Keeneland April 4, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 2, 2025, 8:30 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

You may purchase custom Past Performance reports individually or through one of our subscription programs. Each Pick Pony Past Performance report includes customizable AI Algorithm picks that let you configure which data points most influence the algorithm. Find out more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports.

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Lily'S Army (15/1)
Place:2 - El Halcon (30/1)
Show:3 - Monster (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Tiempos Buenos (30/1), 5 - Chatterfield (20/1), 6 - Happyhappyboy (12/1), 7 - Red Lad (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Scarlet Poppy (6/1)
Place:8 - Peignoir (10/1)
Show:1 - Mission Of Joy (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Pin Up Betty (4/1), 7 - Justifiable Belle (8/1), 4 - Ready For Shirl (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Lynn'S Milky Way (7/2)
Place:1 - Evanescence (15/1)
Show:7 - American Women (10/1)
Other contenders:5 - Beauty Reigns (12/1), 3 - Shoot It True (9/5), 6 - Foie Gras (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Hereforagoodtime (4/1)
Place:8 - Lolo Le Plume (15/1)
Show:9 - Grayleigh (10/1)
Other contenders:10 - Rather Distinct (5/1), 6 - Chere Amia (20/1), 14 - Eyes On Italy (30/1), 2 - Vice (15/1), 7 - Green Jobs (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:11 - Unwavering Trust (5/2)
Place:9 - Kapoor (7/2)
Show:7 - Twisted Viper (30/1)
Other contenders:1 - Debt Free (4/1), 5 - B D'S Angel (30/1), 3 - Ivory And Ebony (10/1), 4 - La Neige (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - This Is Uscar (20/1)
Place:4 - Wico (8/1)
Show:9 - Evade (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Oscar Season (6/1), 2 - Georgie W (8/1), 10 - Tough Little Nut (12/1), 13 - Archie The Giza (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Rolando (8/1)
Place:7 - One True Shance (20/1)
Show:3 - Smoken Wicked (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Touchy (8/1), 6 - Itsmybirthday (30/1), 5 - Gate To Wire (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:11 - Mi Bago (3/1)
Place:14 - Septarian (6/1)
Show:15 - Pretty Capable (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Golden Afternoon (15/1), 8 - Scipio (6/1), 4 - Maui Strong (8/1), 7 - Test Score (8/1), 6 - Versus (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Look Forward (20/1)
Place:2 - La Cara (9/2)
Show:4 - Muhimma (9/5)
Other contenders:3 - Supa Speed (4/1), 5 - Running Away (3/1), 7 - Amarth (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:11 - Golden Irish (7/2)
Place:14 - Autumn Rhythm (6/1)
Show:9 - Royal Princess (10/1)
Other contenders:16 - Sherbini (2/1), 10 - Mezcalifornia (15/1), 1 - Itwillbefun (12/1), 2 - Mom'S Cheesecake (30/1), 15 - Madeline'S Promise (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Lily'S Army (15/1)
Place:2 - El Halcon (30/1)
Show:3 - Monster (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Tiempos Buenos (30/1), 5 - Chatterfield (20/1), 6 - Happyhappyboy (12/1), 7 - Red Lad (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Scarlet Poppy (6/1)
Place:8 - Peignoir (10/1)
Show:1 - Mission Of Joy (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Pin Up Betty (4/1), 7 - Justifiable Belle (8/1), 4 - Ready For Shirl (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Lynn'S Milky Way (7/2)
Place:1 - Evanescence (15/1)
Show:7 - American Women (10/1)
Other contenders:5 - Beauty Reigns (12/1), 3 - Shoot It True (9/5), 4 - Naive Melody (15/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Hereforagoodtime (4/1)
Place:8 - Lolo Le Plume (15/1)
Show:9 - Grayleigh (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Chere Amia (20/1), 10 - Rather Distinct (5/1), 14 - Eyes On Italy (30/1), 2 - Vice (15/1), 7 - Green Jobs (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:11 - Unwavering Trust (5/2)
Place:9 - Kapoor (7/2)
Show:1 - Debt Free (4/1)
Other contenders:7 - Twisted Viper (30/1), 5 - B D'S Angel (30/1), 3 - Ivory And Ebony (10/1), 4 - La Neige (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - This Is Uscar (20/1)
Place:4 - Wico (8/1)
Show:9 - Evade (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Oscar Season (6/1), 2 - Georgie W (8/1), 10 - Tough Little Nut (12/1), 13 - Archie The Giza (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Rolando (8/1)
Place:7 - One True Shance (20/1)
Show:4 - Touchy (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Smoken Wicked (10/1), 6 - Itsmybirthday (30/1), 5 - Gate To Wire (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:11 - Mi Bago (3/1)
Place:14 - Septarian (6/1)
Show:3 - Golden Afternoon (15/1)
Other contenders:15 - Pretty Capable (8/1), 8 - Scipio (6/1), 2 - Reagan'S Wit (4/1), 4 - Maui Strong (8/1), 7 - Test Score (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Look Forward (20/1)
Place:2 - La Cara (9/2)
Show:4 - Muhimma (9/5)
Other contenders:3 - Supa Speed (4/1), 5 - Running Away (3/1), 7 - Amarth (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:11 - Golden Irish (7/2)
Place:14 - Autumn Rhythm (6/1)
Show:9 - Royal Princess (10/1)
Other contenders:16 - Sherbini (2/1), 1 - Itwillbefun (12/1), 10 - Mezcalifornia (15/1), 2 - Mom'S Cheesecake (30/1), 15 - Madeline'S Promise (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Lily'S Army (15/1)
Place:2 - El Halcon (30/1)
Show:3 - Monster (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Tiempos Buenos (30/1), 5 - Chatterfield (20/1), 6 - Happyhappyboy (12/1), 7 - Red Lad (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:5 - Scarlet Poppy (6/1)
Place:8 - Peignoir (10/1)
Show:1 - Mission Of Joy (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Pin Up Betty (4/1), 4 - Ready For Shirl (8/1), 7 - Justifiable Belle (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Lynn'S Milky Way (7/2)
Place:1 - Evanescence (15/1)
Show:7 - American Women (10/1)
Other contenders:5 - Beauty Reigns (12/1), 4 - Naive Melody (15/1), 6 - Foie Gras (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:11 - Hereforagoodtime (4/1)
Place:8 - Lolo Le Plume (15/1)
Show:9 - Grayleigh (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Chere Amia (20/1), 10 - Rather Distinct (5/1), 14 - Eyes On Italy (30/1), 7 - Green Jobs (6/1), 2 - Vice (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:11 - Unwavering Trust (5/2)
Place:9 - Kapoor (7/2)
Show:1 - Debt Free (4/1)
Other contenders:7 - Twisted Viper (30/1), 3 - Ivory And Ebony (10/1), 5 - B D'S Angel (30/1), 4 - La Neige (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - This Is Uscar (20/1)
Place:4 - Wico (8/1)
Show:9 - Evade (4/1)
Other contenders:6 - Oscar Season (6/1), 2 - Georgie W (8/1), 10 - Tough Little Nut (12/1), 5 - Raptor'S (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - Rolando (8/1)
Place:7 - One True Shance (20/1)
Show:4 - Touchy (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Smoken Wicked (10/1), 6 - Itsmybirthday (30/1), 5 - Gate To Wire (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:11 - Mi Bago (3/1)
Place:14 - Septarian (6/1)
Show:3 - Golden Afternoon (15/1)
Other contenders:15 - Pretty Capable (8/1), 8 - Scipio (6/1), 1 - Chasing Liberty (15/1), 7 - Test Score (8/1), 2 - Reagan'S Wit (4/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Look Forward (20/1)
Place:2 - La Cara (9/2)
Show:4 - Muhimma (9/5)
Other contenders:3 - Supa Speed (4/1), 5 - Running Away (3/1), 7 - Amarth (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:11 - Golden Irish (7/2)
Place:14 - Autumn Rhythm (6/1)
Show:16 - Sherbini (2/1)
Other contenders:9 - Royal Princess (10/1), 1 - Itwillbefun (12/1), 8 - Bindi (5/1), 12 - Sister Carlie (8/1), 2 - Mom'S Cheesecake (30/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ACCEPTANCE SPEECHADMITAMARTHAMBER CASCADEAMERICAN HOPE
ARCHIE THE GIZAATHALIAHAUTUMN RHYTHMB D'S ANGELBARRICADE
BEAUTY REIGNSBINDIBREAD TO RUNCAROLINA SMOKESHOWCATMINT
CHATTERFIELDCHERE AMIACLOCK TOWERCOACH RUDYCOLLOQUIAL
DOUBLE TALKEREL HALCONEL REZEENEVADEEVANESCENCE
FLAMING STARFOIE GRASFORBIDDEN FRIENDGATE TO WIREGEORGIE W
GOLDEN IRISHGRAYLEIGHGREEN JOBSGUMGUNMETAL
HAPPYHAPPYBOYHEREFORAGOODTIMEHIDEAWAYINTELLECTISLE BE READY
ITWILLBEFUNITZA KITTYIVORY AND EBONYJUSTIFIABLE BELLEKAPOOR
LA NEIGELILY'S ARMYLOLO LE PLUMELOOK FORWARDLYNN'S MILKY WAY
MAEVEMAUI STRONGMEZCALIFORNIAMI BAGOMIDNIGHT MYTH
MIZMALICEMOM'S CHEESECAKEMONSTERMOOCHIE GIRLMOTOWN HONEY
MY GALNAIVE MELODYOCEAN POINTEONE TRUE SHANCEOSCAR SEASON
PIN UP BETTYPINKY FINGERPRETTY CAPABLERACHEL'S KIDRANDO
RATHER DISTINCTREADY FOR SHIRLREAGAN'S WITRED LADRED SPEEDO
ROYAL PRINCESSRUNNING AWAYSABERTOOTHSCARLET POPPYSCIPIO
SHERBINISHOOT IT TRUESISTER CARLIESMOKEN WICKEDSPALIDAY
STRAIGHT FORWARDSUPA SPEEDTAKE CHARGE MILADYTEST SCORETHIS IS USCAR
TOM'S MAGICTOUCHYTOUGH LITTLE NUTTWISTED VIPERUNWAVERING TRUST
VELVET VORTEXVERSUSVICEWICOWINTERS LION