Lone Star Park April 19, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | April 16, 2025, 12:22 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Imperial Hornet (7/2)
Place:2 - Suitable (4/1)
Show:7 - Speight And Malice (9/5)
Other contenders:1 - Samsplayerslounge (15/1), 3 - Union Data (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Don'T Backdown (1/1)
Place:5 - Cheating Heart (3/1)
Show:1 - Drama King (7/2)
Other contenders:6 - Fair Weather Flyer (20/1), 7 - Otherbrotherdaryl (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Too Much Action (7/2)
Place:1 - Jaxon Traveler (2/1)
Show:2 - Chasing Time (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Halmstad (10/1), 4 - Tape To Tape (5/2)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Mikel W (5/2)
Place:6 - Grapnel (10/1)
Show:1 - Blocked (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - Take Action (4/1), 5 - Bling Mountain (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Cause Mimi Said (9/5)
Place:3 - Blame Dennis (12/1)
Show:8 - Safety (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Malachi (15/1), 5 - Valhalla Viking (9/2), 6 - Max Mischief (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - Mischievous Gal (8/5)
Place:1 - Promises To Dance (8/1)
Show:4 - Perfect Wish (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Tx Women For Arts (3/1), 2 - Angel Kiss (12/1), 3 - Cajun Ninja (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - He'S A Striker (3/1)
Place:6 - Bill (12/1)
Show:5 - Get Dreamy (8/1)
Other contenders:9 - Ihavetoomuchair (12/1), 2 - Inaclassofmyown (5/2), 3 - You Time (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Sparra (20/1)
Place:1 - Ghost Cowboy (12/1)
Show:5 - Chasing Coyotes (9/2)
Other contenders:8 - He Is Heaven Sent (8/1), 7 - Vino Texas Jess (7/5), 2 - Bradix (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Going To Sanantone (12/1)
Place:8 - Rockets Red Flair (6/1)
Show:2 - Too Intimidating (12/1)
Other contenders:5 - Littlejohns Prayer (10/1), 6 - Pretty Macho (8/1), 3 - Natural High (15/1)
 
Race 10
Win:4 - Day For The Gray (8/1)
Place:12 - North East Star (5/2)
Show:6 - Arinniti (2/1)
Other contenders:11 - Dulce Amanecer Yg (20/1), 13 - Claire June (20/1), 2 - Highlander Honey (15/1), 7 - Hollywoodboulevard (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Imperial Hornet (7/2)
Place:2 - Suitable (4/1)
Show:7 - Speight And Malice (9/5)
Other contenders:1 - Samsplayerslounge (15/1), 3 - Union Data (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Don'T Backdown (1/1)
Place:5 - Cheating Heart (3/1)
Show:1 - Drama King (7/2)
Other contenders:6 - Fair Weather Flyer (20/1), 7 - Otherbrotherdaryl (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Too Much Action (7/2)
Place:1 - Jaxon Traveler (2/1)
Show:2 - Chasing Time (8/1)
Other contenders:5 - Halmstad (10/1), 4 - Tape To Tape (5/2)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Mikel W (5/2)
Place:6 - Grapnel (10/1)
Show:1 - Blocked (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - Take Action (4/1), 4 - Team Gormley (9/5)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Cause Mimi Said (9/5)
Place:3 - Blame Dennis (12/1)
Show:8 - Safety (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Malachi (15/1), 5 - Valhalla Viking (9/2), 6 - Max Mischief (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - Mischievous Gal (8/5)
Place:1 - Promises To Dance (8/1)
Show:4 - Perfect Wish (12/1)
Other contenders:7 - Tx Women For Arts (3/1), 2 - Angel Kiss (12/1), 3 - Cajun Ninja (9/2)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - He'S A Striker (3/1)
Place:5 - Get Dreamy (8/1)
Show:6 - Bill (12/1)
Other contenders:9 - Ihavetoomuchair (12/1), 2 - Inaclassofmyown (5/2), 3 - You Time (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Sparra (20/1)
Place:1 - Ghost Cowboy (12/1)
Show:5 - Chasing Coyotes (9/2)
Other contenders:8 - He Is Heaven Sent (8/1), 7 - Vino Texas Jess (7/5), 2 - Bradix (3/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Going To Sanantone (12/1)
Place:8 - Rockets Red Flair (6/1)
Show:2 - Too Intimidating (12/1)
Other contenders:5 - Littlejohns Prayer (10/1), 6 - Pretty Macho (8/1), 3 - Natural High (15/1)
 
Race 10
Win:12 - North East Star (5/2)
Place:4 - Day For The Gray (8/1)
Show:6 - Arinniti (2/1)
Other contenders:11 - Dulce Amanecer Yg (20/1), 13 - Claire June (20/1), 2 - Highlander Honey (15/1), 7 - Hollywoodboulevard (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:4 - Imperial Hornet (7/2)
Place:2 - Suitable (4/1)
Show:7 - Speight And Malice (9/5)
Other contenders:5 - Dose'S Dream (3/1), 1 - Samsplayerslounge (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win:2 - Don'T Backdown (1/1)
Place:5 - Cheating Heart (3/1)
Show:6 - Fair Weather Flyer (20/1)
Other contenders:1 - Drama King (7/2), 7 - Otherbrotherdaryl (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Too Much Action (7/2)
Place:1 - Jaxon Traveler (2/1)
Show:4 - Tape To Tape (5/2)
Other contenders:2 - Chasing Time (8/1), 5 - Halmstad (10/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Mikel W (5/2)
Place:6 - Grapnel (10/1)
Show:1 - Blocked (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - Take Action (4/1), 4 - Team Gormley (9/5)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Cause Mimi Said (9/5)
Place:3 - Blame Dennis (12/1)
Show:8 - Safety (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Malachi (15/1), 5 - Valhalla Viking (9/2), 6 - Max Mischief (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win:8 - Mischievous Gal (8/5)
Place:1 - Promises To Dance (8/1)
Show:4 - Perfect Wish (12/1)
Other contenders:3 - Cajun Ninja (9/2), 2 - Angel Kiss (12/1), 7 - Tx Women For Arts (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win:8 - He'S A Striker (3/1)
Place:5 - Get Dreamy (8/1)
Show:6 - Bill (12/1)
Other contenders:9 - Ihavetoomuchair (12/1), 2 - Inaclassofmyown (5/2), 3 - You Time (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Sparra (20/1)
Place:1 - Ghost Cowboy (12/1)
Show:5 - Chasing Coyotes (9/2)
Other contenders:8 - He Is Heaven Sent (8/1), 2 - Bradix (3/1), 7 - Vino Texas Jess (7/5)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Going To Sanantone (12/1)
Place:2 - Too Intimidating (12/1)
Show:8 - Rockets Red Flair (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Natural High (15/1), 6 - Pretty Macho (8/1), 5 - Littlejohns Prayer (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:12 - North East Star (5/2)
Place:4 - Day For The Gray (8/1)
Show:6 - Arinniti (2/1)
Other contenders:13 - Claire June (20/1), 11 - Dulce Amanecer Yg (20/1), 7 - Hollywoodboulevard (8/1), 2 - Highlander Honey (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ANGEL KISSAPPROPRIATED FUNDSARINNITIBILLBLAME DENNIS
BLOCKEDBRADIXBRODY'S TREASURECAJUN NINJACALLIN FOR DOLLARS
CAUSE MIMI SAIDCHARLIE DONT SURFCHASING COYOTESCHASING TIMECHEATING HEART
CONTRABBANDADANCIN FOR GOLDDAY FOR THE GRAYDON'T BACKDOWNDOSE'S DREAM
DULCE AMANECER YGFACTOR THATFAIR WEATHER FLYERGET DREAMYGHOST COWBOY
GRAPNELGYPSANHALMSTADHASHTAGMAKITHAPPENHE IS HEAVEN SENT
HIGHLANDER HONEYHOLLYWOODBOULEVARDIHAVETOOMUCHAIRIMPERIAL HORNETINACLASSOFMYOWN
JAXON TRAVELERKEEP THE BLINGKEEP THE KINGDOMKRISYNSARASBOYLITTLEJOHNS PRAYER
MALACHIMAX MISCHIEFMIKEL WMISCHIEVOUS GALMY GOLDEN CALBO
NORTH EAST STAROTHERBROTHERDARYLPERFECT WISHPRETTY MACHOPROMISES TO DANCE
ROCKETS RED FLAIRSAFETYSAMSPLAYERSLOUNGESPARRASPEIGHT AND MALICE
SUITABLETAKE ACTIONTAKE MY MONEYTAPE TO TAPETEAM GORMLEY
TI CAILLOUTOO INTIMIDATINGTOO MUCH ACTIONTX WOMEN FOR ARTSUNCLE DON
VALHALLA VIKINGVINO TEXAS JESSWITHERING GAZEYO SOY ROYYOU TIME