Penn National November 1, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Oct. 29, 2024, 12:39 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Mycroft (8/1)
Place:2 - Notturno (7/2)
Show:3 - Crabcakes N Beer (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Demolition Woman (4/1), 5 - Solar Glare (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Jayjaydee (7/2)
Place:3 - Time To Cruise (2/1)
Show:6 - Wild Vine (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Fole'S Notion (6/1), 5 - Sharp Tones (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win:6 - Profitunity (6/1)
Place:1 - Newsdley (5/2)
Show:4 - Ladro Di Fichi (12/1)
Other contenders:2 - Me Darlin Kathleen (4/1), 5 - Telephone Line (12/1), 3 - Normandy Life (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Golden Moonlight (5/1)
Place:5 - Dream Chaser (2/1)
Show:3 - Boss Like Beth (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Doctor Abbie (5/2), 6 - Social Lady (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Warriors Jewel (7/2)
Place:2 - No More Kisses (5/2)
Show:5 - Peaceoftastycake (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Cowgirl Nation (9/2), 7 - Charge That Dress (15/1), 4 - Spicy K (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Boss Holiday (7/2)
Place:2 - Spooky One (4/1)
Show:5 - Saponara (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Portal One (2/1), 1 - Pictor (5/2)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Virologist (2/1)
Place:1 - Passing Bayou (6/1)
Show:7 - Martini'S Bank (3/1)
Other contenders:2 - Boh'S N O'S (5/1), 8 - Nail Polish (9/2), 5 - Dowser (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Mycroft (8/1)
Place:2 - Notturno (7/2)
Show:3 - Crabcakes N Beer (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Demolition Woman (4/1), 5 - Solar Glare (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Jayjaydee (7/2)
Place:3 - Time To Cruise (2/1)
Show:6 - Wild Vine (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Fole'S Notion (6/1), 2 - Jump For The Win (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:6 - Profitunity (6/1)
Place:1 - Newsdley (5/2)
Show:5 - Telephone Line (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Ladro Di Fichi (12/1), 2 - Me Darlin Kathleen (4/1), 3 - Normandy Life (12/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Golden Moonlight (5/1)
Place:5 - Dream Chaser (2/1)
Show:3 - Boss Like Beth (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Doctor Abbie (5/2), 6 - Social Lady (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Warriors Jewel (7/2)
Place:2 - No More Kisses (5/2)
Show:5 - Peaceoftastycake (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Cowgirl Nation (9/2), 7 - Charge That Dress (15/1), 4 - Spicy K (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Boss Holiday (7/2)
Place:5 - Saponara (8/1)
Show:2 - Spooky One (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Portal One (2/1), 1 - Pictor (5/2)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Virologist (2/1)
Place:1 - Passing Bayou (6/1)
Show:7 - Martini'S Bank (3/1)
Other contenders:2 - Boh'S N O'S (5/1), 8 - Nail Polish (9/2), 5 - Dowser (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:1 - Mycroft (8/1)
Place:2 - Notturno (7/2)
Show:3 - Crabcakes N Beer (3/1)
Other contenders:4 - Demolition Woman (4/1), 5 - Solar Glare (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win:4 - Jayjaydee (7/2)
Place:3 - Time To Cruise (2/1)
Show:6 - Wild Vine (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Sharp Tones (9/2), 2 - Jump For The Win (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win:6 - Profitunity (6/1)
Place:1 - Newsdley (5/2)
Show:5 - Telephone Line (12/1)
Other contenders:2 - Me Darlin Kathleen (4/1), 4 - Ladro Di Fichi (12/1), 7 - Dweller (3/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Golden Moonlight (5/1)
Place:5 - Dream Chaser (2/1)
Show:3 - Boss Like Beth (12/1)
Other contenders:6 - Social Lady (9/2), 4 - Doctor Abbie (5/2)
 
Race 5
Win:1 - Warriors Jewel (7/2)
Place:2 - No More Kisses (5/2)
Show:5 - Peaceoftastycake (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Cowgirl Nation (9/2), 7 - Charge That Dress (15/1), 4 - Spicy K (30/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Boss Holiday (7/2)
Place:5 - Saponara (8/1)
Show:2 - Spooky One (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - Portal One (2/1), 1 - Pictor (5/2)
 
Race 7
Win:6 - Virologist (2/1)
Place:1 - Passing Bayou (6/1)
Show:7 - Martini'S Bank (3/1)
Other contenders:8 - Nail Polish (9/2), 2 - Boh'S N O'S (5/1), 5 - Dowser (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

BEACHFRONT BREEZEBOH'S N O'SBOSS HOLIDAYBOSS LIKE BETHCHARGE THAT DRESS
CRABCAKES N BEERDEMOLITION WOMANDOCTOR ABBIEDOWSERDREAM CHASER
ECLIPTICALS BEARESTA CHUCKFOLE'S NOTIONGOLDEN MOONLIGHTJ ROLL
JUMP FOR THE WINLADRO DI FICHIMARTINI'S BANKMASKED HEROINEME DARLIN KATHLEEN
NAIL POLISHNEWSDLEYNICOLE'S JOURNEYNO MORE KISSESNORMANDY LIFE
PASSING BAYOUPEACEOFTASTYCAKEPERIDOT PENDANTPICTORPORTAL ONE
SAPONARASHARP TONESSOCIAL LADYSOLAR GLARESPICY K
SWAN POINTTELEPHONE LINETIME TO CRUISEVIROLOGISTWARRIORS JEWEL