Lone Star Park April 18, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 16, 2025, 12:22 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:3 - Maybelly (4/1)
Place:2 - Dont Be Shy Say Hi (9/2)
Show:1 - Contessa'S Song (5/1)
Other contenders:5 - Royal Liaison (2/1), 4 - Just Plain Bad (7/2)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Lucky Glitter (20/1)
Place:2 - Maypearl (12/1)
Show:3 - Chica Competitiva (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Spirit Of Veterans (8/1), 5 - Chip Alternative (10/1), 6 - Eagle Vision (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - El Mero Mero (2/1)
Place:5 - John (3/1)
Show:7 - Pay Raise (4/1)
Other contenders:2 - My Wife Is Right (6/1), 6 - Captain Jack (15/1), 8 - Touchdown Oklahoma (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Don'T Backdown (5/2)
Place:7 - Roman Eagle (10/1)
Show:10 - Obvious Conclusion (7/2)
Other contenders:8 - Fly Red Bird Fly (20/1), 5 - Berry Mischievous (5/1), 1 - Otherbrotherdaryl (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - All American Lady (15/1)
Place:6 - Saltamontes Diva (12/1)
Show:4 - Midshipman'S Lady (5/1)
Other contenders:3 - Gracie'S Kitten (9/5), 14 - Undo The Right (12/1), 11 - Kause I'M Devine (4/1), 10 - Wild Steel (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:2 - Texas Holdem (3/1)
Place:5 - Hard Gold (10/1)
Show:4 - Ski Patrol (2/1)
Other contenders:7 - Go Cats (4/1), 3 - Moro Mafia (15/1), 1 - Levy (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Larry'S Legend (3/1)
Place:4 - Affectionto Autism (12/1)
Show:2 - Risk Profile (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Carbon Stryker (20/1), 1 - Emperador (7/2), 5 - Reckless Red (12/1), 13 - Union Data (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:4 - Carlea'S Dream (6/1)
Place:8 - Silence D'Oro (12/1)
Show:6 - Brock On By (10/1)
Other contenders:10 - Kentucky Dawn (20/1), 7 - Rising Empire (8/1), 3 - Hold Your Applause (7/2), 11 - Manor Born (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:3 - Maybelly (4/1)
Place:2 - Dont Be Shy Say Hi (9/2)
Show:5 - Royal Liaison (2/1)
Other contenders:1 - Contessa'S Song (5/1), 4 - Just Plain Bad (7/2)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Lucky Glitter (20/1)
Place:2 - Maypearl (12/1)
Show:3 - Chica Competitiva (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Spirit Of Veterans (8/1), 5 - Chip Alternative (10/1), 6 - Eagle Vision (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - El Mero Mero (2/1)
Place:5 - John (3/1)
Show:7 - Pay Raise (4/1)
Other contenders:2 - My Wife Is Right (6/1), 6 - Captain Jack (15/1), 8 - Touchdown Oklahoma (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Don'T Backdown (5/2)
Place:7 - Roman Eagle (10/1)
Show:10 - Obvious Conclusion (7/2)
Other contenders:8 - Fly Red Bird Fly (20/1), 5 - Berry Mischievous (5/1), 1 - Otherbrotherdaryl (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - All American Lady (15/1)
Place:6 - Saltamontes Diva (12/1)
Show:4 - Midshipman'S Lady (5/1)
Other contenders:3 - Gracie'S Kitten (9/5), 11 - Kause I'M Devine (4/1), 14 - Undo The Right (12/1), 10 - Wild Steel (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:2 - Texas Holdem (3/1)
Place:4 - Ski Patrol (2/1)
Show:5 - Hard Gold (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Go Cats (4/1), 3 - Moro Mafia (15/1), 1 - Levy (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Larry'S Legend (3/1)
Place:4 - Affectionto Autism (12/1)
Show:2 - Risk Profile (12/1)
Other contenders:1 - Emperador (7/2), 5 - Reckless Red (12/1), 10 - Carbon Stryker (20/1), 11 - My Little Prince (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:4 - Carlea'S Dream (6/1)
Place:8 - Silence D'Oro (12/1)
Show:6 - Brock On By (10/1)
Other contenders:10 - Kentucky Dawn (20/1), 7 - Rising Empire (8/1), 3 - Hold Your Applause (7/2), 11 - Manor Born (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:3 - Maybelly (4/1)
Place:2 - Dont Be Shy Say Hi (9/2)
Show:1 - Contessa'S Song (5/1)
Other contenders:5 - Royal Liaison (2/1), 4 - Just Plain Bad (7/2)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Lucky Glitter (20/1)
Place:2 - Maypearl (12/1)
Show:3 - Chica Competitiva (4/1)
Other contenders:4 - Spirit Of Veterans (8/1), 5 - Chip Alternative (10/1), 6 - Eagle Vision (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:4 - El Mero Mero (2/1)
Place:5 - John (3/1)
Show:7 - Pay Raise (4/1)
Other contenders:2 - My Wife Is Right (6/1), 3 - Uptowneagleslanded (15/1), 8 - Touchdown Oklahoma (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Don'T Backdown (5/2)
Place:7 - Roman Eagle (10/1)
Show:8 - Fly Red Bird Fly (20/1)
Other contenders:10 - Obvious Conclusion (7/2), 5 - Berry Mischievous (5/1), 1 - Otherbrotherdaryl (20/1)
 
Race 5
Win:8 - All American Lady (15/1)
Place:6 - Saltamontes Diva (12/1)
Show:4 - Midshipman'S Lady (5/1)
Other contenders:3 - Gracie'S Kitten (9/5), 11 - Kause I'M Devine (4/1), 14 - Undo The Right (12/1), 9 - She'S Candified (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:2 - Texas Holdem (3/1)
Place:4 - Ski Patrol (2/1)
Show:5 - Hard Gold (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Go Cats (4/1), 3 - Moro Mafia (15/1), 1 - Levy (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Larry'S Legend (3/1)
Place:4 - Affectionto Autism (12/1)
Show:1 - Emperador (7/2)
Other contenders:2 - Risk Profile (12/1), 11 - My Little Prince (9/2), 5 - Reckless Red (12/1), 3 - Perliano (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win:4 - Carlea'S Dream (6/1)
Place:8 - Silence D'Oro (12/1)
Show:6 - Brock On By (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Rising Empire (8/1), 10 - Kentucky Dawn (20/1), 1 - Executive Power (3/1), 2 - Prayforpeace (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

AFFECTIONTO AUTISMALL AMERICAN LADYAUTISM RESILIENCEBARBACOABERRY MISCHIEVOUS
BROTHER REIDCAPTAIN JACKCARBON STRYKERCARLEA'S DREAMCASH FOLLOWS ME
CHIP ALTERNATIVECONTESSA'S SONGCOUNTY SLUGGERDON'T BACKDOWNDONT BE SHY SAY HI
EAGLE VISIONEGOEL MERO MEROEMPERADOREXECUTIVE POWER
GLOBAL HOLIDAYGO CATSGOLD MIRACLEGRACIE'S KITTENHARD GOLD
HOLIDAY PRESENCEIMUA KAIJOHNJUST PLAIN BADKAUSE I'M DEVINE
KLASSY ROSE CHROMELARRY'S LEGENDLEVYLUCKY GLITTERMACHO GRANDE
MANOR BORNMAYBELLYMAYPEARLMIDSHIPMAN'S LADYMIGHTY ENTICING
MY LITTLE PRINCEMY WIFE IS RIGHTOBVIOUS CONCLUSIONOTHERBROTHERDARYLPAY RAISE
PLAY RULEPOLLITO TITOPRAYFORPEACERECKLESS REDRISING EMPIRE
ROMAN EAGLERON'S LAVENDERROYAL LIAISONSALTAMONTES DIVASAY AS I SAY
SILENCE D'OROSKI PATROLSNOWMAGEDDONSPIDERS REVENGESPIRIT OF VETERANS
TIGERS 'N BEARSTOUCHDOWN OKLAHOMATYPHOON TESSIEUNDO THE RIGHTUNION DATA
UPTOWNEAGLESLANDEDWEIRD YEARWILD STEEL