Keeneland April 19, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 16, 2025, 12:27 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

Race Entries

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)


Race 1
Win:	5 - Always Practical (8/1)
Place:	2 - Delicate (7/2)
Show:	7 - Rose Rita (9/2)
Other contenders:	1 - Bella Vittoria (8/1), 6 - Digital Sale (2/1)

Race 2
Win:	6 - Homer'S Odyssey (9/2)
Place:	2 - Dixie Devil (15/1)
Show:	1 - Night Agent (5/2)
Other contenders:	5 - You Belong Here (8/1), 4 - Crudo (4/5)

Race 3
Win:	2 - Proven Hope (3/1)
Place:	1 - Ember (8/1)
Show:	9 - Copperlite (5/2)
Other contenders:	4 - Executive Action (4/1), 7 - Liam The Brave (20/1), 5 - Boitano (6/1)

Race 4
Win:	6 - Good Temper (3/1)
Place:	7 - Fixin To Bee (8/5)
Show:	2 - Calmate (7/2)
Other contenders:	5 - El Joury (12/1), 4 - Golden Sunshine (4/1)

Race 5
Win:	10 - Oneofthegoodguys (8/1)
Place:	4 - Teen Idol (15/1)
Show:	7 - Top Gun Rocket (9/5)
Other contenders:	1 - Diomedes (10/1), 3 - Ask Arthur (8/1), 2 - Illini (20/1)

Race 6
Win:	3 - Honky Tonk Highway (7/2)
Place:	6 - Gilcrease (8/1)
Show:	1 - How'S Ur Attitude (4/1)
Other contenders:	5 - Lugan Knight (3/1), 4 - Two Eagles River (6/1)

Race 7
Win:	1 - B G Warrior (15/1)
Place:	15 - Run For The Hills (10/1)
Show:	9 - Oeuvre (15/1)
Other contenders:	6 - Girl Of My Dreams (15/1), 3 - Cloudwalker (6/1), 7 - Pipsy (9/2), 11 - Bling (6/1), 8 - Julias Dream (12/1)

Race 8
Win:	5 - Just A Touch (6/5)
Place:	9 - Skinner (3/1)
Show:	6 - Stretch Ride (8/1)
Other contenders:	8 - Gould'S Gold (6/1), 4 - Native Land (15/1), 10 - Passing Game (20/1)

Race 9
Win:	2 - Grand Sonata (4/1)
Place:	11 - Idratherbeblessed (20/1)
Show:	1 - Rebel Red (8/1)
Other contenders:	8 - Ole Crazy Bone (30/1), 10 - Starting Over (20/1), 3 - Dean Martini (30/1), 4 - Verstappen (15/1)

Race 10
Win:	2 - Prince Of Power (15/1)
Place:	6 - Duke Of Love (5/2)
Show:	7 - Uno Mas Bourbon (7/2)
Other contenders:	1 - San Siro (9/2), 5 - Piroli (6/1)

Race 11
Win:	11 - Beach Gold (8/1)
Place:	7 - Rothschild (9/2)
Show:	10 - Reynolds Channel (20/1)
Other contenders:	15 - Warrior Richard (4/1), 4 - Rocky Joy (8/1), 14 - Nantasket Beach (8/1), 13 - Omni King (6/1), 6 - Accident (30/1)

AI Weight Settings

Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)


Race 1
Win:	5 - Always Practical (8/1)
Place:	2 - Delicate (7/2)
Show:	7 - Rose Rita (9/2)
Other contenders:	6 - Digital Sale (2/1), 1 - Bella Vittoria (8/1)

Race 2
Win:	6 - Homer'S Odyssey (9/2)
Place:	2 - Dixie Devil (15/1)
Show:	1 - Night Agent (5/2)
Other contenders:	5 - You Belong Here (8/1), 4 - Crudo (4/5)

Race 3
Win:	2 - Proven Hope (3/1)
Place:	1 - Ember (8/1)
Show:	4 - Executive Action (4/1)
Other contenders:	9 - Copperlite (5/2), 6 - English Challenge (6/1), 7 - Liam The Brave (20/1)

Race 4
Win:	6 - Good Temper (3/1)
Place:	7 - Fixin To Bee (8/5)
Show:	2 - Calmate (7/2)
Other contenders:	5 - El Joury (12/1), 4 - Golden Sunshine (4/1)

Race 5
Win:	7 - Top Gun Rocket (9/5)
Place:	10 - Oneofthegoodguys (8/1)
Show:	4 - Teen Idol (15/1)
Other contenders:	3 - Ask Arthur (8/1), 1 - Diomedes (10/1), 8 - Liam'S Journey (7/2)

Race 6
Win:	3 - Honky Tonk Highway (7/2)
Place:	6 - Gilcrease (8/1)
Show:	1 - How'S Ur Attitude (4/1)
Other contenders:	5 - Lugan Knight (3/1), 4 - Two Eagles River (6/1)

Race 7
Win:	1 - B G Warrior (15/1)
Place:	15 - Run For The Hills (10/1)
Show:	9 - Oeuvre (15/1)
Other contenders:	3 - Cloudwalker (6/1), 7 - Pipsy (9/2), 6 - Girl Of My Dreams (15/1), 11 - Bling (6/1), 8 - Julias Dream (12/1)

Race 8
Win:	5 - Just A Touch (6/5)
Place:	9 - Skinner (3/1)
Show:	6 - Stretch Ride (8/1)
Other contenders:	8 - Gould'S Gold (6/1), 4 - Native Land (15/1), 10 - Passing Game (20/1)

Race 9
Win:	2 - Grand Sonata (4/1)
Place:	11 - Idratherbeblessed (20/1)
Show:	1 - Rebel Red (8/1)
Other contenders:	8 - Ole Crazy Bone (30/1), 3 - Dean Martini (30/1), 10 - Starting Over (20/1), 4 - Verstappen (15/1)

Race 10
Win:	2 - Prince Of Power (15/1)
Place:	6 - Duke Of Love (5/2)
Show:	7 - Uno Mas Bourbon (7/2)
Other contenders:	1 - San Siro (9/2), 5 - Piroli (6/1)

Race 11
Win:	11 - Beach Gold (8/1)
Place:	7 - Rothschild (9/2)
Show:	10 - Reynolds Channel (20/1)
Other contenders:	15 - Warrior Richard (4/1), 4 - Rocky Joy (8/1), 6 - Accident (30/1), 14 - Nantasket Beach (8/1), 13 - Omni King (6/1)

AI Weight Settings

Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)


Race 1
Win:	5 - Always Practical (8/1)
Place:	2 - Delicate (7/2)
Show:	7 - Rose Rita (9/2)
Other contenders:	1 - Bella Vittoria (8/1), 6 - Digital Sale (2/1)

Race 2
Win:	6 - Homer'S Odyssey (9/2)
Place:	2 - Dixie Devil (15/1)
Show:	1 - Night Agent (5/2)
Other contenders:	5 - You Belong Here (8/1), 4 - Crudo (4/5)

Race 3
Win:	2 - Proven Hope (3/1)
Place:	1 - Ember (8/1)
Show:	4 - Executive Action (4/1)
Other contenders:	7 - Liam The Brave (20/1), 9 - Copperlite (5/2), 6 - English Challenge (6/1)

Race 4
Win:	6 - Good Temper (3/1)
Place:	7 - Fixin To Bee (8/5)
Show:	2 - Calmate (7/2)
Other contenders:	5 - El Joury (12/1), 4 - Golden Sunshine (4/1)

Race 5
Win:	7 - Top Gun Rocket (9/5)
Place:	10 - Oneofthegoodguys (8/1)
Show:	8 - Liam'S Journey (7/2)
Other contenders:	1 - Diomedes (10/1), 3 - Ask Arthur (8/1), 4 - Teen Idol (15/1)

Race 6
Win:	6 - Gilcrease (8/1)
Place:	3 - Honky Tonk Highway (7/2)
Show:	1 - How'S Ur Attitude (4/1)
Other contenders:	5 - Lugan Knight (3/1), 4 - Two Eagles River (6/1)

Race 7
Win:	1 - B G Warrior (15/1)
Place:	15 - Run For The Hills (10/1)
Show:	9 - Oeuvre (15/1)
Other contenders:	3 - Cloudwalker (6/1), 7 - Pipsy (9/2), 5 - Simply Stated (30/1), 13 - Moonlit Lady (20/1), 6 - Girl Of My Dreams (15/1)

Race 8
Win:	5 - Just A Touch (6/5)
Place:	9 - Skinner (3/1)
Show:	6 - Stretch Ride (8/1)
Other contenders:	4 - Native Land (15/1), 8 - Gould'S Gold (6/1), 10 - Passing Game (20/1)

Race 9
Win:	2 - Grand Sonata (4/1)
Place:	11 - Idratherbeblessed (20/1)
Show:	8 - Ole Crazy Bone (30/1)
Other contenders:	1 - Rebel Red (8/1), 10 - Starting Over (20/1), 3 - Dean Martini (30/1), 4 - Verstappen (15/1)

Race 10
Win:	2 - Prince Of Power (15/1)
Place:	6 - Duke Of Love (5/2)
Show:	5 - Piroli (6/1)
Other contenders:	7 - Uno Mas Bourbon (7/2), 1 - San Siro (9/2)

Race 11
Win:	7 - Rothschild (9/2)
Place:	11 - Beach Gold (8/1)
Show:	12 - Ciro Di Marzio (4/1)
Other contenders:	10 - Reynolds Channel (20/1), 15 - Warrior Richard (4/1), 4 - Rocky Joy (8/1), 14 - Nantasket Beach (8/1), 13 - Omni King (6/1)

AI Weight Settings

Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

Race Entries

ACCIDENT	ALWAYS PRACTICAL	ANGLOPHILE	ASK ARTHUR	ASKARI
BALNIKHOV	BANDONARUN	BE MY SUNSHINE	BEACH GOLD	BELLA VITTORIA
BLUE ANGEL	BOITANO	C MAC DA BOSS	CALMATE	CAT ON TIME
CLOUDWALKER	COLORADO CRUISER	COOL RAGS	COPPERLITE	CRUDO
DEAN MARTINI	DELICATE	DIGITAL SALE	DIOMEDES	DIXIE DEVIL
EL JOURY	EMBER	ENGLISH CHALLENGE	ENGLISH CHUNNEL	EXECUTIVE ACTION
GILCREASE	GIRL OF MY DREAMS	GLEN AIRY	GOLDEN SUNSHINE	GOOD BALI
GOULD'S GOLD	GRAND SONATA	HOMER'S ODYSSEY	HONKY TONK HIGHWAY	HOW'S UR ATTITUDE
ILLINI	JALILA	JILL JITTERBUG	JULIAS DREAM	JUST A TOUCH
LIAM'S JOURNEY	LIMITED LIABILITY	LUGAN KNIGHT	LYLAH RENEE	MISS ARLINGTON
MONTAUK POINT	MOONLIGHT	MOONLIT LADY	MY BOSSY LADY	NANTASKET BEACH
NATIVE SHAMAN	NIGHT AGENT	NOAHS ARK	OEUVRE	OLE CRAZY BONE
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS	PARCHMENT PARTY	PASSING GAME	PIPSY	PIROLI
PROVEN HOPE	REBEL RED	REYNOLDS CHANNEL	ROCKY JOY	ROSE RITA
ROYAL SPIRIT	RUN FOR THE HILLS	SAN SIRO	SIMPLY STATED	SKINNER
STARTING OVER	STRETCH RIDE	TEEN IDOL	TENNESSEE LAMB	THEN
TIME FOR TROUBLE	TOP GUN ROCKET	TWO EAGLES RIVER	UNO MAS BOURBON	UTAH BEACH
WARRIOR RICHARD	WHAT IF	XAVI	YOU BELONG HERE