Zia Park November 26, 2024 - Thoroughbred Horse Racing Analysis, picks, and predictions

Pick Pony | Nov. 21, 2024, 3:29 p.m.

AI Algorithm Picks

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Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win:5 - Dashingly (3/5)
Place:1 - Hello Goodbye (5/2)
Show:6 - Jazzy Red (50/1)
Other contenders:4 - Threat Analysis (9/2), 2 - Moon On Malibu (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Apuro (7/2)
Place:2 - Ice Again (12/1)
Show:4 - Pevs Distant Drum (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Real Good Magic (8/1), 6 - Bertani (1/1), 5 - Onefortheditch (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Toni The Grrreat (20/1)
Place:2 - In Spite Of It (10/1)
Show:7 - Pink Pacific (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Susie Q Connection (10/1), 8 - Rogue Justice (6/1), 9 - Talent Connection (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win:2 - Closing Act (4/1)
Place:1 - Olivia Twist (6/5)
Show:6 - Alberta Sun (15/1)
Other contenders:3 - Holly Dolly (8/5), 5 - Chesterette (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Dean'S List (5/1)
Place:2 - Competitive Idea (9/2)
Show:5 - Jaxon Traveler (2/5)
Other contenders:6 - Abeliefinthislivin (10/1), 1 - Mister Chairman (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:5 - First Call (30/1)
Place:6 - Unload (2/1)
Show:4 - Heroic Move (9/2)
Other contenders:2 - Mine That Star (9/5), 1 - Bender (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Smash It (7/5)
Place:6 - Land Speed (12/1)
Show:2 - Ring Seeker (5/2)
Other contenders:5 - Don'T Fly Stand By (6/1), 4 - Colonel Ludlow (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Power Connection (5/2)
Place:6 - Stubby (20/1)
Show:10 - Reliable Source (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Going Deep (5/1), 5 - Clapping Trees (8/1), 9 - Kanojo (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Chatalas (7/2)
Place:7 - V V'S Dream (5/2)
Show:8 - Candy Aisle (20/1)
Other contenders:11 - Arctic Breeze (10/1), 6 - Lemonesse (6/1), 10 - Xena (9/2), 5 - Valence (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Vlahos (10/1)
Place:5 - Indispensable (5/2)
Show:10 - Big City (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Alotaluck (10/1), 2 - Dimatic (6/1), 9 - Generous Tipper (4/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 500, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 20,

 

 

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win:5 - Dashingly (3/5)
Place:1 - Hello Goodbye (5/2)
Show:6 - Jazzy Red (50/1)
Other contenders:4 - Threat Analysis (9/2), 2 - Moon On Malibu (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Apuro (7/2)
Place:2 - Ice Again (12/1)
Show:4 - Pevs Distant Drum (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Real Good Magic (8/1), 8 - Tommy'S Up (20/1), 6 - Bertani (1/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Toni The Grrreat (20/1)
Place:2 - In Spite Of It (10/1)
Show:7 - Pink Pacific (5/2)
Other contenders:1 - Susie Q Connection (10/1), 9 - Talent Connection (2/1), 8 - Rogue Justice (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Olivia Twist (6/5)
Place:2 - Closing Act (4/1)
Show:5 - Chesterette (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Holly Dolly (8/5), 6 - Alberta Sun (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Dean'S List (5/1)
Place:2 - Competitive Idea (9/2)
Show:5 - Jaxon Traveler (2/5)
Other contenders:6 - Abeliefinthislivin (10/1), 1 - Mister Chairman (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:5 - First Call (30/1)
Place:4 - Heroic Move (9/2)
Show:6 - Unload (2/1)
Other contenders:2 - Mine That Star (9/5), 1 - Bender (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Smash It (7/5)
Place:6 - Land Speed (12/1)
Show:2 - Ring Seeker (5/2)
Other contenders:5 - Don'T Fly Stand By (6/1), 4 - Colonel Ludlow (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Power Connection (5/2)
Place:6 - Stubby (20/1)
Show:10 - Reliable Source (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Going Deep (5/1), 5 - Clapping Trees (8/1), 9 - Kanojo (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Chatalas (7/2)
Place:7 - V V'S Dream (5/2)
Show:8 - Candy Aisle (20/1)
Other contenders:11 - Arctic Breeze (10/1), 6 - Lemonesse (6/1), 5 - Valence (20/1), 10 - Xena (9/2)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Vlahos (10/1)
Place:5 - Indispensable (5/2)
Show:10 - Big City (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Alotaluck (10/1), 2 - Dimatic (6/1), 9 - Generous Tipper (4/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 80, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 50,

 

 

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win:5 - Dashingly (3/5)
Place:1 - Hello Goodbye (5/2)
Show:6 - Jazzy Red (50/1)
Other contenders:4 - Threat Analysis (9/2), 2 - Moon On Malibu (20/1)
 
Race 2
Win:1 - Apuro (7/2)
Place:2 - Ice Again (12/1)
Show:4 - Pevs Distant Drum (10/1)
Other contenders:7 - Real Good Magic (8/1), 8 - Tommy'S Up (20/1), 6 - Bertani (1/1)
 
Race 3
Win:3 - Toni The Grrreat (20/1)
Place:2 - In Spite Of It (10/1)
Show:7 - Pink Pacific (5/2)
Other contenders:9 - Talent Connection (2/1), 1 - Susie Q Connection (10/1), 8 - Rogue Justice (6/1)
 
Race 4
Win:1 - Olivia Twist (6/5)
Place:2 - Closing Act (4/1)
Show:5 - Chesterette (8/1)
Other contenders:6 - Alberta Sun (15/1), 3 - Holly Dolly (8/5)
 
Race 5
Win:4 - Dean'S List (5/1)
Place:5 - Jaxon Traveler (2/5)
Show:2 - Competitive Idea (9/2)
Other contenders:6 - Abeliefinthislivin (10/1), 1 - Mister Chairman (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win:6 - Unload (2/1)
Place:5 - First Call (30/1)
Show:4 - Heroic Move (9/2)
Other contenders:2 - Mine That Star (9/5), 1 - Bender (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win:3 - Smash It (7/5)
Place:6 - Land Speed (12/1)
Show:2 - Ring Seeker (5/2)
Other contenders:5 - Don'T Fly Stand By (6/1), 4 - Colonel Ludlow (15/1)
 
Race 8
Win:8 - Power Connection (5/2)
Place:6 - Stubby (20/1)
Show:10 - Reliable Source (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Going Deep (5/1), 5 - Clapping Trees (8/1), 9 - Kanojo (10/1)
 
Race 9
Win:1 - Chatalas (7/2)
Place:7 - V V'S Dream (5/2)
Show:8 - Candy Aisle (20/1)
Other contenders:6 - Lemonesse (6/1), 11 - Arctic Breeze (10/1), 10 - Xena (9/2), 5 - Valence (20/1)
 
Race 10
Win:3 - Vlahos (10/1)
Place:10 - Big City (8/1)
Show:7 - Alotaluck (10/1)
Other contenders:8 - Chivalrous (20/1), 5 - Indispensable (5/2), 2 - Dimatic (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 600,

 

 

Race Entries

ABELIEFINTHISLIVINALBERTA SUNALOTALUCKALWAYS FIRINGAPURO
AUGUST RAINAVANAAWESOME ROADBENDERBERTANI
BLAZING TO GOLDBOW TO CLARACANDY AISLECHARLEE MAECHATALAS
CHIVALROUSCLAPPING TREESCLOSING ACTCOLONEL LUDLOWCOMPETITIVE IDEA
DASHINGLYDEAN'S LISTDENINGTONDIMATICDON'T FLY STAND BY
GENEROUS TIPPERGIRVINITALLSHESGOTGOING DEEPHELLO GOODBYEHEROIC MOVE
ICE AGAININ SPITE OF ITINDISPENSABLEINNOCENCEJAXON TRAVELER
KANOJOKARAKLIMT'S GIRLLAND SPEEDLEMONESSE
MISTER CHAIRMANMOON ON MALIBUNATIVITYOLIVIA TWISTONEFORTHEDITCH
PINEY BLUFFPINK PACIFICPOWER CONNECTIONREAL GOOD MAGICRELIABLE SOURCE
RING SEEKERROGUE JUSTICESMASH ITSTREET COLORSSTUBBY
TALENT CONNECTIONTHREAT ANALYSISTOMMY'S UPTONI THE GRRREATTRUE LOVIN
UNLOADV V'S DREAMVALENCEVLAHOSWOOD CEILING
XENA