Parx November 27, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Nov. 27, 2024, 1:44 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Optimistic Nate (6/1)
Place:8 - Third Watch (12/1)
Show:4 - Bullet Breeze (3/1)
Other contenders:3 - Clancy O'Toole (4/5), 9 - El De Leo (12/1), 2 - Badbadbobby (10/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Estilo Unico (5/2)
Place:1 - Rock Me Gently (5/1)
Show:5 - Daring Max (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Vivi Rose (4/1), 8 - Alyvia'S Girl (8/1), 4 - Charlotte'S Potter (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Mastermind (9/5)
Place:5 - Striking Speed (5/1)
Show:4 - Ahsad (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Crypt (10/1), 2 - Notable Bob (3/1), 7 - Semper Fidelis (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Hey River (7/2)
Place:5 - Renegade Serenade (6/1)
Show:9 - Imaginized (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Checkitup (9/5), 10 - Gamerun (20/1), 7 - Balantyne (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Chattalot (3/1)
Place:8 - Real Talk (4/1)
Show:9 - Final Shot (5/1)
Other contenders:5 - A Dangerous Guy (15/1), 6 - Capital Conquest (6/1), 2 - Meet Me At Mundis (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Warrior Johny (5/2)
Place:2 - Ninetyprcentmaddie (8/1)
Show:4 - Eloquist (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Concealed Carry (9/2), 7 - Movisitor (7/2), 5 - Irish Cork (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Spikezone (3/1)
Place:1 - Angkor (9/5)
Show:3 - Veeson (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - One More Scoop (6/1), 8 - Windsor Gold (12/1), 5 - Capo (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - The Boy'S Warrior (8/5)
Place:6 - Baby Dukes (2/1)
Show:3 - Ballad Of Warrior (9/2)
Other contenders:2 - Reelin N Dealin (8/1), 5 - Byrde Of War (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Disco Ebo (3/1)
Place:5 - Speedy Traveler (2/1)
Show:2 - Bourbon Bon Bay (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Talk To The Judge (8/1), 1 - Confirmed Star (9/2), 7 - Patty Brown Eyes (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Tiempo Perfecto (6/1)
Place:9 - Tough Workout (12/1)
Show:4 - So Close So Far (6/1)
Other contenders:12 - Warrior'S Vow (5/1), 8 - Ferrari Kid (7/2), 3 - Plenty Of Time (12/1), 6 - Youbetterbejoking (3/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Optimistic Nate (6/1)
Place:8 - Third Watch (12/1)
Show:4 - Bullet Breeze (3/1)
Other contenders:3 - Clancy O'Toole (4/5), 9 - El De Leo (12/1), 5 - Papa Do Papa Do (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Estilo Unico (5/2)
Place:1 - Rock Me Gently (5/1)
Show:5 - Daring Max (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Vivi Rose (4/1), 8 - Alyvia'S Girl (8/1), 4 - Charlotte'S Potter (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Mastermind (9/5)
Place:5 - Striking Speed (5/1)
Show:4 - Ahsad (6/1)
Other contenders:3 - Crypt (10/1), 2 - Notable Bob (3/1), 7 - Semper Fidelis (9/2)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Hey River (7/2)
Place:5 - Renegade Serenade (6/1)
Show:9 - Imaginized (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Checkitup (9/5), 10 - Gamerun (20/1), 7 - Balantyne (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Chattalot (3/1)
Place:8 - Real Talk (4/1)
Show:9 - Final Shot (5/1)
Other contenders:5 - A Dangerous Guy (15/1), 6 - Capital Conquest (6/1), 2 - Meet Me At Mundis (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Warrior Johny (5/2)
Place:2 - Ninetyprcentmaddie (8/1)
Show:4 - Eloquist (6/1)
Other contenders:7 - Movisitor (7/2), 1 - Concealed Carry (9/2), 5 - Irish Cork (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Spikezone (3/1)
Place:1 - Angkor (9/5)
Show:3 - Veeson (5/1)
Other contenders:2 - One More Scoop (6/1), 8 - Windsor Gold (12/1), 5 - Capo (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - The Boy'S Warrior (8/5)
Place:6 - Baby Dukes (2/1)
Show:3 - Ballad Of Warrior (9/2)
Other contenders:2 - Reelin N Dealin (8/1), 5 - Byrde Of War (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Speedy Traveler (2/1)
Place:6 - Disco Ebo (3/1)
Show:2 - Bourbon Bon Bay (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Talk To The Judge (8/1), 1 - Confirmed Star (9/2), 7 - Patty Brown Eyes (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Tiempo Perfecto (6/1)
Place:9 - Tough Workout (12/1)
Show:4 - So Close So Far (6/1)
Other contenders:12 - Warrior'S Vow (5/1), 8 - Ferrari Kid (7/2), 3 - Plenty Of Time (12/1), 6 - Youbetterbejoking (3/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Optimistic Nate (6/1)
Place:8 - Third Watch (12/1)
Show:3 - Clancy O'Toole (4/5)
Other contenders:4 - Bullet Breeze (3/1), 9 - El De Leo (12/1), 5 - Papa Do Papa Do (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:3 - Estilo Unico (5/2)
Place:1 - Rock Me Gently (5/1)
Show:5 - Daring Max (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Vivi Rose (4/1), 8 - Alyvia'S Girl (8/1), 4 - Charlotte'S Potter (20/1)
 
Race 3
Win:8 - Mastermind (9/5)
Place:5 - Striking Speed (5/1)
Show:4 - Ahsad (6/1)
Other contenders:7 - Semper Fidelis (9/2), 3 - Crypt (10/1), 2 - Notable Bob (3/1)
 
Race 4
Win:3 - Hey River (7/2)
Place:5 - Renegade Serenade (6/1)
Show:9 - Imaginized (4/1)
Other contenders:10 - Gamerun (20/1), 8 - Checkitup (9/5), 7 - Balantyne (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:3 - Chattalot (3/1)
Place:8 - Real Talk (4/1)
Show:5 - A Dangerous Guy (15/1)
Other contenders:9 - Final Shot (5/1), 6 - Capital Conquest (6/1), 2 - Meet Me At Mundis (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Warrior Johny (5/2)
Place:2 - Ninetyprcentmaddie (8/1)
Show:4 - Eloquist (6/1)
Other contenders:1 - Concealed Carry (9/2), 7 - Movisitor (7/2), 8 - Seven'S Eleven (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Spikezone (3/1)
Place:1 - Angkor (9/5)
Show:8 - Windsor Gold (12/1)
Other contenders:2 - One More Scoop (6/1), 3 - Veeson (5/1), 5 - Capo (12/1)
 
Race 8
Win:1 - The Boy'S Warrior (8/5)
Place:6 - Baby Dukes (2/1)
Show:3 - Ballad Of Warrior (9/2)
Other contenders:2 - Reelin N Dealin (8/1), 5 - Byrde Of War (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:5 - Speedy Traveler (2/1)
Place:6 - Disco Ebo (3/1)
Show:2 - Bourbon Bon Bay (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Talk To The Judge (8/1), 1 - Confirmed Star (9/2), 7 - Patty Brown Eyes (10/1)
 
Race 10
Win:7 - Tiempo Perfecto (6/1)
Place:9 - Tough Workout (12/1)
Show:4 - So Close So Far (6/1)
Other contenders:8 - Ferrari Kid (7/2), 12 - Warrior'S Vow (5/1), 3 - Plenty Of Time (12/1), 6 - Youbetterbejoking (3/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

A DANGEROUS GUYAHSADALYVIA'S GIRLANGKORBABY DUKES
BADBADBOBBYBALANTYNEBALLAD OF WARRIORBEACH DAZEBOURBON BON BAY
BYRDE OF WARCAPITAL CONQUESTCAPOCHARLOTTE'S POTTERCHATTALOT
CLANCY O'TOOLECONCEALED CARRYCONFIRMED STARCRAB DADDYCRYPT
DEBIT CARDDEPOLIDISCO EBOEARLY EDITIONEL DE LEO
ESTILO UNICOFAST PAYDAYFENWICK JACKFERRARI KIDFINAL SHOT
FLASHY ALEXGAMERUNHEY RIVERI'M NOT A BABYIMAGINIZED
KAYA STARKEITHSENDSHELLOOOOMARIAH KATHRYNMASTERMINDMCMAGIC
MISTER MOOREMOVISITORNINETYPRCENTMADDIENOTABLE BOBONE MORE SCOOP
PAPA DO PAPA DOPATTY BROWN EYESPLENTY OF TIMEPRINCE OF RAINREAL TALK
RENEGADE SERENADEROCK ME GENTLYRUMAWAYSCAMP WALKERSEMPER FIDELIS
SHADOW MANSNOW LAKESO CLOSE SO FARSPEEDY TRAVELERSPIKEZONE
STRIKING SPEEDSUPREME BEINGTALK TO THE JUDGETHE BOY'S WARRIORTHIRD WATCH
TOUGH WORKOUTTRAVEL GUIDEVEESONVIVI ROSEWARRIOR JOHNY
WINDSOR GOLDWITTYYOUBETTERBEJOKINGYOUNG SQUIRE