEL DANDIEMBRACE MEETERNAL HOPE
FOREVER AFTER ALLFREE AMERICAGATLINBURGGET IT TOGETHERGET TWISTED
GOLDEN GOALGREAT ESCAPEGREENWICH PIKEGRINNINGGUNOE
HAUT LES COEURSHAY STACKHAYES STRIKEHE'S A ANGELHEART SPIN
HIGH ENOUGHHOME GAMEINTERLOCK EMPIREIRINA'S CHARMJUST THE SKY
KUKULA FANTASTICALATTALEO TOROLET'SBEFRANKBABY
LISTLOVELY EMMALUCCHESIMAESTROMAN OF MISCHIEF
MIKEALICIOUSMISO SPICYMISTER BABYMOON MYSTIQUEMRS. ASTOR
MUNYHUNGRYNAY V BELLENEECIE MARIENO MO COOKIESNO PARDON
PHENOMENAL DREAMPIROLIPLUNDERPRAY FOR THE BEARQUEBRANCHO
RAMBO APPROVEDRANDOM HARVESTRED RUNRISKY WAVESATIN BLUE
SELL ITSHIRLEY ANNSIX KINGSSNEAKY FEETSPENCER'S BOY LUNA
STEAMPUNKSTUNNING BRUNOSURPRISINGLYTAPIT JENALLIETECTONIC
TITLED LADYUNHIDDEN GEMVINCITA