Penn National February 7, 2025 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Feb. 7, 2025, 3:30 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:7 - Poor Mans Lady (2/1)
Place:4 - Strong Decision (15/1)
Show:1 - Kashmir Witch (9/5)
Other contenders:6 - Mo Juice (6/1), 5 - Bramwell (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Three Polks (8/5)
Place:3 - Celtic Tiger (7/2)
Show:4 - Fleeting Ember (5/1)
Other contenders:7 - Braccesca (30/1), 1 - Lastchance Romance (12/1), 6 - Phabulous Phoebe (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Boss Holiday (4/1)
Place:9 - Spooky One (7/2)
Show:1 - Dr Rags (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Annamated Moon (6/1), 6 - Rahmer (15/1), 7 - Bee By The Sea (5/2)
 
Race 4
Win:7 - Kalahari Not Sorry (3/1)
Place:2 - Addyson'S Dream (2/1)
Show:4 - Sandy'S Refugee (4/1)
Other contenders:3 - On Secret Service (15/1), 1 - Brushback (7/2)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Reigert Girls (3/1)
Place:3 - Peridot Pendant (7/2)
Show:2 - Tiz Race Day (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Boss Like Beth (6/1), 7 - Diamondsifyoudo (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Tommy The Torch (5/1)
Place:10 - Cheers For Kitten (7/2)
Show:1 - Edward Madden (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Shanghai Superfly (10/1), 7 - Continental Divide (8/1), 8 - Rockin The Palace (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Bronx Boys (5/1)
Place:7 - Milo (6/1)
Show:3 - Artwell (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Starlord (5/2), 6 - Bejuco (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Fast Freeze Kaz (3/1)
Place:7 - Told It All (6/1)
Show:8 - Warrior'S Payoff (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Helms Deep (6/1), 4 - Infamous Nono (4/1), 3 - Guns N' Rojas (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Bruder (5/2)
Place:8 - Bearing Down (3/1)
Show:9 - Rolly (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Warrior'S Way Out (10/1), 2 - Minimo (10/1), 1 - Emma At The Gate (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:7 - Poor Mans Lady (2/1)
Place:4 - Strong Decision (15/1)
Show:1 - Kashmir Witch (9/5)
Other contenders:6 - Mo Juice (6/1), 5 - Bramwell (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Three Polks (8/5)
Place:3 - Celtic Tiger (7/2)
Show:1 - Lastchance Romance (12/1)
Other contenders:4 - Fleeting Ember (5/1), 7 - Braccesca (30/1), 6 - Phabulous Phoebe (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Boss Holiday (4/1)
Place:9 - Spooky One (7/2)
Show:1 - Dr Rags (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Annamated Moon (6/1), 6 - Rahmer (15/1), 7 - Bee By The Sea (5/2)
 
Race 4
Win:7 - Kalahari Not Sorry (3/1)
Place:2 - Addyson'S Dream (2/1)
Show:4 - Sandy'S Refugee (4/1)
Other contenders:1 - Brushback (7/2), 3 - On Secret Service (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:2 - Tiz Race Day (5/2)
Place:4 - Reigert Girls (3/1)
Show:3 - Peridot Pendant (7/2)
Other contenders:1 - Boss Like Beth (6/1), 7 - Diamondsifyoudo (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win:3 - Tommy The Torch (5/1)
Place:10 - Cheers For Kitten (7/2)
Show:1 - Edward Madden (3/1)
Other contenders:5 - Shanghai Superfly (10/1), 7 - Continental Divide (8/1), 8 - Rockin The Palace (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Bronx Boys (5/1)
Place:7 - Milo (6/1)
Show:3 - Artwell (3/1)
Other contenders:6 - Bejuco (4/1), 1 - Starlord (5/2)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Fast Freeze Kaz (3/1)
Place:7 - Told It All (6/1)
Show:8 - Warrior'S Payoff (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Helms Deep (6/1), 4 - Infamous Nono (4/1), 3 - Guns N' Rojas (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Bruder (5/2)
Place:8 - Bearing Down (3/1)
Show:9 - Rolly (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Warrior'S Way Out (10/1), 1 - Emma At The Gate (8/1), 2 - Minimo (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:7 - Poor Mans Lady (2/1)
Place:1 - Kashmir Witch (9/5)
Show:4 - Strong Decision (15/1)
Other contenders:6 - Mo Juice (6/1), 5 - Bramwell (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win:8 - Three Polks (8/5)
Place:3 - Celtic Tiger (7/2)
Show:2 - Blackdiamond Dinny (8/1)
Other contenders:4 - Fleeting Ember (5/1), 1 - Lastchance Romance (12/1), 9 - Shigeko (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win:5 - Boss Holiday (4/1)
Place:9 - Spooky One (7/2)
Show:1 - Dr Rags (12/1)
Other contenders:10 - Annamated Moon (6/1), 6 - Rahmer (15/1), 7 - Bee By The Sea (5/2)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Addyson'S Dream (2/1)
Place:7 - Kalahari Not Sorry (3/1)
Show:4 - Sandy'S Refugee (4/1)
Other contenders:1 - Brushback (7/2), 3 - On Secret Service (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Reigert Girls (3/1)
Place:3 - Peridot Pendant (7/2)
Show:2 - Tiz Race Day (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Boss Like Beth (6/1), 7 - Diamondsifyoudo (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win:1 - Edward Madden (3/1)
Place:3 - Tommy The Torch (5/1)
Show:10 - Cheers For Kitten (7/2)
Other contenders:5 - Shanghai Superfly (10/1), 9 - Nautical Nature (30/1), 8 - Rockin The Palace (4/1)
 
Race 7
Win:4 - Bronx Boys (5/1)
Place:3 - Artwell (3/1)
Show:7 - Milo (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Bejuco (4/1), 1 - Starlord (5/2)
 
Race 8
Win:6 - Fast Freeze Kaz (3/1)
Place:7 - Told It All (6/1)
Show:8 - Warrior'S Payoff (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Helms Deep (6/1), 4 - Infamous Nono (4/1), 3 - Guns N' Rojas (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win:6 - Bruder (5/2)
Place:8 - Bearing Down (3/1)
Show:9 - Rolly (7/2)
Other contenders:4 - Warrior'S Way Out (10/1), 1 - Emma At The Gate (8/1), 5 - Secret Saturday (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ADDYSON'S DREAMANNAMATED MOONARTWELLBEARING DOWNBEE BY THE SEA
BLACKDIAMOND DINNYBOSS HOLIDAYBOSS LIKE BETHBRACCESCABRAMWELL
BRUDERBRUSHBACKCAJUN OCCASIONCELTIC TIGERCHASIN' WHISKEY
CONTINENTAL DIVIDEDANCING FOR JACKDIAMONDSIFYOUDODR RAGSECLIPTICALS BEAR
EMMA AT THE GATEFAST FREEZE KAZFLEETING EMBERGOTTA BE KIDDINGUNS N' ROJAS
INFAMOUS NONOJACKIE AKALAHARI NOT SORRYKASHMIR WITCHKAZ CREED
LASTCHANCE ROMANCEMILOMINIMOMO JUICEMUNI MUNI SLEW
NAUTICAL NATURENICOLE'S JOURNEYON SECRET SERVICEPERIDOT PENDANTPHABULOUS PHOEBE
PINK ROSEPOKER PLAYER KAZPOOR MANS LADYRAHMERREIGERT GIRLS
ROCKIN THE PALACEROLLYSANDY'S REFUGEESCREEN STARSECRET SATURDAY
SHIGEKOSPOOKY ONESTARLORDSTRONG DECISIONSYLVIA I AM
THREE POLKSTIZ RACE DAYTOLD IT ALLTOMMY THE TORCHTRIVISTA
WARRIOR'S PAYOFFWARRIOR'S WAY OUT