Keeneland April 18, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 16, 2025, 12:22 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Tunisian Spring (4/5)
Place:3 - Pair Of Socks (6/1)
Show:6 - Hesper (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Frost Mountain (9/2), 5 - Express Line (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Victoria'S Shances (3/1)
Place:2 - Vibora (8/1)
Show:3 - Brazilian Conexao (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Epic Desire (7/2), 5 - Fear (5/2), 6 - Baytown Anubis (20/1), 7 - Mr. Sensei (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Gray Frost (6/5)
Place:8 - Lucky Ana (15/1)
Show:1 - Starship Belmont (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Savannamarie (9/5), 5 - Flowery Path (30/1), 6 - Trouble Free (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Liberty Belle (5/2)
Place:3 - Abitibi (5/1)
Show:7 - Cairo Street (2/1)
Other contenders:1 - Bella Cruella (12/1), 6 - Altered Shot (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:7 - Pisciotta (8/1)
Place:3 - Sanctify (30/1)
Show:10 - Streetwhereyoulive (50/1)
Other contenders:8 - Dancing Dean (3/1), 13 - Allamericanbeauty (15/1), 9 - Vive Veuve (12/1), 14 - Cozee Rags (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Up The Creek (15/1)
Place:5 - Zen Moment (7/5)
Show:4 - I'M A Cookie Lover (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Itwillbefun (9/2), 6 - Modern Sound (8/1), 2 - Splash Master (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Carmen Mathews (20/1)
Place:2 - Lazy Y Legacy (8/1)
Show:3 - Preyathousandwords (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Swift Kelce (12/1), 5 - Devilsgoldenfiddle (20/1), 6 - Passage East (9/2), 7 - Order Restored (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - No Nay Hudson (4/1)
Place:11 - Doncho (6/1)
Show:15 - Apollo Ten (10/1)
Other contenders:3 - Clear The Air (20/1), 10 - Dhabab (8/1), 14 - Shards (8/1), 13 - Double Clutch (12/1), 2 - Let My People Go (30/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Candied (8/5)
Place:1 - Just F Y I (7/2)
Show:5 - Tarifa (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Dreaming Of Mo (10/1), 7 - Occult (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:2 - Mystifying (9/5)
Place:3 - Candy Bar (20/1)
Show:8 - Loterie (10/1)
Other contenders:14 - Quietly (10/1), 13 - Twirling Good Time (30/1), 12 - Venomous Vixen (30/1), 4 - Egyptian Candy (20/1), 16 - Choate (30/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Tunisian Spring (4/5)
Place:3 - Pair Of Socks (6/1)
Show:6 - Hesper (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Frost Mountain (9/2), 5 - Express Line (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Victoria'S Shances (3/1)
Place:2 - Vibora (8/1)
Show:3 - Brazilian Conexao (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Epic Desire (7/2), 5 - Fear (5/2), 6 - Baytown Anubis (20/1), 7 - Mr. Sensei (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Gray Frost (6/5)
Place:1 - Starship Belmont (6/1)
Show:8 - Lucky Ana (15/1)
Other contenders:3 - Savannamarie (9/5), 6 - Trouble Free (8/1), 5 - Flowery Path (30/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Liberty Belle (5/2)
Place:7 - Cairo Street (2/1)
Show:3 - Abitibi (5/1)
Other contenders:1 - Bella Cruella (12/1), 6 - Altered Shot (6/1)
 
Race 5
Win:7 - Pisciotta (8/1)
Place:3 - Sanctify (30/1)
Show:8 - Dancing Dean (3/1)
Other contenders:9 - Vive Veuve (12/1), 10 - Streetwhereyoulive (50/1), 13 - Allamericanbeauty (15/1), 14 - Cozee Rags (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Up The Creek (15/1)
Place:5 - Zen Moment (7/5)
Show:4 - I'M A Cookie Lover (12/1)
Other contenders:6 - Modern Sound (8/1), 7 - Itwillbefun (9/2), 2 - Splash Master (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Carmen Mathews (20/1)
Place:2 - Lazy Y Legacy (8/1)
Show:3 - Preyathousandwords (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Swift Kelce (12/1), 5 - Devilsgoldenfiddle (20/1), 6 - Passage East (9/2), 7 - Order Restored (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - No Nay Hudson (4/1)
Place:15 - Apollo Ten (10/1)
Show:11 - Doncho (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Clear The Air (20/1), 10 - Dhabab (8/1), 14 - Shards (8/1), 4 - Big Invasion (5/2), 2 - Let My People Go (30/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Candied (8/5)
Place:1 - Just F Y I (7/2)
Show:5 - Tarifa (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Dreaming Of Mo (10/1), 7 - Occult (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Candy Bar (20/1)
Place:2 - Mystifying (9/5)
Show:8 - Loterie (10/1)
Other contenders:14 - Quietly (10/1), 13 - Twirling Good Time (30/1), 12 - Venomous Vixen (30/1), 4 - Egyptian Candy (20/1), 9 - El Megeeth (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Tunisian Spring (4/5)
Place:3 - Pair Of Socks (6/1)
Show:6 - Hesper (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Frost Mountain (9/2), 5 - Express Line (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Victoria'S Shances (3/1)
Place:2 - Vibora (8/1)
Show:3 - Brazilian Conexao (20/1)
Other contenders:4 - Epic Desire (7/2), 5 - Fear (5/2), 6 - Baytown Anubis (20/1), 7 - Mr. Sensei (30/1)
 
Race 3
Win:2 - Gray Frost (6/5)
Place:8 - Lucky Ana (15/1)
Show:1 - Starship Belmont (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Savannamarie (9/5), 6 - Trouble Free (8/1), 7 - Laserjet (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Liberty Belle (5/2)
Place:3 - Abitibi (5/1)
Show:7 - Cairo Street (2/1)
Other contenders:6 - Altered Shot (6/1), 4 - Sunny Isle Beach (4/1)
 
Race 5
Win:7 - Pisciotta (8/1)
Place:3 - Sanctify (30/1)
Show:13 - Allamericanbeauty (15/1)
Other contenders:9 - Vive Veuve (12/1), 10 - Streetwhereyoulive (50/1), 8 - Dancing Dean (3/1), 14 - Cozee Rags (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:5 - Zen Moment (7/5)
Place:1 - Up The Creek (15/1)
Show:7 - Itwillbefun (9/2)
Other contenders:6 - Modern Sound (8/1), 2 - Splash Master (20/1), 4 - I'M A Cookie Lover (12/1)
 
Race 7
Win:1 - Carmen Mathews (20/1)
Place:2 - Lazy Y Legacy (8/1)
Show:3 - Preyathousandwords (30/1)
Other contenders:4 - Swift Kelce (12/1), 5 - Devilsgoldenfiddle (20/1), 6 - Passage East (9/2), 7 - Order Restored (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win:5 - No Nay Hudson (4/1)
Place:11 - Doncho (6/1)
Show:15 - Apollo Ten (10/1)
Other contenders:3 - Clear The Air (20/1), 8 - American Monarch (12/1), 10 - Dhabab (8/1), 4 - Big Invasion (5/2), 14 - Shards (8/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Just F Y I (7/2)
Place:6 - Candied (8/5)
Show:5 - Tarifa (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Dreaming Of Mo (10/1), 7 - Occult (7/2)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Candy Bar (20/1)
Place:2 - Mystifying (9/5)
Show:13 - Twirling Good Time (30/1)
Other contenders:8 - Loterie (10/1), 14 - Quietly (10/1), 12 - Venomous Vixen (30/1), 10 - Alimara (9/2), 9 - El Megeeth (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ABITIBIALIMARAALLAMERICANBEAUTYALTERED SHOTAMERICAN MONARCH
ASPEN DAWNBAYTOWN ANUBISBELLA CRUELLABIG INVASIONBOSS LADY BAILEY
BRAZILIAN CONEXAOBUCYKCAIRO STREETCANDIEDCANDY BAR
CHOATECLEAR THE AIRCOZEE RAGSDANCING DEANDEVILSGOLDENFIDDLE
DIVINEDONCHODOUBLE CLUTCHDREAMING OF MOEGYPTIAN CANDY
EPIC DESIREEXPENSIVE QUEENEXPRESS LINEFAIRE PLAISIRFEAR
FLOWERY PATHFREAK CITYFROST MOUNTAINGIN GINGRAY FROST
HOLY FOLEYI HAD THAT ONE TOOI'M A COOKIE LOVERITWILLBEFUNJUST F Y I
LAURIE'S SECRETLAZY Y LEGACYLET MY PEOPLE GOLIBERTY BELLELIL BREEZZY
LOVELY WORDSLUCKY ANALUCKY COMBINATIONMARKSMAN QUEENMAXIMUS PRIME
MODERN SOUNDMR. SENSEIMYSTIFYINGNEON ICONNO NAY HUDSON
OKIROORDER RESTOREDPAIR OF SOCKSPASSAGE EASTPEOPLE GET READY
PITTORE D'OROPREYATHOUSANDWORDSQUIETLYSANCTIFYSANDAL'S SONG
SAVANNAMARIESENSE OF PEARLSHARDSSIEMPRE ELEGANTESIR VINCENT
SOSUA SUMMERSPLASH MASTERSTARSHIP BELMONTSTREETWHEREYOULIVESUNNY ISLE BEACH
TARIFATEGWARTHAT'S RIGHTTHEATRIXTROUBLE FREE
TUNISIAN SPRINGTWIRLING GOOD TIMEUNREASONABLEUP THE CREEKVENOMOUS VIXEN
VICTORIA'S SHANCESVIVE VEUVEZEN MOMENT